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Sebass1271

(2,332 posts)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 03:12 PM Oct 2012

Ramussen

A RWNJ friend posted this on FB wall today. I know he is doing it to bother me. I can't never put anything positive about my President and this election, cause he always trashes it and calls Obama names

What should I respond to him about this poll? How does Obama look today in FL?

Iam about to freaking Block Him!
Grr

It says Obama is down by 5 points in FL and that OH, CO, NV, NC are toss ups.


http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/florida/election_2012_florida_president

8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Ramussen (Original Post) Sebass1271 Oct 2012 OP
Unfriend the fuck RomneyLies Oct 2012 #1
Say nothing until Nov. 7 BlueState Oct 2012 #2
Here's some ammo for you. Jester Messiah Oct 2012 #3
tell him that you prefer this poll in North Carolina grantcart Oct 2012 #4
Can't you put a person on ignore oswaldactedalone Oct 2012 #5
"Rasmussen and Bias" mzmolly Oct 2012 #6
Make screen shots of all his shit-talk. MADem Oct 2012 #7
Rasmussen = heavily right-biased pollster. nt. OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #8
 

RomneyLies

(3,333 posts)
1. Unfriend the fuck
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 03:14 PM
Oct 2012

With friends like that you need no enemies.

I've unfriended at least two dozen people in the past month over shit like this.

 

Jester Messiah

(4,711 posts)
3. Here's some ammo for you.
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 03:28 PM
Oct 2012

Post this and tag him.
http://electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Info/rasmussen.html

Next time he links you to Ras, kindly remind him that they are full of shit and couldn't poll their way out of a wet paper bag.

Or, as others have said, just unfriend the jackass.

mzmolly

(51,000 posts)
6. "Rasmussen and Bias"
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 03:57 PM
Oct 2012
http://electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Info/rasmussen.html

... Silver analyzed 105 polls released by Rasmussen Reports and its subsidiary, Pulse Opinion Research, for Senate and gubernatorial races in numerous states across the country. The bottom line is that on average, Rasmussen's polls were off by 5.8% with a bias of 3.9% in favor of the Republican candidates.

There is much to criticize about Rasmussen's methods. All polls are conducted within a 4-hour window, the person who answers the phone (even a child) is sampled, phones that are not answered are not called back, and much more. All of Rasmussen's polls are done by computer; live interviewers are never used. However, other firms that do robopolling such as SurveyUSA and PPP get much more accurate results with no bias, so the problem is not the robopolling per se.

Just to look at one methodological issue, if no one answers the phone, Rasmussen picks a different random phone number instead of calling back two, three, four or more times as other pollsters do. Why does this matter? Because 20-somethings (who skew Democratic) are often out, whereas 60-somethings (who skew Republican) are often in. By not being persistent in finally getting through to a randomly chosen phone number, the sample is inherently biased towards Republicans because they are easier to reach. This may not have been intentional but it is understandable if you want to finish your survey in 4 hours. Nevertheless, cutting corners in the name of speed and cost don't improve accuracy. ...

MADem

(135,425 posts)
7. Make screen shots of all his shit-talk.
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 05:05 PM
Oct 2012

Post 'em the day after the election with a "Hardy Har Har Files" label and be sure to tag him as well--make the post public so everyone can see what a blowhard he was.

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