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WHat is this poll CNN is pushing that shows Virginia governor race a dead heat? (Original Post) triron Oct 2021 OP
Fuck the polls. It is all about turnout. JohnSJ Oct 2021 #1
This message was self-deleted by its author Chin music Oct 2021 #11
Define "pushing"... brooklynite Oct 2021 #2
Polls are what they are, but that also doesn't mean they are accurate JohnSJ Oct 2021 #4
Monmouth is "A" rated by 538... brooklynite Oct 2021 #6
So. Polls have said it was a close race for sometime, but the only poll that matter is the actual JohnSJ Oct 2021 #7
"I'll take cliche's for $100....." brooklynite Oct 2021 #8
Lol JohnSJ Oct 2021 #9
Polls do look close, so GOTV. Hoyt Oct 2021 #3
Yes, but they have been close all along, and like you are saying Hoyt it is all about getting the JohnSJ Oct 2021 #5
It has been close for weeks left-of-center2012 Oct 2021 #10

Response to JohnSJ (Reply #1)

brooklynite

(94,679 posts)
2. Define "pushing"...
Wed Oct 20, 2021, 10:28 PM
Oct 2021

Does that mean, reporting something factual?

Virginia Governor Race Tied With Two Weeks Left, Poll Says

The race between Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Republican Glenn Youngkin for governor of Virginia has narrowed to a tie just two weeks ahead of Election Day, according to a new poll.

A Monmounth University survey released Wednesday showed both candidates with 46% support as Youngkin, the former co-CEO of the Carlyle Group Inc., has cut into McAuliffe’s once-sizable lead by drawing away independent voters and women.

Independent voters have flipped their support from McAuliffe to Youngkin, with 48% now supporting the Republican and 39% the Democrat. A month ago the advantage was reversed, 37% to 46%.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-20/poll-shows-tie-in-virginia-governor-race-with-two-weeks-left



JohnSJ

(92,325 posts)
4. Polls are what they are, but that also doesn't mean they are accurate
Wed Oct 20, 2021, 10:42 PM
Oct 2021

polling in general has had a difficult time, and some of that is due to declining participation rates
Some of that is because of all the spoofing and spam calls that occur

Just a note about Monmouth as an example, Monmouth showed a narrowing race in the 2017 last governor’s race with their final poll showing Northampton ahead by a single point. The actual election result was Northampton winning by 9 points.

It is all about turnout

brooklynite

(94,679 posts)
6. Monmouth is "A" rated by 538...
Wed Oct 20, 2021, 10:53 PM
Oct 2021

...and polling in aggregate has shown this is a close race.

What I've never understood is why people here seem to disregard polling only when it proposes bad news....

JohnSJ

(92,325 posts)
7. So. Polls have said it was a close race for sometime, but the only poll that matter is the actual
Wed Oct 20, 2021, 10:59 PM
Oct 2021

one on Election Day

JohnSJ

(92,325 posts)
5. Yes, but they have been close all along, and like you are saying Hoyt it is all about getting the
Wed Oct 20, 2021, 10:44 PM
Oct 2021

vote out

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