Romney can't win without OH WI or combo of IA + NV — he trails in all four

[bigtree]

tweeted by, Charles Lane ‏@ChuckLane1

Check this Politico map of Romney predicament. Can't win without OH WI or combo of IA + NV — he trails in all 4 http://politi.co/MOVHRl

[seabeyond]

1. i am not seeing any way

romney wins. and it is an obvious to me.

i read on here, people talking it is a tight race, or possible romney win.

yet, i do not see it as far as state wins.

i am also not listening to media.

sometimes, i wonder what i am missing. mostly, i ignore it all. lol

[AndyTiedye]

10. Robme "Wins" by Stealing Ohio, Florida and Wisconsin

Can we possibly win without those three?

[seabeyond]

18. mmmm, i am not seeing close enough in ohio for theft.

and i am a believer that they stole 2004.

[tulsakatz]

2. ok, I have a question

thank you for that map....it looks good but when you look at VA, they have Obama at 48.0% & Romney at 48.0% & yet they gave the state's 13 electoral votes to Romney! Why?

That seems odd to me because if they're dead even, they shouldn't give the votes to anyone yet...

[bigtree]

5. good point

. . . and I believe Va. might be trending up for Obama. Prez is spending a lot of time there . . . Romney, too.

[LeftofObama]

6. That's an excellent point that I hadn't even thought of.

Thanks for that.

[tulsakatz]

12. you're welcome guys...

I just thought it was odd that they would give to a guy who hadn't even won yet!

[Coexist]

11. because they're trying to find a path to 270 for Romney

and giving him that, but then looking at the remaining toss-ups. He won't win if we all vote.

[tulsakatz]

13. haha......that explains it, kind of

[AndyTiedye]

20. Because of the "Red Shift"

Any close election shifts in the red direction.

[krawhitham]

3. All rMoney needs is Ohio or Wisconsin

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html

No tossups it is 277 to 261, all he needs is 9 electoral votes

Ohio or Wisconsin would be enough

[regnaD kciN]

7. I don't know where you're getting the 277-261...

538.com estimates 287.8 EV, while Princeton Elections Consortium gives Obama 299.

[krawhitham]

8. Try the link I posted

[grantcart]

16. grantcart has him at 319. lol that's what happens when you take the Garvis out of your a#%

[exboyfil]

9. Combinations to win

Lose big 4 but win:
MI, PA, WI, CO, IA, NV, NH

Win OH
MI, PA, OH, WI or CO, IA or NV
MI, PA, OH, IA, NV, and NH (win without either CO or WI)

Win NC
MI, PA, NC, CO, WI
MI, PA, NC, CO or WI, and 2 of 3 (IA, NV, NH)


Win VA
MI, PA, VA, WI, IA or NV, NH
MI, PA, VA, and 3 of 4 (WI, CO, NV, IA)

[tulsakatz]

17. another interesting map...

but even if you look at that map, I don't see where he could flip one more state. Maybe it's possible, I'm just not seeing it...

[krawhitham]

4. Todays PPP has Virginia +2 Obama, New Ohio poll to be released between 2-3 today

[winstars]

19. This will be an important poll, PPP has recently shown not been very "Demo leaning" recently!!!

2 or 3 points+ won't be good news, I am for hoping 5+...

We will know soon...

[reformist2]

14. I want Obama to try to lock down Florida... that'll really end Romney's chances.

[grantcart]

15. Romney can't win without Ohio. Every non scenario without Ohio is ludicrious.

If he then picks up NV or IA or VA, which he now leads it becomes high comedy.