NYC may have peaked. With caveats.

[Tomconroy]

People aren't saying for sure but the City's chart of cases looks promising:

https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page#daily

The link should be good. The chart may take a little time to load.

[brooklynite]

1. I have a party scheduled on the 22nd, pending a determination of the infection risk...

[Tomconroy]

3. Again, people are talking about a possible holiday effect skewing

the numbers, but it looks like it peaked around Jan. 1, .a four week rise to peak, identical to South Africa and London. Too soon to say how quickly London drops but it looks like SA will drop to low levels about four or five weeks after the peak. You should at least be in better shape by the time of your party.
NYC hopefully will be first in and first out in the country.
DC is showing the same little drop too.

[Dorian Gray]

8. I assumed

the peak would be this weekend (post NYE).

The last couple of days lines for testing have VASTLY diminished. There is still a bit of a delay to get results, but Medrite, City MD, LabQ and all the other testing vans, tents, and sites are much easier to access.

I think we will see a downturn quite quickly this week.

(Todays numbers, however, appeared to be the second highest in the history of covid cases in NYC.0

As for parties... I would do them this month. I have an indoor dinner scheduled on the 25th, but it's just my husband and myself at a small sushi joint that seats only 14.

Other than that, I am avoiding indoor stuff until we go to the ballet in Feb.

[Tomconroy]

9. Hope you enjoy the ballet! Lincoln Center?

[Dorian Gray]

10. Yes

Hoping we can do it too. I've gotten pretty good at not counting our eggs until they're hatching these days. lol.

[Scrivener7]

2. EDIT: Oh, sorry. I'm looking at NY State information.

80K, 87K and 85K for the last 3 days.

So the state looks like it's up. Those city numbers look good, but only go through the 4th, which is when the state blew up.

[Tomconroy]

4. You have to watch if the positivity rate is increasing.

If it isn't it may just mean more tests but not more cases. The positivity rate is sometimes hard to find. They state is supposed to be behind the City a bit, maybe a week or two.
.

[Tomconroy]

5. Looks like there was a big increase in testing. Positivity rate is

Not bad (better than FL). Looks like a little drop in the last 4 days that I checked.

Link to tweet

?s=20

[Scrivener7]

6. Hope it holds up!

[Wounded Bear]

7. Seems early. Typical peaks occur 10 days to 2 weeks after a surge event like the holidays...

we'll see.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

11. Quite a distinction