Nevada absentee voting update.

[RandySF]

Republicans nearly always beat Democrats in absentee ballots -- they did by a few points two and four years ago. And mail ballots are a small percentage of the overall vote.

----Democrats actually lead Republicans in ballot requests, and they have built up that huge lead in voter registration (if you count inactive voters, where Democrats have a 2-to-1 lead, it's even bigger than '08 statewide--and a signficant number of those will vote).

----More Democrats have requested ballots than Republicans – a sharp turnaround compared with 2008. 26,363 Democrats have requested ballots compared with 25,443 Republicans. This means Democrats have an advantage of D +920. But at this point in 2008, Republicans had an advantage of R +8,774. Democrats have gained a net D +9,694 compared with 2008, when Obama won the state by 12.4 percentage points. If Democrats can do a decent job of chasing those requests, well....

----Democrats have gained on Republicans in ballots returned. At this point in 2008, Republicans led by 2,274 in ballots returned. Thus, Democrats have cut the margin by 42 percent in 2012.

http://www.ralstonflash.com/blog/republicans-tout-absentee-ballot-lead-its-more-hype-substance#.UIHooH2J-iE

[hrmjustin]

1. Thanks for the info.

[BumRushDaShow]

2. This is good news!

Crossing fingers!!!

[julian09]

3. it's the last 4% of vote that tell the story,

if dems have larger registration numbers, get them out to vote.

[Arugula Latte]

4. You go, Nevada!

wOOt!

[underthematrix]

5. I'm in Nevada and

will be voting on the first day of early voting which is tomorrow. I'm so excited. Today, I got a call on my cell phone from a mittnocchio superpac. They asked if I was voting for Romney. I said "no. I do not vote for racists or birthers." The nice young lady thanked me and hung up.