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brooklynite

(94,579 posts)
Sat Jan 8, 2022, 08:29 PM Jan 2022

These debates about how/when we'll split up are pointless...it won't happen.

First, let's be clear: nobody serious is talking about it. No Governors, no elected officials, no serious candidates. A handful of right-wing bloggers on Gateway Pundit or voices on Steve Bannon's podcast don't count as anything significant.

Second, the States aren't as autonomous as they were before the Civil War. There wasn't a standing Army and States had real control over their National Guards. Add to which, the international deployment of the armed forces would make distribution to "red" and "blue" America virtually impossible.

Third, and most important, the nation is far more economically intertwined today. In the lead-up to the Civil War, there were virtually no multi-State businesses. The railroads were all local and regional lines that wouldn't be merged until the 1880s. The energy monopolies didn't exist. Manufacturing firms were local, and traded their products across State lines. Today, every major company has a corporate structure that spreads through both red and blue States, and however conservative or liberal their CEO may be, it won't be in their interest to have a huge chunk of their domestic business to suddenly become international.

39 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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These debates about how/when we'll split up are pointless...it won't happen. (Original Post) brooklynite Jan 2022 OP
Exactly elleng Jan 2022 #1
And there are nukes. Girard442 Jan 2022 #2
+1 Also the folks who talk about a split don't seem to be making much effort preparing for one Kaleva Jan 2022 #3
Thank you. nt BlackSkimmer Jan 2022 #4
Right....as much as sometimes I wish for FL and especially TX to go away, it won't happen PortTack Jan 2022 #5
Noise, but effective noise. A religious drumbeat. cachukis Jan 2022 #6
"...the States aren't as autonomous as they were before the Civil War." J_William_Ryan Jan 2022 #7
Majority of Trump voters in Michigan live in the urban or mostly urban counties. About 75%. Kaleva Jan 2022 #13
This message was self-deleted by its author ShazzieB Jan 2022 #23
Yes. One look at the "Land Doesn't Vote, People Do" map gif emphatically illustrates this. crickets Jan 2022 #14
It's an urban vs. urban conflict. Kaleva Jan 2022 #16
This stuff is fascinating, thanks! ShazzieB Jan 2022 #26
This past week Frank Figliuzzi used the term "entrenched insurgency" bucolic_frolic Jan 2022 #8
'entrenched insurgency' - good, fun, phrase empedocles Jan 2022 #17
It's not any of the above. It's right wing propaganda channels, and who listens to them. BComplex Jan 2022 #34
Secession is so Rick Perry.... panader0 Jan 2022 #9
It has some adherents on DU as well. onenote Jan 2022 #32
Agreed. America is strong and durable because of diversity in all forms. Baked Potato Jan 2022 #10
Of course, it is pointless, but fun. marie999 Jan 2022 #11
The more likely outcome is right wing autocracy Blaukraut Jan 2022 #12
"...as much as sometimes I wish for FL and especially TX to go away, it won't happen." J_William_Ryan Jan 2022 #15
Before Anyone Files For Divorce FrankTC Jan 2022 #18
Correct sir. All bullshit to feed into the bottomless bullshit pit that is social media faux news. Alexander Of Assyria Jan 2022 #19
finally put in the right perspectives!! well done & thank you ! monkeyman1 Jan 2022 #20
I laugh when I hear idiots in Texas threaten to secede. Hulk Jan 2022 #21
I'm surprised there wasn't talk of a split in the 50's and 60's Polybius Jan 2022 #22
We had state governors defying the federal government. paleotn Jan 2022 #24
Not likely, but not impossible. paleotn Jan 2022 #25
Kick & recommend. Thank you! The economics bronxiteforever Jan 2022 #27
Agree. This is anxiety talk, like the general agreement Hortensis Jan 2022 #28
Agreed left-of-center2012 Jan 2022 #29
True, but there's no harm in hoping, dreaming, and musing about a utopian nation where there are no Roisin Ni Fiachra Jan 2022 #30
What a horrible idea... brooklynite Jan 2022 #31
Yes thank you DashOneBravo Jan 2022 #33
Lets see what happens Meowmee Jan 2022 #35
Perhaps you missed this... brooklynite Jan 2022 #36
Talk is cheap Meowmee Jan 2022 #37
Your appreciation for President Biden and his Cabinet is noted. brooklynite Jan 2022 #38
Your threat is noted Meowmee Jan 2022 #39

J_William_Ryan

(1,753 posts)
7. "...the States aren't as autonomous as they were before the Civil War."
Sat Jan 8, 2022, 08:57 PM
Jan 2022

And they aren't as homogeneous as they were in 1861 with regard to political participation.

