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Gee what happened to the California Doomers? (Original Post) Kingofalldems Sep 2021 OP
Who cares? CountAllVotes Sep 2021 #1
I just finished running for my life this morning louslobbs Sep 2021 #9
In the end, it wasn't even remotely close. spanone Sep 2021 #2
Reverse psychology? NCDem47 Sep 2021 #3
Do we really need that here? CrackityJones75 Sep 2021 #16
See my post below StarfishSaver Sep 2021 #32
That is BS...it works just the opposite...if you think you will lose then a why bother attitude take Demsrule86 Sep 2021 #31
Someone asked WA-03 Democrat Sep 2021 #4
The m$m made sure it looked like a horse race. The pollsters are just as guilty! PortTack Sep 2021 #5
M$M's main purpose is making money Retrograde Sep 2021 #18
Yeah, there were many of them spouting that oft repeated... brush Sep 2021 #6
If that motivated people to mail in their ballot or vote, I am ok with that JohnSJ Sep 2021 #7
I resemble that remark! Bobstandard Sep 2021 #8
It's far better to say that and be wrong than to have said Elder had no chance and be wrong ck4829 Sep 2021 #10
Elder happened Sympthsical Sep 2021 #11
Thank you. Treefrog Sep 2021 #24
Oh, stop it. We all had reason to worry about what would happen in the largest state hlthe2b Sep 2021 #12
At least you are no longer accusing us who thought COVID19 was serious of spreading hysteria Kaleva Sep 2021 #14
Everyne who knows me knows better than that hlthe2b Sep 2021 #19
I agree...we had real reason to worry cally Sep 2021 #17
Yes. Even with twice the registered voters, I couldn't help worrying. Hortensis Sep 2021 #20
Message auto-removed Name removed Sep 2021 #13
I am quite glad Dems showed up dsc Sep 2021 #15
My husband and I were text banking for weeks FelineOverlord Sep 2021 #21
They're dooming about how angry Americans are or some such. BannonsLiver Sep 2021 #22
Chuck Todd was all in on 'Democrats in disarray' about 15 minutes ago. Kingofalldems Sep 2021 #23
Still watching him huh? Treefrog Sep 2021 #25
WTF you laughing at? Kingofalldems Sep 2021 #28
You. Treefrog Sep 2021 #33
Probably happy and relieved that their warnings were heeded and the GOTV effort worked! fescuerescue Sep 2021 #26
And I remember people here being lambasted for being worried about tfg in 2016. Treefrog Sep 2021 #27
It was based on the 2003 recall election that put Arnold Schwarznegger in as governor LeftInTX Sep 2021 #29
Exactly, that was the fear many of us had eissa Sep 2021 #34
The same thing that often happens in these instances StarfishSaver Sep 2021 #30
For realz! CrackityJones75 Sep 2021 #35
You must not remember the posters here worried that tfg would win in 2016. Treefrog Sep 2021 #36
I wasn't here then, but I know lots of people who felt that way StarfishSaver Sep 2021 #37
So apparently, Obama, Sanders, Warren, Pres. Biden, VP Harris, and all the others hlthe2b Sep 2021 #38
You didn't read my post, did you? StarfishSaver Sep 2021 #39
Indeed I did--every word accusing other DUers. hlthe2b Sep 2021 #40
You sure read an awful lot into a post that didn't say what you're accusing me of StarfishSaver Sep 2021 #44
Or maybe the polls were really close, so people hit the alarm Sympthsical Sep 2021 #41
Exactly. hlthe2b Sep 2021 #43
I wasn't complaining about actual Democrats. Kingofalldems Sep 2021 #45
Truth is Mad_Machine76 Sep 2021 #42
They've moved on UnderThisLaw Sep 2021 #46
Voter turnout was at a 20 year low in 2016. Niagara Sep 2021 #47

louslobbs

(3,233 posts)
9. I just finished running for my life this morning
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 11:02 AM
Sep 2021

Down here in Palm Springs……I’m exhausted, but it was worth it…..lol.

