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dsc

(52,160 posts)
Thu Sep 23, 2021, 12:22 PM Sep 2021

So about the poll which shows Trump more popular than Biden

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/573036-poll-biden-trump-statistically-tied-in-favorability?rl=1

I can't find any of the results of it. It has no MOE due to:

Full poll results will be posted online later this week. Respondents are recruited via voter panel providers on a randomized basis, and their responses are then weighted to reflect known demographics. As a representative poll conducted online, it does not report a probability confidence interval.

It should be noted this story was published on Monday, it is now Thursday afternoon and I still see no sign of this poll being reported in full online.

Their website (linked below) has no poll since May despite supposedly doing polls monthly.

https://harvardharrispoll.com/

end of linked stuff

So, let's start at the headline. You can't be statistically tied if there isn't a confidence interval. As to the poll itself. We have no earthly idea what the numbers are, what people were asked, or what questions they were asked nor the order in which they were asked them. I am literally going to use the article on this in my AP states class to discuss innumeracy and why it matters.
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So about the poll which shows Trump more popular than Biden (Original Post) dsc Sep 2021 OP
Shady poll is why they mostly end up being wrong TheLegend Sep 2021 #1
OK I'll bite . ... Lovie777 Sep 2021 #2
It's not only the Harris poll. Gallup too. IMO, poor messaging, Democratic infighting, and failure Doodley Sep 2021 #3
 

TheLegend

(12 posts)
1. Shady poll is why they mostly end up being wrong
Thu Sep 23, 2021, 12:27 PM
Sep 2021

Yes Biden might be unpopular right now but as we get closer to the election in 2022 I will bet his approval will go up.

Doodley

(9,088 posts)
3. It's not only the Harris poll. Gallup too. IMO, poor messaging, Democratic infighting, and failure
Thu Sep 23, 2021, 12:49 PM
Sep 2021

to clearly define Trump as the traitor he is are to blame.

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