with California mail-in ballots, the "edge that Republicans get in special elections has evaporated"

[Demovictory9]

“I didn’t even know there was an election going on,” Mary Johnson, 69, said outside the Donut House in Calimesa. “I like Newsom. Are people trying to remove him? If they are, I’ll vote against it.”

-------------------------------------

“It’s Democrats 2-1 in California, so it’s going to take a lot to kick the pretty boy out,” Wallace said. “I don’t know if we have enough.”

With Democrats’ vast numerical advantage, Newsom supporters are confident of victory if enough Democrats bother to vote. That has become considerably easier with the ubiquity of mail-in ballots.

“My thesis is Newsom will win, and he’ll have vote by mail to thank,” said Smoller, the Chapman University associate professor. “The edge that Republicans get in special elections has evaporated. The thing gets mailed to your home, everybody gets it. You don’t have to schlepp over to the voting booth, and it’s self-addressed and stamped. For the average person, that’s a big reduction in the cost of participation.”

So far, mail ballot returns show more than twice as many Democrats have voted than Republicans, a discouraging sign for the recall effort.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/recall-campaign-faces-a-struggle-in-inland-empire-orange-county/ar-AAO7qYh?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531

[OAITW r.2.0]

1. I hope every Democrat, Independent, and sane Rpublican votes to retain Newsome.

This is a referendum on Republican government, everywhere.

[11 Bravo]

20. Currently "sane Republican" is damned near an oxymoron, but I share your hope.

[Wounded Bear]

2. I'm not sure mail in has much to do with it...

Dems are pissed off and tired of getting pissed on.

Here in WA, VBM has increased participation, but not by that much. If voters want to vote and have reason to do so, they will vote, by whatever means are available.

Good luck in California. Was living there during the last recall fiasco. Arnold wasn't all that bad for a repub asshole, but it never should have happened.

[uponit7771]

11. Are ballots mailed out without request in Oregon? tia VBM is what MAGA wants to stop Pax has

... even admitted to it on TV.

His ass should be investigated for that alone

[Wounded Bear]

18. I think so, but I'm in Washington, so I'm not sure...

yeah, they want to stop the "unsolicited" mailing of ballots as part of their voter suppression schemes. It's all bullshit.

[Retrograde]

21. For this election and the 2020 pres election, yes

Last edited Mon Sep 6, 2021, 10:41 PM - Edit history (1)

Ballots - with postage-paid return envelopes - were sent to every registered voter. Before that, it was a county by county option: my county, Santa Clara, went with all mail-in ballots starting with the 2020 primary. The county just north of us, San Mateo, has been doing all mail for several years, as have others. Before that, anyone could become a permanent by-mail voter by filling out the form on the sample ballot and returning it to the registrar: I've been voting this way since the early 2000s.

Voter intimidation is even harder now since voters can drop off their ballots - or vote, if they registered late or didn't receive their ballot or lost it or whatever - at any voting center in the county. And yes, we do process provisional ballots and count them if valid.

ETA: I misread the post I was replying to and answered for California. But Oregon has had universal vote-by-mail longer than we have had it

[jeffreyi]

3. Good. Get this s**t show over with, ASAP.

[Hekate]

4. I hope the recall is rejected in a landslide. Our ballots are in and acknowledged by the county...

Fingers crossed.

[yellowdogintexas]

5. I worked a phone bank this afternoon. Link to join is beneath

there are several phone bank opportunites all the way through voting day.

https://www.mobilize.us/call4change/

You can register right on the website.

Folks from all over participate with this group. I called with them during the Georgia runoffs.

[msongs]

6. one hopes newsom has made it all about trump trying take over CAlifornia nt

[Grokenstein]

12. These aren't even the best ones, but yeah

Last edited Mon Sep 6, 2021, 05:59 AM - Edit history (1)

they're really hammering home that Elder is just Trump But Worse.
https://stoptherepublicanrecall.com/

[RandySF]

7. Careful

The same day vote gave us quota scare last November.

[The Unmitigated Gall]

8. I never considered it "schlepping"...

I’d crawl over broken glass to vote NO on the fucktard takeover if I had to.

[Demovictory9]

15. me too

[Baltimike]

9. Take NOTHING for granted...

The women in the piece said she didn't even know there was a recall.

The GQP will pull every trick in the book, and some that haven't even been written yet.

[uponit7771]

10. THIS ... THIS is what MAGA wants to stop !!

[ecstatic]

13. How did she not know there was a recall election?

Especially with some of the clowns who've thrown their hats in the ring. I'm in Georgia and I've been hearing about it for months.

[Demovictory9]

14. ..

[jimfields33]

16. Many people cut the cord so no longer watch the news

Many are not on social media or read the political news. I can see how some would not be aware. Many are worried about fires (not sure where this person loves). A lot of life events can cause some to be unaware of news events.

[Retrograde]

22. It's been pretty low-key here

I've seen a few "No" signs, there was a table of people opposing the recall at the farmers' market on Saturday, but nary anything in the way of active campaigning around here. However, I don't watch local TV, when I do watch MSNBC I record and ff over the commercials, and the only local paper I read is the weekly centered on my town.

OTOH, everyone I've talked to in person recently has already sent back their ballot - marked NO!

[tanyev]

17. "I didn't even know there was an election going on"

And that is the eternal problem. Especially in non-presidential elections.

[Initech]

19. What worries me is if that if Newsom wins by mail in vote, the fuckheads will claim it was rigged.

And he'll be subjected to something like what's going on in Arizona right now. God damn them.

[Retrograde]

23. Most of the vote has been by mail

in recent elections, and IIRC over 30% of the ballots for this election have already been sent back. Yeah, they'll scream - and the state legislature, where Dems have a supermajority - will ignore them and go about doing whatever it is they do. The rightwing nutjobs will continue to bloviate about a stolen election, and bring out the maps (conveniently published by the Democratic Secretary of State's office) showing that the greater part of the land mass voted to recall (the population is concentrated in the denser areas closer to the coast) and business will go on as usual.

[Blue Owl]

24. Dejoystick it where the sun don't shine