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The 271 Fire Wall
http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=MDO
Anything over 271 is sweet. To get this low, Obama would have to lose Virgina, Florida, AND Iowa (or Nevada). That's really not a fact-based scenario.
In the unlikely event Obama loses Ohio, he can pick up Iowa and Virginia, and have 272 EV. But again, that's not a fact based scenario.
Do all that you have to do to help your state and your president, but remember the 271 Fire Wall. Don't panic!