Demsrule86

(68,565 posts)
31. That is BS...it works just the opposite...if you think you will lose then a why bother attitude take
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 02:38 PM
Sep 2021

over. I have done GOTV for more than 15 years...and that has always been my experince.

WA-03 Democrat

(3,050 posts)
4. Someone asked
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 10:55 AM
Sep 2021

If they needed to buy a “Boycott California” to match their “Boycott Texas” t-shirt yesterday.

I assured them that the right t-shirt to buy is the “I CA”

The Democratic Party didn’t fall for the same reasons it prevailed in 2018 and 2020. The USA is not in favor of fascism. We want and love DEMOCRACY.

Retrograde

(10,136 posts)
18. M$M's main purpose is making money
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 12:33 PM
Sep 2021

They wanted to make it look like a potential disaster for Newsom because that would get more viewers and therefore more ad revenue. And pollsters don't seem to have quite grasped that more voters are voting early or by mail, and that fewer people are answering phones if they don't recognize the number, so their results are biased.

brush

(53,776 posts)
6. Yeah, there were many of them spouting that oft repeated...
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 10:58 AM
Sep 2021

bit of so-called conventional wisdom that republicans had a good shot at the recall because they will be more energized to come out and vote than Democrats.

Even some journalists repeated that bullshit because they just accepted it too as fact when all it was was a republican talking point.

Bobstandard

(1,305 posts)
8. I resemble that remark!
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 10:58 AM
Sep 2021

I, among others, was sh’’ing bricks that the recall would succeed. Early polls weren’t encouraging and it was obvious that the Yes forces were motivated, organized, and well funded. I was in a panic and wasn’t quiet about it. Let’s face it, any other result would have been a terrible thing

I’m not sorry or contrite. In fact, I believe I did my part in securing victory, not just by voting, but by speaking out.

I’m happy and relieved that the recall failed. I’m really happy that it was a blowout.

ck4829

(35,075 posts)
10. It's far better to say that and be wrong than to have said Elder had no chance and be wrong
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 11:03 AM
Sep 2021

2016 should have taught us that never assume any election will be “easy” or “there’s no way the crazy can pull it off”.

Sympthsical

(9,073 posts)
11. Elder happened
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 11:08 AM
Sep 2021

As soon as he started talking and getting media play, the polls stopped being close and started rapidly diverging to the result we got.

But hey, gotta needle the Dems, I guess.

Heaven forfend we actually care about what's going on in our state and motivate to keep it Democratic.

The horror of it all.

Probably should've laid back with an "It's in the bag," attitude. That's never steered us wrong. Especially not nationally.

You're literally flicking at people who sounded the alarm to keep California blue.

Is ok. My Wednesday morning is kind of slow, too. Maybe we can get some intraparty conflict going on a morning of victory. You know, just for giggles.

hlthe2b

(102,263 posts)
12. Oh, stop it. We all had reason to worry about what would happen in the largest state
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 11:20 AM
Sep 2021

(population-wise). I volunteered my time to phonebank, as did other DUers.

You may think it wasn't needed, but damn. A little appreciation wouldn't kill you. This OP should be deleted.

Kaleva

(36,298 posts)
14. At least you are no longer accusing us who thought COVID19 was serious of spreading hysteria
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 11:48 AM
Sep 2021

Comments you made last year:

"So promoting hysteria over this virus, when Americans won't even take basic precautions against the most serious and threatening virus circulating currently is hardly the most responsible protection message."

and this:

"Surgical facemasks won't protect you. You need N-95 HEPA filter masks.

FYI

That said, you are jumping to conclusions right now. Right now, flu is more likely to infect you."

To be fair, you changed your tune later when people were dying by the hundreds and thousands and it's possible you may have posted your appreciation for those of us here who were sounding warning bells.

hlthe2b

(102,263 posts)
19. Everyne who knows me knows better than that
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 01:01 PM
Sep 2021

everyone.

