General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forumsfirst significant storm of the fall season due in Pacific Northwest into Idaho - rain and mtn snow
unfortunately looks like low chance of any rain in California fire areas...
let's get the winter party started!
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?new&prod=XXXAFDSEW&wfo=sew
mcar
(42,206 posts)The drought affects were staggering - ponds, lakes and rivers dried out - the mountains barely visible from the smoke from CA fires.
I spoke to a rancher in a western wear store in a small town in Wyoming. He said if they don't get a good, snowy winter this year, they are in big trouble. I'm not a prayer but I pray for a snowy winter for these places.
In the meantime, we are saturated in FL. I wish we could use those stupid oil pipelines to send water west and north.
roamer65
(36,739 posts)October to April.
Hang on, folks.
The ride is gonna get a bit bumpy.
cilla4progress
(24,585 posts)ONNNNN!!!!
BumRushDaShow
(127,270 posts)from my own local NWS site (which is in Mt. Holly, NJ doing Philly) and they were mentioning a pattern change coming up in the long term - the "trough in the west and ridge in the east" (where most times it has been reversed). So having that big dip on the west coast may eventually let some storms start to funnel there.
There is also a recent NCEP forecast of going from ENSO neutral to a La Nina (70% - 80% chance) this coming winter - https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/september-2021-enso-update-feeling-groovy
Some general info on the ENSO states - https://www.weather.gov/fwd/teleconnections
What La Nina can do in winter -
Much will depend on whether it is a weak or strong La Nina. We had a La Nina winter last year too.