If Newsom Is Recalled after Today's Election in California,

[MineralMan]

it will be because Democratic voters did not bother to vote. I'm pretty sure the recall will fail, but that's not a certainty.

If the recall vote removes Newson, it should be a massive wake-up call for the Democratic Party. Historically in the 21st century, Democrats have failed to turn out in many off-year and special elections, thus allowing Republicans to take over elected offices. That's especially true in local and state elections, but the same has occurred even in congressional elections in non-presidential election years.

We must do better with getting out the vote for EVERY election. If we do not, we will soon find ourselves unable to vote at all. The right wing of the Republican Party has exactly that outcome in mind.

So, don't just assume that enough Democrats will show up and vote. They might not. They often have not, in enough numbers to win.

We must do better!

[Wounded Bear]

1. Complacency is a much bigger problem among Dems than among repubs...

It's how a minority party has taken over vast swaths of our country.

[TheRealNorth]

5. Democrats don't have a huge media apparatus

Dedicated to stiring outrage and keeping everyone focused on the prize.

[Mad_Machine76]

18. It seems crazy

that Republicans have the most power but do the least real work for the country. They seem to have endless financial resources, time, and energy to stir the pot for their base 24-7-365 on Fox News and countless AM Radio outlets all over the country, meanwhile working class people are too busy slaving away for the corporate best desperate to survive and are only partially aware of what's going on at any given amount of time and don't always get to the polls like the Republican base. I wish we could figure out a way to address this.

[brooklynite]

20. And without that resource, they've managed to win elections.

[MineralMan]

13. Yes, so it has seemed far too many times.

[Initech]

2. I proudly voted no! Fuck the MAGAs!

[samnsara]

3. i just got my BOYCOTT TEXAS t shirt..am I going to have to get one for California too?

[WA-03 Democrat]

4. No, not going to happen

Buy a “I CA” shirt now

[jimfields33]

6. Every registered person received a ballot

We cannot make it much easier to vote. I think the governor will be kept by a huge percentage.

[JohnSJ]

8. That is why I think previous poll numbers were not factoring that in correctly in some of the polls

they made assumptions about low turnout for Democrats that I don’t think took that into consideration

[JohnSJ]

7. In my view it will be a bellwether for 2022.

[fescuerescue]

9. Not enough votes is indeed the #1 reason that candidates lose elections

Hopefully Newsom gets enough votes.

[3catwoman3]

10. The eloquent simplicity of your explanation reminds me of...

...coaches being asked why their team lost a game - "The other team scored more points than we did."

[pwb]

11. He wins by a landslide.

We have learned IMO. Let us see?

[MineralMan]

12. I hope you are correct.

I lived most of my life in California. From the age of 3 months to the age of 59, my home was there. Then, I moved to Minnesota almost 18 years ago. As an adult and teenager, I was active in Democratic politics in that state as well.

My sense is that Democrats will vote in enough numbers to kill the recall. However, nothing is as it seems sometimes. We shall see. I remain hopeful.

[Marius25]

14. Currently Nate Silver has voters averaging 57% against recall

And I heard at least twice as many Dems have mailed in ballots compared to Republicans so far.

Really comes down to how many people vote in person today.

[haele]

21. Republicans tend to show up on voting day.

Lack of trust in mail in ballots. The problem will be if they're reminded to come vote today; hopefully they are still date-lagged from summer and the late Labor Day we had this month.
Much easier to mail the ballot in or drop it off.

Haele

[SoCalNative]

15. I fail to understand why

when every registered voter in the state received a mail-in ballot, that one can't be bothered to take 2 seconds to fill out and sign your ballot then either put in the mail (postage paid) or go to your local drop box and deposit.

[MineralMan]

16. I agree. It will be interesting to see the total vote count.

That will give us some clues.

[honest.abe]

17. I think Texas abortion law has shocked complacent Dems into reality.

I’m convinced they will show up today.

[MineralMan]

19. Well, it should have.

We'll see.