Indeed, the split isn’t between north and south or even between the states, the split is between rural and urban within the states.

Kaleva

(36,304 posts)
13. Majority of Trump voters in Michigan live in the urban or mostly urban counties. About 75%.
Sat Jan 8, 2022, 09:19 PM
Jan 2022

Trump got as many votes from Wayne County (Metro Detroit) as he did in all the counties of Upper Michigan and much of northern lower Michigan put together. About 43% of the vote TFG got in the state came from counties Biden won.

In California, a whopping 71% of the 6,006,429 votes TFG got came from counties Biden won.

https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/results/state/california

Response to Kaleva (Reply #13)

Kaleva

(36,304 posts)
16. It's an urban vs. urban conflict.
Sat Jan 8, 2022, 09:27 PM
Jan 2022

Trump would never had stood a chance if a majority of his vote in battleground states came from rural areas

bucolic_frolic

(43,168 posts)
8. This past week Frank Figliuzzi used the term "entrenched insurgency"
Sat Jan 8, 2022, 09:04 PM
Jan 2022

I always use the caveat, as I recall. But I agree with the OP, this is not a geographical division. To my view it's neighborhoods and enclaves, towns and countrysides, cities and suburbs. I really don't know what will convince rogue citizen militias to go back to normal. I still don't know what they want. How would their lives be different if TFG were still president? They would be pleased with their own brilliance? It's like free-floating anger. The get-the-government-off-our-backs crowd without goals. Directionless. They're all ready for civil strife and armed conflict. What will that improve?

BComplex

(8,053 posts)
34. It's not any of the above. It's right wing propaganda channels, and who listens to them.
Sun Jan 9, 2022, 11:54 AM
Jan 2022

Faux Nooz needs to be put out of business.

Baked Potato

(7,733 posts)
10. Agreed. America is strong and durable because of diversity in all forms.
Sat Jan 8, 2022, 09:07 PM
Jan 2022

AMERICAN DISUNION
HOW RUSSIA HAS CULTIVATED AMERICAN SECESSIONISTS AND SEPARATISTS IN ITS QUEST TO BREAK UP THE US

PAGE 71

“For the past half-dozen years, Russia has supported American secessionist movements, all in the hopes of sow- ing division in the US. These efforts have spanned a range of tactics, from bankrolling travel and resources for Amer- ican secessionists, to setting up markedly popular socia- media accounts and organizing on-the-ground rallies, to even reportedly hosting leaders of separatist movements outright in Russia. And such efforts have extended to sev- eral disparate movements, including those like The Base, a white supremacist outfit dedicated to creating a white eth- no-state in the Pacific Northwest. Moscow has supported neo-Confederate groups such as the League of the South, which seeks a reprise of the Civil War, with the end goal being the establishment of an independent plantocracy on American soil. Still other quixotic movements include the Texas National Movement and YesCalifornia, which advocate for Texas and California’s independence from the union.”

THE KREMLIN’S MALIGN INFLUENCE INSIDE THE US

https://www.4freerussia.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/TheKremlinsMalignInfluenceInsidetheUS.pdf

Also, at page 89:

A MOVING TARGET
THE KREMLIN’S SOCIAL MEDIA INFLUENCE INSIDE THE UNITED STATES

 

marie999

(3,334 posts)
11. Of course, it is pointless, but fun.
Sat Jan 8, 2022, 09:14 PM
Jan 2022

I don't post it, but I like to shoot down the reasons that people write that are for it. There's not a lot of fun things to do now without lying down.

Blaukraut

(5,693 posts)
12. The more likely outcome is right wing autocracy
Sat Jan 8, 2022, 09:18 PM
Jan 2022

And for those of us in blue states, that's the nightmare scenario.

