At what point do enough unvaxxed Repubs die

[greenman3610]

That it starts to swing elections?

[BigmanPigman]

1. Never.

They have proven that they care about corporations, not people, even their own supporters. They care about their big $$ supporters, not mom and pop.

[brooklynite]

6. 0.2%.....

Last edited Fri Dec 17, 2021, 08:58 AM - Edit history (1)

.....is the percentage of the population that has died from COVID. It will never have a significant impact on voting.

[carpetbagger]

8. 0.2 pct, 1 pct of over 65, but agree.

[littlemissmartypants]

12. Do you have a link for that data?

TIA

[brooklynite]

24. 800,000 deaths; population of 329 million

[AncientAndy]

25. You have to go by voting age population.

Which is 209 million. Then subtract the roughly 40% of people who don’t vote. That makes the percentage is a little bit higher but still not enough to change anything.

[scipan]

26. Calculations

209m x .60 = 125.4m ( but that’s less than 2020; that was about 74+81m=155m)

125.4m x .25% = 313,500 dead voters

Say 2/3 r and 1/3 d: about 100,000 extra r deaths

Guess not much of a difference unless in some hotspots

[AncientAndy]

28. Just realized I accidentally used the 2000 Census.

Oops! According to the 2020 Census there are 258.3 million Americans over the age of 18.



Adjusting the math:
258.3m x .6 = 154.98m(might as well round that up to 155m)
155m x .25% = 387,500 dead voters
If 2/3rd are Republican that’s 129,000 more dead R than D.

[scipan]

30. Thanks for clearing that up. 129k spread over the

whole country is still less than the residents of my county. I think you can use this wild ass guess of 2/3 for any particular district and for some small ones that were hard hit (but not overwhelmingly republican) maybe it could make a difference.

[scipan]

31. More than a Wild Ass Guess

I remember seeing it somewhere but can’t remember where. So unsourced.

[NanceGreggs]

2. We'll know they've hit the tipping point ...

... when Republicans introduce legislation that allows dead people to vote.

[SMC22307]

3. No point. They've tied this to freedumb, tyranny, etc. and think they're being noble.

Families who watch loved ones die horrible deaths still refuse vaccines. I'm disgusted - once again - at how the RW has controlled the narrative. Climate change, Saddam and WMDs, guns, Obamacare, Hillary's emails, COVID... it never fucking ends.

[Lunabell]

4. I think this often.

I just high five myself every time one of the willingly unvaccinated kicks the bucket. Especially the high profile dumbasses who preach it from their pulpits.

[DBoon]

5. They will just keep redrawing districts

until the last 3 surviving Republicans are the only voters who count

[NJCher]

14. DUZy

[Demovictory9]

20. yes

[The Revolution]

7. Never

The overall death rate is still like 1 or 2% right? And a lot of those will likely still be older people that might have died soon anyway. And the deaths may be concentrated in areas where Republicans were already winning by large margins. And if we are being honest, there were plenty of left-leaning anti-vaxers proir to the pandemic, maybe enough of those will switch over to make up the difference.

Basically, I don't think it's something you can count on.

[progree]

17. Death rate as % of pop: 824520 deaths / 334 million total population equals 0.25%

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

As for death rate as percent of cases, 824,520 / 51,435,652 = 1.6%

From the beginning of the pandemic to now. Death rate per case probably lower later on than early in the pandemic with better treatment options and techniques, vaccinations (I forget what percent of Repucks are vaxxed, 1/3?) and going forward, omicron will probably infect virtually everybody that doesn't take extreme isolation measures, but the death rate for omicron is probably a lot lower, but for awhile, hospitals will be hopelessly overwhelmed...

[BannonsLiver]

22. In a close statewide election none of that would matter.

Congressional races are a different story. But in a statewide election that’s close in somewhere like GA’s upcoming governors race, for example, an extra 5-10-15k dead republicans could have an impact.

[orleans]

9. things we wonder... nt

[TeamProg]

10. Repubs are already dead to me. n/t

[monkeyman1]

13. last time I checked , republican's don't have a platform ! -

just bad mouthing the dem's , just so high school !

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

15. As bad as Covid is, it is not killing that many people

as a percentage of the population. It's having close to zero impact on population. In this country, more than 10,000 babies are born every day. At the worst, only some 3,000 people died each day from Covid. And it was never more than the third largest cause of death.

Keep in mind that the 1918 flu epidemic, as genuinely terrible as that was, did not noticeably lower population. Honestly, the only disease that ever did that was the Black Death in the 14th century.

[progree]

18. 0.25% as percent of population since beginning of pandemic, 1.6% of all cases ...

#17 at https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=16153394

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

19. Right. One quarter of once percent.

Meanwhile, more than 10,000 babies are born each and every day in this country. And some 385,000 world wide each and every day.

The reason the climate is fucked, the reason refugees are such a huge problem is simple: Too many people. And more and more of them each and every day. The current world population is close to 8 billion. On a planet that can sustainably manage about 1 billion people. Either we will collectively, through the sheer weight of numbers, destroy this planet, or (if we are lucky) there will be a serious population crash that will allow the biosphere to recover. I'm not betting on that second possibility.

Maybe the real reason we have not been credibly visited by aliens, or credibly found any evidence of other civilizations out there, is that any technological civilization inevitably destroys itself by some means or another.

[BigBearJohn]

16. Not soon enough for me

[arthritisR_US]

21. In the next 6 months, I hope.

[Emile]

23. The way their rigging elections and gerrymandering

districts, I fear not near enough!

[FakeNoose]

27. We don't know whether the ones who died would have voted R in the next election

Another thing we don't know is how many survivors (family members of the victims, I mean) were turned off by Repuke politics after they lost a loved one to Covid. I'm guessing at least some of them will refuse to vote R after losing a loved one unnecessarily.

The one thing I cannot fathom is how anyone could become a new R voter now, after all this, if they weren't already indoctrinated. I don't see how any new R voters could have joined the KKKlan in 2021. I mean, they'd have to be crazy, am I right?

[marie999]

29. Of course there are new Republican voters. I have such a low opinion of humanity in general

that I am surprised there aren't more of them.