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General Discussion

bbinacan

(7,047 posts) Sat Oct 20, 2012, 06:30 PM Oct 2012

0

Why so worried about Gallup showing R 51 O 45?

In the 2008 elections, they were ranked 20th. Rasmussen and Pew rated the best. Rasmussen has R 49 O 48. I don't know what PEW has.

18 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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Why so worried about Gallup showing R 51 O 45? (Original Post) bbinacan Oct 2012 OP

I don't trust any poll out there. underoath Oct 2012 #1

Congratulations bbinacan Oct 2012 #2

Thanks.. I guess..? underoath Oct 2012 #4

I don't either...are you going to roll eyes at me, too? nt. OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #5

Just for you bbinacan Oct 2012 #15

They don't matter. Swing states matter, but . . . Faygo Kid Oct 2012 #3

Good point about the swing states bbinacan Oct 2012 #8

Who was the pollster dennis4868 Oct 2012 #10

Rasmussen bbinacan Oct 2012 #12

"Most accurate" is only related to the final nationwide poll prior to the election RomneyLies Oct 2012 #13

Too many are wasting too much time worrying about Gallop polls. Lone_Star_Dem Oct 2012 #6

To answer your question, any poll showing a challenger at or above 51% in October is bad news Hippo_Tron Oct 2012 #7

Gallup is an outlier but bbinacan Oct 2012 #9

"If this poll is accurate, this race is over" RomneyLies Oct 2012 #14

Technically he is right, but that poll is bs. underoath Oct 2012 #17

I checked vegas odds dcmfox Oct 2012 #11

I'm Not DarthDem Oct 2012 #16

I'm not bbinacan Oct 2012 #18

underoath

(269 posts)

1. I don't trust any poll out there.

Reply to bbinacan (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 06:32 PM

Oct 2012

bbinacan

(7,047 posts)

2. Congratulations

Reply to underoath (Reply #1)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 06:34 PM

Oct 2012

underoath

(269 posts)

4. Thanks.. I guess..?

Reply to bbinacan (Reply #2)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 06:36 PM

Oct 2012

OldDem2012

(3,526 posts)

5. I don't either...are you going to roll eyes at me, too? nt.

Reply to bbinacan (Reply #2)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 06:37 PM

Oct 2012

bbinacan

(7,047 posts)

15. Just for you

Reply to OldDem2012 (Reply #5)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 07:05 PM

Oct 2012

Faygo Kid

(21,478 posts)

3. They don't matter. Swing states matter, but . . .

Reply to underoath (Reply #1)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 06:34 PM

Oct 2012

. . . I don't like the odds with all those GOP guvs and Secretaries of State.

Need to change your line: Let's go Red Wings is one I heartily agree with, but since the NHL is on strike, how about: LET'S GO TIGERS!

bbinacan

(7,047 posts)

8. Good point about the swing states

Reply to Faygo Kid (Reply #3)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 06:54 PM

Oct 2012

I dug deeper and this is not promising

FL R-51 O-46

OH O-49 R-48

VA R-50 O-47

NC R-52 O-46

dennis4868

(9,774 posts)

10. Who was the pollster

Reply to bbinacan (Reply #8)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 06:59 PM

Oct 2012

For each of those states? PPP?

bbinacan

(7,047 posts)

12. Rasmussen

Reply to dennis4868 (Reply #10)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 07:01 PM

Oct 2012

they were the most accurate in 2008.

RomneyLies

(3,333 posts)

13. "Most accurate" is only related to the final nationwide poll prior to the election

Reply to bbinacan (Reply #12)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 07:03 PM

Oct 2012

The ratings are mostly meaningless, too.

The trends are what's important, and Obama is trending up in most swing states.

Lone_Star_Dem

(28,158 posts)

6. Too many are wasting too much time worrying about Gallop polls.

Reply to bbinacan (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 06:38 PM

Oct 2012

Honestly, if you're worried make some calls for the president. Work to GOTV in a swing state if you're able. These are things that really matter right now.

Hippo_Tron

(25,453 posts)

7. To answer your question, any poll showing a challenger at or above 51% in October is bad news

Reply to bbinacan (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 06:41 PM

Oct 2012

Furthermore, Gallup is well known.

That said, I think their likely voter model blows and that's why they're an outlier.

bbinacan

(7,047 posts)

9. Gallup is an outlier but

Reply to Hippo_Tron (Reply #7)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 06:56 PM

Oct 2012

Bob Beckel says it's over based on Gallup. I don't get that.

RomneyLies

(3,333 posts)

14. "If this poll is accurate, this race is over"

Reply to bbinacan (Reply #9)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 07:04 PM

Oct 2012

That's what Beckel said.

underoath

(269 posts)

17. Technically he is right, but that poll is bs.

Reply to RomneyLies (Reply #14)

Sun Oct 21, 2012, 02:27 AM

Oct 2012

dcmfox

(211 posts)

11. I checked vegas odds

Reply to bbinacan (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 07:00 PM

Oct 2012

If I understood it right Romney needs to buy some tissue.

DarthDem

(5,256 posts)

16. I'm Not

Reply to bbinacan (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 07:46 PM

Oct 2012

The question is, why are you?

bbinacan

(7,047 posts)

18. I'm not

Reply to DarthDem (Reply #16)

Sun Oct 21, 2012, 05:48 PM

Oct 2012

what, me worry?

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