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left-of-center2012

(34,195 posts)
Sun Sep 12, 2021, 06:08 PM Sep 2021

The 'Old Farmer's Almanac' Just Released the Forecast for Winter 2021-2022

If you're still holding on to some warm and fuzzy feelings about winter, this could be the year that finally changes your mind, too. According to the Old Farmer's Almanac, the upcoming season ain't going to be pretty.

The 230-year-old publication—which claims to make predictions with 80% accuracy—just released its annual forecast for winter 2021-2022. It's going to be so cold across the country, they have actually taken to calling it the "season of shivers."

A painful combination of above-average snowfall and below-average temperatures are expected in the New England area, parts of the Appalachian region, throughout the Ohio Valley, in the northern part of the Deep South, and even in southern New Mexico.

The Old Farmer's Almanac editor, Janice Stillman, said this winter could be "one of the longest and coldest that we’ve seen in years."

https://www.yahoo.com/news/old-farmers-almanac-just-released-120000775.html

26 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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The 'Old Farmer's Almanac' Just Released the Forecast for Winter 2021-2022 (Original Post) left-of-center2012 Sep 2021 OP
I wonder... SergeStorms Sep 2021 #1
Maybe I will get to use my snow plow this year. nt doc03 Sep 2021 #2
Haven't used my snowshoes here in coastal Maine in a few years. GPV Sep 2021 #5
I am in the mild dry area Tree Lady Sep 2021 #3
WA, too. pnwest Sep 2021 #13
Montana needs a wetter winter too. Ford_Prefect Sep 2021 #22
Maybe I'll get to wear a coat this year. For the last three winters I've worn corduroy shirts tblue37 Sep 2021 #4
Well Florida snowybirdie Sep 2021 #6
My region says 'cold and dry' EYESORE 9001 Sep 2021 #7
Mine, Too! ProfessorGAC Sep 2021 #10
My area says mild and dry, unfortunately. Elessar Zappa Sep 2021 #8
dont forget we in the west have been forecasted to have a la nina vs a el nino year again. AllaN01Bear Sep 2021 #9
The West really needs a good snow pack Qutzupalotl Sep 2021 #11
I just spent a week in western Wyoming mcar Sep 2021 #12
Snowy Corgigal Sep 2021 #14
Mild and dry definitely isn't what California and the southwest need. marmar Sep 2021 #15
Sorry James48 Sep 2021 #16
"80% accuracy" is a bit of a stretch. TheRickles Sep 2021 #17
You might as well count the nuts that the squirrels are burying! 70sEraVet Sep 2021 #19
Reading weather forecasts in the Farmer's Almanac is Disaffected Sep 2021 #18
Ted Cruz better make sure his passport isn't expiring soon nattyice Sep 2021 #20
The RWNJs will use this as an excuse to to claim that global warming is not real. LW1977 Sep 2021 #21
Time for my seasonal wardrobe change MyMission Sep 2021 #23
Meaningless garbage. DavidDvorkin Sep 2021 #24
I have no idea how they make their predictions. I get mine from NOAA LeftInTX Sep 2021 #25
Do they still go by the thickness of the fuzz on woolly caterpillars? Shanti Shanti Shanti Sep 2021 #26

SergeStorms

(19,186 posts)
1. I wonder...
Sun Sep 12, 2021, 06:16 PM
Sep 2021

if they've altered their original formula for forecasting to allow for global climate change?

Good luck getting a straight answer out of them.

tblue37

(65,227 posts)
4. Maybe I'll get to wear a coat this year. For the last three winters I've worn corduroy shirts
Sun Sep 12, 2021, 06:41 PM
Sep 2021

as coats instead because it wasn't cold enough for a coat. I i be in eastern Kansas, and winter used to get pretty darned cold, but not recently.

ProfessorGAC

(64,854 posts)
10. Mine, Too!
Sun Sep 12, 2021, 07:10 PM
Sep 2021

The "cold" part; we call that WINTER!
I have serious doubts about the integrity of that 80% number they tout.

Elessar Zappa

(13,911 posts)
8. My area says mild and dry, unfortunately.
Sun Sep 12, 2021, 07:02 PM
Sep 2021

Our mountains desperately need snowpack. I hope the almanac is wrong.

mcar

(42,278 posts)
12. I just spent a week in western Wyoming
Sun Sep 12, 2021, 07:45 PM
Sep 2021

Mostly in Grand Teton and Yellowstone National Parks. The drought effects there are devastating - lakes and rivers down in vast amounts and, of course, wildfires.

I spoke with a rancher at a going out of business western wear store in a nearby town. He said they got almost no snow last winter and if the same happens this winter, they are in very big trouble.

Corgigal

(9,291 posts)
14. Snowy
Sun Sep 12, 2021, 08:09 PM
Sep 2021

I’m fine with it, keeps the Smokey Mountains from going up. I know it’s will happen one day, but I’m never upset at rain or snow.

James48

(4,427 posts)
16. Sorry
Sun Sep 12, 2021, 08:38 PM
Sep 2021

but I'm not impressed with the accuracy of "The Old Farmer's Almanac".

I trust the United States Weather Bureau. Much more accurate, although it's not as "long term" in it's predictions.

TheRickles

(2,047 posts)
17. "80% accuracy" is a bit of a stretch.
Sun Sep 12, 2021, 08:47 PM
Sep 2021

Most TV weather forecasters have a hard time matching that level of accuracy for one-week forecasts! But the Almanac is a lot of fun to read.

Disaffected

(4,546 posts)
18. Reading weather forecasts in the Farmer's Almanac is
Sun Sep 12, 2021, 08:51 PM
Sep 2021

like reading tea leaves or your horoscope in the newspaper.

MyMission

(1,849 posts)
23. Time for my seasonal wardrobe change
Sun Sep 12, 2021, 09:17 PM
Sep 2021

I basically have 2 wardrobes, one for warm weather in April thru September, and one for cold weather October thru March.

In spring/summer I'm in skirts, shorts, sundresses, t shirts, tank tops, and sandals.
I love the summer.

In fall/winter I layer up, thermal tops and bottoms, long pants, long sleeves, flannel shirts, sweaters galore, wool socks, assorted boots, not to mention the jackets, vests, coats, hats, gloves and ice cleats. I'll be ready!

Thanks for the heads up.

LeftInTX

(25,134 posts)
25. I have no idea how they make their predictions. I get mine from NOAA
Sun Sep 12, 2021, 10:02 PM
Sep 2021

Predictions are on the last two pages.

For what it's worth Texas was hot and dry last winter, with the exception of the freak cold.

People already had tomatoes in the ground. It was exceptionally warm. Then, we had a week of cold.
After the cold, it did not get below freezing one single time. We were on water restrictions until May 15th.
NOAA is predicting warm and dry conditions for Southern CA, AZ, NM, TX, LA, MS, Al, GA and FL.

NOAA is predicting wet and cold for the Pacific NW.

Sorry, I go with the science, not snake oil

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

 

Shanti Shanti Shanti

(12,047 posts)
26. Do they still go by the thickness of the fuzz on woolly caterpillars?
Sun Sep 12, 2021, 11:37 PM
Sep 2021

I dont really care for predictions, the weather is coming whether we like it or not.

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