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Johnny2X2X

(19,108 posts)
Sat Oct 9, 2021, 11:25 AM Oct 2021

Study: Previous Covid infection offers very little protection against reinfection

https://www.woodtv.com/health/coronavirus/covid-19-reinfection-likely-for-the-unvaccinated/

“Previous infection alone can offer very little long-term protection against subsequent infections.”

Get vaccinated!

And this is compounded by a ton of people thinking because they had a bad cold in early 2020 it must have been Covid and they are protected.

I realize that there are some conflicting studies out there. But all of them say vaccinations help a lot.

Covid has been an absolute nightmare.
36 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Study: Previous Covid infection offers very little protection against reinfection (Original Post) Johnny2X2X Oct 2021 OP
Well, there goes the herd immunity notion down the bowl. nt littlemissmartypants Oct 2021 #1
Incredible, isn't it? I never would have thought we would have this kind of BeckyDem Oct 2021 #2
It's a replay of 1918-1919. lagomorph777 Oct 2021 #18
That's interesting, I hope we can change despite that. ugh BeckyDem Oct 2021 #35
It makes sense. The common cold is a coronavirus, we've all had more than one of those Walleye Oct 2021 #3
Not all colds are Corna virus IbogaProject Oct 2021 #6
Interesting. And way too complicated for uneducated people to have such strong opinions Walleye Oct 2021 #7
Quick! Somebody tell FOX News. They seem to have this completely wrong. Midnight Writer Oct 2021 #4
Well, it does and it doesn't. What my doctor told me .... KentuckyWoman Oct 2021 #5
Can someone explain why the antibodies from the VAX are so much better than the viral antibodies SYFROYH Oct 2021 #8
Well you can get Covid and produce no antibodies for 1 thing Johnny2X2X Oct 2021 #10
Ok, a generic antibody response make sense. SYFROYH Oct 2021 #17
They aren't Zeitghost Oct 2021 #21
With covid getting infected could be deadly. LisaL Oct 2021 #22
Correct Zeitghost Oct 2021 #31
Wrong- please don't spread that misinformation Thtwudbeme Oct 2021 #23
It's not wrong at all Zeitghost Oct 2021 #25
Cite your sources please Thtwudbeme Oct 2021 #26
Read your own link it doesn't say what you think it does Zeitghost Oct 2021 #27
Here is one Zeitghost Oct 2021 #30
From CDC's MMR: more information mainer Oct 2021 #9
That doesn't mean natural immunity offers no protection. LisaL Oct 2021 #12
Correct. But one way or another, vaccination should happen mainer Oct 2021 #13
There have been conflicting studies on just how good or not good natural immunity is. LisaL Oct 2021 #11
"Better" is not a word I'd use Johnny2X2X Oct 2021 #15
Pfizer doesn't exactly appear to be long lasting either. LisaL Oct 2021 #20
"Natural Immunity Fades More Quickly" mainer Oct 2021 #14
As you mentioned there are conflicting studies. totodeinhere Oct 2021 #16
The current study doesn't even appear to be a study of actual covid. LisaL Oct 2021 #19
you might find this interesting mainer Oct 2021 #24
Where are the numbers forthemiddle Oct 2021 #28
The only studies seem to be antibody levels mainer Oct 2021 #29
The numbers out of Israel Zeitghost Oct 2021 #32
israeli study may be flawed mainer Oct 2021 #33
Thanks! forthemiddle Oct 2021 #34
If they got infected first, it's a vaccine that's acting as a booster. LisaL Oct 2021 #36

BeckyDem

(8,361 posts)
2. Incredible, isn't it? I never would have thought we would have this kind of
Sat Oct 9, 2021, 11:38 AM
Oct 2021

struggle to fight off a pandemic. If someone years ago had made the prediction we would have this problem, I would not have believed it.

Mandated vaccines is what I support.

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
18. It's a replay of 1918-1919.
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 03:38 PM
Oct 2021

Look at some of the old newspaper stories. Shockingly similar, right down to the right-wing anti-maskers.

IbogaProject

(2,835 posts)
6. Not all colds are Corna virus
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 02:06 PM
Oct 2021

Not all colds are Coronavirus.

Colds come from 4 virus two are corona and two are Rhinovirus.

Just Fyi, we have all likely had corona before. One of the four may have been a pandemic late 19th century and it weakened after it became endemic.

