Republicans are losing their midterm advantage, new polling finds

[turbinetree]

By Josh Israel -January 4, 2022 12:32 PM



Registered voters generally prefer Democrats over Republicans on the congressional ballot, according to a recent USA Today/Suffolk University poll.

For months, Republicans have been saying they expect to win back control of Congress in the November midterm elections and plan to obstruct President Joe Biden's agenda if they do. But American voters may not agree with that plan, according to new polling released Tuesday.

A November USA Today/Suffolk University poll found that in the next congressional election, registered voters preferred a generic Republican candidate over a generic Democratic candidate 46%-38%. But when the same outlet posed the same question in December, the generic Democratic candidate led 39%-37% — a 10-point swing to the left from the previous month.

Other polling seems to confirm this shift in public opinion. A recent Economist/YouGov poll found Democratic candidates led by 43%-36% on a generic congressional ballot question. A December Reuters/Ipsos survey found Democrats leading by a similar margin, 40%-33%.

https://americanindependent.com/2022-midterms-poll-congress-voters-republicans-democrats-generic-ballot/

This polling should have asked:

Do you think individuals that signed a letter to throw out your vote should be in Congress?

Do you think that members of Congress who conspired to throw out your vote should be in Congress?

[ProudMNDemocrat]

1. Keep the pressure on.

Democrats running for office have an opening g here.

[Wounded Bear]

2. Good news, but a lot of time left...

[mopinko]

3. when their dirty laundry starts getting aired in prime time,

it's gonna turn a lot of stomachs.

[Mad_Machine76]

4. And that's not even factoring in the probable 1/6 public hearings

as well the ongoing drip of information about what happened during the initial coup attempt.

[KS Toronado]

19. That's the factor I've been saying for months

that's going to give us a landslide in the midterms. Well that and the voting rights bill.

[bucolic_frolic]

5. Presented with evidence, the miracle of public opinion may yet recognize Jan 6 for what it was

Vague and emotional, poorly engaged like a dying transmission, but it still puts both feet on the ground when the wheels stop.

[gratuitous]

6. And the simple question remains

What is it about the Republican party platform for 2022 that appeals most to you, Citizen?

(Yeah, we all know it's a trick question.)

[PortTack]

7. good news! Maybe the Democratic messaging isn't as bad as some say?!

Last edited Wed Jan 5, 2022, 02:45 PM - Edit history (1)

[WA-03 Democrat]

8. "There

DEAD JIM!”

Bones to Captain Kirk for those who do know of Star Trek.

[Earth-shine]

9. "They're Dead Jim"

I love Star Trek.

[BumRushDaShow]

12. "Their Dead Jim"

(sorry I had to )

[Achilleaze]

10. No decent, informed American wants to vote for Republican traitors

[Wednesdays]

33. But we need a majority

A quote attributed to Adalai Stevenson when he ran for president...

"Congratulations, Mr. Stevenson, you have the votes of every thinking man and woman in America."

Stevenson: "But I need a majority!"

[ananda]

11. As they very well should be. In fact...

it shouldn't even be close!

[world wide wally]

13. Sounds like a winning strategy to me:

Support an insurrection against America,
Block all legislation including the needed infrastructure bill,
Keep backing a guy who lost by 8 million votes,
Promote a deadly pandemic,
Never admit you may be less than perfect.
Put all the old faces back into power.

Yep.
Uh huh
A true winning formula.

[Takket]

14. Effect of progress (BIF) and Jan 6 committee

If we get through voting rights soon and done version on BBB, we can hold the House.

[multigraincracker]

15. GOTV...

That is all.
Now back to your regular programming.

[Butterflylady]

16. Amen! Of course!

Keep pushing January 6th so all the world will know how corrupt the majority of republicans have become.

It really is that simple.

[OneCrazyDiamond]

17. The Press wants a horse race.

If we come out and vote....it won't be close.

[lees1975]

18. They've never had a mid term advantage in the generic ballot polling

Democrats have been leading the generic polling for Congress in the composites since they started taking them. But here's the issue--Democrats need to get to about 10% to overcome the gerrymandering.

Biden's job approval has been rebounding, too, though you probably won't hear that in mainstream media news.

[CaptainTruth]

20. Good news, but I don't trust polls anymore.

Also, to me the USA Today/Suffolk University poll is mischaracterized. From Nov to Dec it went from R-D 46%-38% to R-D 37%-39%. R lost 9% but D only gained 1%. That's not "a 10-point swing to the left" as the author says, it's only a 1-point swing to the left, combined with a 9-point swing to "somewhere else," perhaps to Independents, but most likely to "none of the above."

We need to do much better than a meager 1% gain for D, especially when I'll bet that's within the poll's margin of error & is thus statistically insignificant.

[True Blue American]

21. This is funny because Andrea Mitchell just had a segment on Blue Wave.

On how many Democrats are retiring. She isn’t even a good conspiracy maker. And they wonder why MSNBC ratings are hitting rock bottom.

[ibegurpard]

25. Idiotic

No mention of whether those seats are safe Democratic seats or not. Many of them are.

[Eyeball_Kid]

22. And the J6 Committee hasn't even begun

to have televised hearings on a daily basis. Those hearings will pummel the GOP into rubble.

[AZLD4Candidate]

23. They are being taken by the insidious Democratic Party scheme of the "Just Let Them Talk" plan.

Damn Democrats and their anti-American schemes.

[ibegurpard]

24. And the conventional wisdom about redistricting

Isn't going to help them. Democrats are doing better than expected because of where seats were lost.
Repukes maxxed themselves out 10 years ago and didn't have a lot of room to expand. They cost themselves a couple of potential seats by undermining the Census.

[duforsure]

26. The American people are starting to realize who is for America,

And how the fascist have taken over the republican party with the goal of dividing us, and hurting our country any way they can so they can accuse the Democrats for what these fascist domestic terrorist have done. Fascism and absolute control is their goal, and fixing elections is their form of Democracy, much like what putin in russia has done. Their corruption has no limits, and only the most corrupt are allowed to prosper.

[live love laugh]

27. They don't care they've rigged it. nt

[UCmeNdc]

28. Republicans Are Crazy; Listening to their arguments is like listening to lunatics.

There is no help for the United States if they get back in charge of the government. Already MTG is saying Republicans will go after their perceived enemies once they are in charge.

[uponit7771]

29. WHOA !!! Those are two polls with double digit swings. What are dems doing right and lets do more of

... it !!!

NICE !!!

[LiberalFighter]

30. But But But.... media has been saying Republicans are getting majority.

Could it be their supporters are dying or too sick to vote?

[budkin]

31. Keep 1/6 in the spotlight

And we can minimize our losses

[Blue Owl]

32. Herman is calling the base home

[Indyfan53]

34. I'm skeptical

It’s only January. Things could change later this year, especially if we don’t get any significant legislation passed.

Push the Dems in office to get stuff done and volunteer like hell this election season!