Hi, I am participating in an online research study, sponsored by IARPA (the Intelligence Advanced R

[Vincardog]

Hey everyone,

I am participating in an online research study, sponsored by IARPA (the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity), and I thought you might be interested in signing up, too. The study is called Forecasting World Events, and it involves making predictions about current issues that you select from various categories, like international relations, global politics, economics, business, and other topic areas. Once you sign up at the website, they will send you a background questionnaire, then after you complete the questionnaire, they will send you an e-mail to let you know if you have been selected. The questionnaire only takes about 20 minutes, and the prediction study itself is really interesting.

Here is the link to register:
I thought some of the prognosticators here might enjoy going on the record with their predictions.

https://fwe.inklingmarkets.com/cs_email_signups/new?referrer_id=256998

vincardog

[Melinda]

1. I predict your link invisable!

Damn, I am good!!!

[Vincardog]

2. You are good. Try it now please.

[Vincardog]

3. Is anybody out there? Kick if you can

[bemildred]

4. OK, I did it. nt

[Vincardog]

5. Thank U. Cheers.

[nadinbrzezinski]

6. Are they trying for crowdsourcing?

[Vincardog]

10. It does look like it. It seems interesting though.

Last edited Tue Oct 23, 2012, 05:20 PM - Edit history (1)

I just thought it looked interesting and thought some other DUers might too.

[MineralMan]

7. I signed up.

Interesting questionaire.

[Vincardog]

11. I hope to see some of your comments over there

[MineralMan]

12. I got approved and signed up this morning.

I'm using a different name over there, though. I like to keep things separate.

The questions are more international than I expected, but I'll participate to some extent, in areas I know well.

[Vincardog]

13. Good luck

[LadyHawkAZ]

8. I filled out the questionnaire

This should be interesting.

[Vincardog]

20. Are you predicting yet?

[LadyHawkAZ]

21. Never got a followup email

or if I did, it got lumped in with the spam/campaign emails and deleted.

[Change has come]

9. Done. n/t

[superpatriotman]

14. What the hell

I signed up and answered the questions. I'm sure there is a for-profit analytics company running it, but it seems like a fun time-waster.

[Vincardog]

15. Good I hope you are making predictions soon.

[Shankapotomus]

16. Do I get to be a policy advisor if I do well?

I don't want to participate if I can't be a policy advisor afterward.

[Vincardog]

17. I think they send you the contract with your acceptance letter.

[OldDem2012]

18. Important links for full disclosure...IARPA is part of the US Intelligence organization.....

Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity

QUOTE:

WHAT IS IARPA?

The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) invests in high-risk/high-payoff research programs that have the potential to provide our nation with an overwhelming intelligence advantage over future adversaries.


Also, note the link "ODNI" in the bottom left-hand corner....

Office of the Director of National Intelligence

QUOTE:

"The U.S. Intelligence Community is a coalition of 17 agencies and organizations, including the ODNI, within the Executive Branch that work both independently and collaboratively to gather and analyze the intelligence necessary to conduct foreign relations and national security activities."

[Vincardog]

19. Thanks for the links.