Midnight Writer

(21,788 posts)
4. Quick! Somebody tell FOX News. They seem to have this completely wrong.
Sat Oct 9, 2021, 12:27 PM
Oct 2021

I'm sure they will want to make a correction to protect the health of their viewers.

KentuckyWoman

(6,692 posts)
5. Well, it does and it doesn't. What my doctor told me ....
Sat Oct 9, 2021, 12:58 PM
Oct 2021


He said the Covid vaccine works on a different level and that is why it is working against the mutations. All of the variants are still working off the same basic process that the vaccine is made to interupt, but that may change in the future.

The body's immune system only builds some immunity against the exact variant when you get sick. So the next variant, you have no protection.






SYFROYH

(34,183 posts)
8. Can someone explain why the antibodies from the VAX are so much better than the viral antibodies
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 02:14 PM
Oct 2021

Or is my biology-fu so weak that my question doesn't make sense?


Johnny2X2X

(19,108 posts)
10. Well you can get Covid and produce no antibodies for 1 thing
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 02:41 PM
Oct 2021

Last edited Mon Oct 11, 2021, 03:43 PM - Edit history (1)

You can have Covid and fight it off with inflammation and produce no antibodies. That person would have no immunity.

As far as antibodies go, I think the vaxxes get the body to produce antibodies that maybe are more "generic" than ones in response to a specific variant of Covid.

And so many people think they have Covid who didn't. I know we've all heard people say they must of had it in early 2020 when they really probably had a cold.

Zeitghost

(3,867 posts)
21. They aren't
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 03:49 PM
Oct 2021

The best combination is having both, although that involves getting infected so it's not ideal.

Natural immunity is better than vaccinated. Which is why the reinfection rate is far lower than the breakthrough infection rate.

LisaL

(44,974 posts)
22. With covid getting infected could be deadly.
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 03:51 PM
Oct 2021

It also appears to be somewhat unpredictable in that even young healthy people could die from it.

Zeitghost

(3,867 posts)
25. It's not wrong at all
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 03:55 PM
Oct 2021

A study of reinfection rates vs breakthrough rates makes it quite clear. Your link appears to be comparing the vaccinated vs unvaccinated among those who had been infected.
"The study of hundreds of Kentucky residents with previous infections through June 2021 found that those who were unvaccinated had 2.34 times the odds of reinfection compared with those who were fully vaccinated. The findings suggest that among people who have had COVID-19 previously, getting fully vaccinated provides additional protection against reinfection."

Zeitghost

(3,867 posts)
27. Read your own link it doesn't say what you think it does
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 04:00 PM
Oct 2021

"The study of hundreds of Kentucky residents with previous infections through June 2021 found that those who were unvaccinated had 2.34 times the odds of reinfection compared with those who were fully vaccinated. The findings suggest that among people who have had COVID-19 previously, getting fully vaccinated provides additional protection against reinfection."

mainer

(12,028 posts)
9. From CDC's MMR: more information
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 02:36 PM
Oct 2021
In today’s MMWR, a study of COVID-19 infections in Kentucky among people who were previously infected with SAR-CoV-2 shows that unvaccinated individuals are more than twice as likely to be reinfected with COVID-19 than those who were fully vaccinated after initially contracting the virus. These data further indicate that COVID-19 vaccines offer better protection than natural immunity alone and that vaccines, even after prior infection, help prevent reinfections.


https://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2021/s0806-vaccination-protection.html

LisaL

(44,974 posts)
12. That doesn't mean natural immunity offers no protection.
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 02:51 PM
Oct 2021

One can increase that protection even more by getting vaccinated after infection.

mainer

(12,028 posts)
13. Correct. But one way or another, vaccination should happen
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 02:55 PM
Oct 2021

There's also a new Lancet article that talks about how quickly natural immunity wanes.

LisaL

(44,974 posts)
11. There have been conflicting studies on just how good or not good natural immunity is.
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 02:48 PM
Oct 2021

There was at least one study that claimed natural immunity is better than vaccine induced immunity.

Johnny2X2X

(19,108 posts)
15. "Better" is not a word I'd use
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 03:33 PM
Oct 2021

There have been a number of studies that suggested natural immunity is stronger and longer lasting, but those are being outnumbers by ones that ay the opposite. A propensity of studies now say that vaccine immunity is better.