Your posting a comment about flu during the earliest time period when it was absolutely true and likewise a true comment about N95 v sx facemasks out of context shows yourself in an extremely unflattering manner.

Many here know my expertise and i have nothing to explain to you.

Whatever your issue, get over it.

Everyone will likewise note you did not include dates of those points from early 2020. While i suppose i should be flattered you took so much time to search my old posts, albeit in a disingenuous manner, some might wonder if you are stalking for some reason…

cally

(21,593 posts)
17. I agree...we had real reason to worry
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 12:27 PM
Sep 2021

All I saw in California was yes on recall and local activists promoting the recall until Democrats saw those polls and got active. We needed to get folks to vote to defeat this and we did. Without that push and focus, I’m not sure we would have had these results

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
20. Yes. Even with twice the registered voters, I couldn't help worrying.
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 01:10 PM
Sep 2021

This time in 2016, Hillary was way out ahead of tRump, with such long coattals that we were sure of a majority in the senate and even the house was newly possible, plus various states. Even if we didn't do as well as expected, we couldn't lose and sensible people did not lie awake in the middle of the night worrying about what was not really possible...

Everything that's happened was not really possible. Not here. I'm both traumatized and more aware than then.

And extremely grateful to our wonderful voters in California. This will help the entire nation in 2022 and 2024.

Response to Kingofalldems (Original post)

dsc

(52,161 posts)
15. I am quite glad Dems showed up
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 12:00 PM
Sep 2021

It was far from crazy to think there was a problem given the poll numbers.

FelineOverlord

(3,578 posts)
21. My husband and I were text banking for weeks
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 01:11 PM
Sep 2021

We did it because we are TERRIBLE at phone banking.

There were thousands of us texting on a daily basis. We even “broke Spoke” a couple of times (Spoke is the texting software).

Yesterday I texted for six hours and sent at least 3000 texts. The last few days I received many replies of “Thanks for reminding me!”

And that is why we did it. Because we knew if California Dems just voted, they would win easily. But they had to vote!

Kingofalldems

(38,456 posts)
28. WTF you laughing at?
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 02:08 PM
Sep 2021

Heard it on the radio.

Big loss for republicans and Trump in California. They really are at a loss, seem to be quite irritated today.

fescuerescue

(4,448 posts)
26. Probably happy and relieved that their warnings were heeded and the GOTV effort worked!
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 01:41 PM
Sep 2021

I remember shortly after 1/1/2000, lots and lots of people said "see you guys were crazy for working so hard on the Y2K problem. Nothing happened!"

yes. Nothing happened BECAUSE we worked so hard on the Y2K problem.

 

Treefrog

(4,170 posts)
27. And I remember people here being lambasted for being worried about tfg in 2016.
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 02:07 PM
Sep 2021

I wasn’t a member then, and that’s one of the reasons I didn’t join. I couldnt believe how many Dems were castigated for their (obviously legitimate) worry at the time.

LeftInTX

(25,316 posts)
29. It was based on the 2003 recall election that put Arnold Schwarznegger in as governor
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 02:19 PM
Sep 2021

CA is very blue, but special elections are all about turnout. If Democrats don't show up, as in 2003 they lose.

Happens around here: Blue districts turn red during special elections because Democrats don't show up.
And it is also about the crazy way the ballot was worded.

I'm glad that this worked out!

California did not want to boot Newsom, but were they doing to vote?
Some people don't vote because they think, "Newsom has got this"

eissa

(4,238 posts)
34. Exactly, that was the fear many of us had
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 02:57 PM
Sep 2021

"Oh, come on, The Terminator could never be elected Governor!"
"No way will Hillary lose to trump - every poll shows her leading!"

Many of us were worried that the race would be closer than we thought, so yeah, I was one of those who was a bit fearful. I didn't think Newsom would lose, but I thought the results would be tighter and that it could possibly have ramifications for upcoming elections. I'm more than happy that I was wrong.