J_William_Ryan

(1,753 posts)
15. "...as much as sometimes I wish for FL and especially TX to go away, it won't happen."
Sat Jan 8, 2022, 09:23 PM
Jan 2022

Good examples of the divide being between rural and urban – Tallahassee and Miami-Dade, Austin and Houston are among the most liberal and progressive cities in the country.

FrankTC

(210 posts)
18. Before Anyone Files For Divorce
Sat Jan 8, 2022, 10:05 PM
Jan 2022

there’s usually a protracted period of contemplation: Things aren’t that bad, we should stay together for the sake of the children (international allies), disentangling will be too hard, how will we divide our assets, who’ll get custody of the children (nukes), what if he or she partners up with that tramp he/she has been ogling (Putin). For sure real questions, but for sure answerable. As it stands, neither red nor blue will convince the other. So the issue isn’t shut-up-about-secession-so-that-we-can-establish-our-hegemony-over-our-opponents-indefinitely, it’s secession vs. being yoked in a soul sucking bad marriage for the rest of our lives.

 

Hulk

(6,699 posts)
21. I laugh when I hear idiots in Texas threaten to secede.
Sat Jan 8, 2022, 10:39 PM
Jan 2022

Such absolute bull shit nonsense. Pull the US military out of Texas, and they would struggle to survive. Idiots.

Polybius

(15,421 posts)
22. I'm surprised there wasn't talk of a split in the 50's and 60's
Sat Jan 8, 2022, 10:39 PM
Jan 2022

With the Civil Rights Era and governors openly defying the feds.

paleotn

(17,918 posts)
24. We had state governors defying the federal government.
Sat Jan 8, 2022, 10:47 PM
Jan 2022

Ike had to nationalize the Arkansas National Guard in 57. And then Kennedy in Alabama in 63. There was talk.

bronxiteforever

(9,287 posts)
27. Kick & recommend. Thank you! The economics
Sat Jan 8, 2022, 11:40 PM
Jan 2022

of this country make any movement toward civil war suicidal. The Country is intertwined and can’t be segregated. The business of America is business and business can’t survive and support a civil war and neither could our governments finances. Imagine Florida without Social Security checks? Would the Villages turn to cannibalism?

There is plenty of proof that civil war destroys economies. The stock market would collapse. “Countries experiencing civil war will see a collapse in tourism, foreign investment and domestic investment. It can lead to shorter life-expectancy and lost GDP. A report entitled “Africa’s missing billions” (Oxfam, 2007) estimates the cost of war in Africa has been equal to the amount of international aid. A country like the “Democratic Republic of Congo” has experienced a particularly difficult war, which besides causing the deaths of about 4 million people, has cost it £9bn, or 29% of its gross domestic product.”
https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/2180/economics/economic-impact-of-war/





Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
28. Agree. This is anxiety talk, like the general agreement
Sun Jan 9, 2022, 03:50 AM
Jan 2022

50 years ago that we were all going to die in nuclear war before long. I didn't agree with that, either, but resigned doomsday talk presumably performed some function for a lot of people.

left-of-center2012

(34,195 posts)
29. Agreed
Sun Jan 9, 2022, 07:30 AM
Jan 2022

It's not as if it is state versus state.

It would be neighbor against neighbor.
How do you split up a country that way?

Roisin Ni Fiachra

(2,574 posts)
30. True, but there's no harm in hoping, dreaming, and musing about a utopian nation where there are no
Sun Jan 9, 2022, 08:05 AM
Jan 2022

conservatives to obstruct human evolution in all biological, social, economic, and political processes.

brooklynite

(94,579 posts)
31. What a horrible idea...
Sun Jan 9, 2022, 11:04 AM
Jan 2022

Why would I want to live in a world where everyone agrees with me?

And, to be honest, they wouldn't. We'd have more time for conflict between moderates and progressives, progressives and socialists, socialists and communists.....

Meowmee

(5,164 posts)
35. Lets see what happens
Sun Jan 9, 2022, 11:18 PM
Jan 2022

When there is little or no real accountability for the recent crimes and if fascism installs itself firmly in place.

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