And regardless, all of the studies agree on one thing, getting vaccinated helps reduce the risk of getting Covid and dramatically helps reduce the risk of it being severe if you do get it.

mainer

(12,028 posts)
14. "Natural Immunity Fades More Quickly"
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 03:28 PM
Oct 2021
Natural immunity fades more quickly than vaccine immunity
Natural immunity can decay within about 90 days. Immunity from COVID-19 vaccines has been shown to last longer. Both Pfizer and Moderna reported strong vaccine protection for at least six months.
Studies are ongoing to evaluate the full duration of protective immunity, including the Johnson & Johnson vaccine.
Real-world studies also indicate natural immunity's short life. For example, 65% of people with a lower baseline antibody from infection to begin with completely lost their COVID-19 antibodies by 60 days.
What about that Israeli study suggesting natural immunity is stronger? Infectious diseases expert James Lawler, MD, MPH, FIDSA, carefully evaluates the study design of the retrospective Maccabi Health System study in his Aug. 31 briefing. In the briefing, he identifies two concerning sources of error that were not corrected for: survivorship bias and selection bias.
Natural immunity alone is weak
One study compared natural immunity alone to natural immunity plus vaccination. They found that, after infection, unvaccinated people are 2.34 times likelier to get COVID-19 again, compared to fully vaccinated people. So vaccinated people (after infection) have half the risk of reinfection than people relying on natural immunity alone.
"Studies show that the vaccine gives a very good booster response if you've had COVID-19 before," says Dr. Rupp.
Furthermore, there is no country on the globe in which natural infection and natural immunity has brought the pandemic under control. In countries like Iran or Brazil very high levels of natural infection have not prevented recurrent waves of infection.



https://www.nebraskamed.com/COVID/covid-19-studies-natural-immunity-versus-vaccination

LisaL

(44,974 posts)
19. The current study doesn't even appear to be a study of actual covid.
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 03:45 PM
Oct 2021

Rather, an analysis of similar viruses. I don't find that convincing.

mainer

(12,028 posts)
24. you might find this interesting
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 03:54 PM
Oct 2021

Quite a few COVID patients don't even mount an antibody response. "a seroprevalence study from New York found that 20% of persons with a positive RT-PCR test result did not seroconvert "

In summary, we show that patients with low SARS-CoV-2 viral loads in their respiratory tract are less likely to mount a systemic antibody response. Although we cannot formally exclude false-positive RT-PCR results in some participants, PCR contamination is highly unlikely as an explanation for our findings (Appendix). We also show that clinical illness does not guarantee seroconversion and that laboratories with highly sensitive RT-PCR assays are more likely to detect serologic nonresponders. These results provide an explanation for the puzzling variability of seroconversion in different cohorts.

The fact that a considerable fraction of RT-PCR positive persons fail to seroconvert has practical implications. Such persons remain undetected in seroprevalence studies, including in vaccine studies that assess protection from asymptomatic infection by measuring antibodies to antigens not included in the vaccine. Seroconverters and nonseroconverters will probably also respond differently to vaccination.


https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/27/9/21-1042_article

forthemiddle

(1,382 posts)
28. Where are the numbers
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 04:01 PM
Oct 2021

This study is theoretical, not based on actual case numbers. What will convince people, and me, is the actual numbers of reinfections, vs breakthrough numbers.
I am vaccinated, and I plan to get a booster in the future, but I really want real studies that I can show the skeptics.
I may be missing them, but I can’t find those studies.

mainer

(12,028 posts)
29. The only studies seem to be antibody levels
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 04:03 PM
Oct 2021

And those fade more quickly after natural infection. Do antibody levels correlate with protection? Maybe.

mainer

(12,028 posts)
33. israeli study may be flawed
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 04:12 PM
Oct 2021
What about that Israeli study suggesting natural immunity is stronger? Infectious diseases expert James Lawler, MD, MPH, FIDSA, carefully evaluates the study design of the retrospective Maccabi Health System study in his Aug. 31 briefing. In the briefing, he identifies two concerning sources of error that were not corrected for: survivorship bias and selection bias.


(From the Nebraska Med article above)

forthemiddle

(1,382 posts)
34. Thanks!
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 04:18 PM
Oct 2021

These are what I am looking for.
Previous infection is better than vaccine, but the combination of both is the best.
As you said, that doesn’t mean don’t get vaccinated, but maybe the infection is acting as the booster?

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