 

StarfishSaver

(18,486 posts)
30. The same thing that often happens in these instances
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 02:36 PM
Sep 2021

Most are probably pleasantly surprised and grateful. Some are likely disappointed that their doomsday scenario didn't pan out. And a few insist on taking credit for the outcome because they're certain that only reason this turned out differently than they predicted was that their pessimistic prognostications spurred people into action and they won't even consider the possibility that they may have just been wrong.

 

Treefrog

(4,170 posts)
36. You must not remember the posters here worried that tfg would win in 2016.
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 03:04 PM
Sep 2021

They took a lot of crap.

But they were right.

 

StarfishSaver

(18,486 posts)
37. I wasn't here then, but I know lots of people who felt that way
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 03:10 PM
Sep 2021

I was among those who felt that it wasn't a sure thing that he would win but that he definitely could.

But that turned out to be a very different situation than this.

hlthe2b

(102,263 posts)
38. So apparently, Obama, Sanders, Warren, Pres. Biden, VP Harris, and all the others
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 03:13 PM
Sep 2021

who came to campaign and make videos for Newsom were just "overreacting," and naive' doomsayers, eh?

 

StarfishSaver

(18,486 posts)
39. You didn't read my post, did you?
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 03:18 PM
Sep 2021

Had you actually read it rather than jumped in with your objections, you wouldn't have needed to ask this question. You would know that they probably fall in the first category of people who are pleasantly surprised and grateful that the worst case scenario didn't occur.

hlthe2b

(102,263 posts)
40. Indeed I did--every word accusing other DUers.
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 03:21 PM
Sep 2021

You hold yourself out to be a Dem activist/ a former hill worker, yet you castigate those who worked to ensure the CA recall was unsuccessful--holding them with such contempt? Really?

Well, I was worried, so I did reach out to help make calls for CA Dems. Just as Harris, Obama, Biden, Warren and Sanders did. What did you do?

Call me a CA doomsayer. I lived through Bush* selection and the horrendous loss with John Kerry. I know what CAN happen.

Sympthsical

(9,073 posts)
41. Or maybe the polls were really close, so people hit the alarm
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 03:23 PM
Sep 2021

Once those late July, early August polls came out, I saw a lot of previously unseen activity of people phone banking and canvassing. People freaked out, because they complacently thought there was no way. The polls shattered that complacency.

Why is this a bad thing all of a sudden? People saw a problem, raised awareness, and got it done.

The end.

This is like someone noting their shoe is untied, they bend down and tie it, then some chucklehead comes along afterwards, "Heh heh heh, the shoe was tied all along. You said the shoe was untied. Idiot!"

Unless the goal is to shit on fellow Democrats. Which happens a lot around here. "Democrats did a great job. Now, who in my party can I complain about in this . . ."

So helpful. So pro-Democratic. Not at all trying to stir shit and get some conflict going.

Mad_Machine76

(24,412 posts)
42. Truth is
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 03:26 PM
Sep 2021

that the polls were looking a bit tight for awhile. Glad that Newsom actually out-performed the polling but he was able to widen his small lead as people came to realize just how wacky Elder was and how bad he would be for California, even if he only lasted in office for year.

Niagara

(7,605 posts)
47. Voter turnout was at a 20 year low in 2016.
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 04:25 PM
Sep 2021

90 million registered voters didn't vote. I'm not sure what the reasoning was, restrictive voter ID laws, couldn't get to the polls, not enough time for early voting, they simply didn't care, or whatever.



Even though I always vote, I thought that Hillary had the presidency in the bag. She didn't.



They already predicted a low voter turnout in California for the recall election. Kings County in CA had an historic low turnout. Again, I'm not sure what the reasoning is. Whatever the reasoning is, I would like to see it corrected.



https://hanfordsentinel.com/news/local/kings-county-headed-towards-historic-low-turnout/article_9e335981-4c4a-5772-b4fa-709ec07c7951.html



https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/california-democrats-warn-of-low-turnout-in-recall-election/ar-AAMLkGR

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