GOOD NEWS! USA new covid cases: 827k was 897k 7 days ago, UK 99K was 176k, Canada 29k was 44k

[Doodley]

Last edited Sat Jan 15, 2022, 03:43 AM - Edit history (1)

Among all the doom and gloom, here's some good news! It looks like cases may have peaked and USA cases may drop sharply in the next week and then in the weeks beyond that, in line with trends set by other nations. And as covid cases drop, you know what that means? It's good for vulnerable people, it's good for hospital workers, it's good for businesses, it's good for consumer confidence, it's good for the economy, it's good for Joe Biden and his approval numbers. It's good news for America!

Data source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

[Ms. Toad]

1. They are missing 40,000+ from Ohio.

Oho reported more than 40,000 cases (more than double yesterday), and for whatever reason Worldometers did not include Ohio's count. There are 4 other states with missing data for today.

Ohio's count is artificially high - they have a backlog of data they have not processed. Today was the first glut, but they warned that the next several days will also be higher than the record highs we've already been experiencing.

I woudn't count on it having peaked - I think it's more likely that there are other states, like Ohio, which simply can't keep up.

[Quixote1818]

5. Do you know why Florida's deaths are so low compared to the other large states?

Something smells fishy. They will have 60,000 cases or more and 0 to 3 deaths while Texas, CA etc. will have over 100 deaths each day.


Editing my post as I googled around and found this: https://www.thedailybeast.com/rep-jamie-raskin-jan-6-rioters-called-capitol-lost-and-found-for-forgotten-phones-and-purses

[Ms. Toad]

12. Florida has been odd about reporting.

I think they have been bunching the deaths and then reporting (and may not be reporting all of them).

Ohio reports new cases daily - but only reports deaths two days a week.

[Mariana]

15. You have to watch for Florida to update the total deaths.

That’s where they appear. Florida delays reporting deaths, sometimes for weeks, then adds them back to the day the death occurred. That obscures the death numbers nicely, and has fooled many people into believing hardly anyone dies of Covid in Florida.

[Rocknation]

2. I suspected that the year-end holidays was boosting the spike as much as the mutations

so I'm not at all surprised: New Jersey's 7-day new case average has dropped 25% since Jan. 7.


Rocknation

[Quixote1818]

3. About 10 days ago Scott Gottlieb predicted we would be peaking about now

New York has clearly peaked and is dropping: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/new-york/

[Rocknation]

17. I predicted the same thing

Last edited Wed Jan 19, 2022, 12:06 AM - Edit history (1)

simply because year-end holiday activities would be ending.


Rocknation

[Stinky The Clown]

4. As anticipated, following the pattern in South Africa.

[onenote]

6. Are the same number of people being tested?

The number I'd be most interested in seeing is the percentage of positive tests.

[madville]

8. Not at all

Many just aren’t getting tested now. We have people allowed to come to work now even with members of their household testing positive, they just have to wear any mask at work. Vaccinated people can come to work with no mask, even with household members that are positive, as long as they don’t have any symptoms, it’s a mess……

[Quixote1818]

10. Compared to when? I would assume testing has been similar the past few weeks

so the data showing cases are starting to drop should be pretty accurate. Are they picking up all the cases? Absolutely not. Only 1 in 10 people who get Omicron have symptoms. 9 out of 10 people are asymptomatic so the vast, vast majority of people who have it are not sick and likely not getting tested unless they know they were around someone who had covid. A million cases a day is probably closer to 10 million a day and they expect about 140 million Americans to get Omicron. At ten million cases a day, it doesn't take long to infect half the population. Why they are calling Omicron an Ice Pick and not a wave. It's going to drop as fast it it went up.

[Ms. Toad]

13. for Ohio the 7-day average is around 30%.

(and has been since around the 25th.)

Drive-through testing the first week of January in my county was above 50%.

[David__77]

7. I don't blame Biden for the high numbers.

The hundreds of thousands of deaths and much more debilitating suffering stems from the great rot in this country in decline.

[secondwind]

9. We're just the opposite.....

We had 200-300 cases a day, now it’s 5,000-7,000 a day. Here in Dominican Republic.

My daughter attributes this to “business as usual” with tourism. Huge cruise ships are bringing more than just tourists. 😩

[JanMichael]

11. NC just reported the highest number of cases, positivity, and hospitalization

today. Certainly not looking better here at this moment.

Saw on the news today deaths in South Africa have started shooting up again even though the wave slowed way down. Just takes omicron longer to kill people I guess.

[muriel_volestrangler]

14. 7 day averages are more useful than daily ones

Those could be reaching a peak now - 7 days to:
Jan 8: 694,339
Jan 9: 731,772
Jan 10: 758,972
Jan 11: 778,674
Jan 12: 800,272
Jan 13: 807,046
Jan 14: 797,055

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

or a graph here: https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&time=2021-08-17..latest&facet=none&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=new_cases_per_million&Metric=Confirmed+cases&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=false&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=IND~USA~GBR~CAN~DEU~JPN

Whether the drop will be as sharp in the USA as in smaller countries remains to be seen. On the whole, larger countries have longer-drawn-out outbreaks, since different regions peak at different times.

[JCMach1]

16. How many cases are missing because of inadequate/insufficient

Testing...?

Not to mention the reporting in RW states.

[JCMach1]

18. Lots... Tests are hard to get and people know Omicron is relatively

Weaker than previous variants so they don't bother to test.

My family in Texas is a good example. It was probably influenza, but you will get the point .

My son and wife started feeling bad around 23 Dec. Cough, and eventually fever.

Testing was virtually impossible in my part of TX due to Omicron and holidays.

We 'assumed' they had influenza due to the fact I never go sick and had managed to squeeze a flu vaccine before my Covid booster. My son had just finished his Covid vaccines (2 shots).

I signed my son for a test through his school system. They say we went for testing, the line was about 4 miles and 6ish hours long (they were open for 3 hour per day only). We tried and plan B which ran out of tests after waiting an hour and 1/2. After that, we just gave up. Home tests were simply not there.

No tests, no statistics.

It definitely could have been Covid as easily as flu, or even RSV. All those things are circulating.

Due to Christmas there was plenty of time to isolate and follow CDC guidelines. So, we just did that and kept check on fever and oxygenation.

[Demovictory9]

19. excellent