General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsHow Democrats Can Recover
Democrats running in rural and working-class white districts usually end up as roadkill. But political researcher Robin A. Johnson of Monmouth College in Illinois spoke with scores of such lawmakers in ten Midwestern states who have survived and even thrived. Their collective wisdom, he reports, holds the key to how Democrats can gain durable majorities in Congress and statehouses across the country.
Its no secret that vote by mail scares the bejesus out of Donald Trump. But some Democrats are resistant, too, out of fear that it disenfranchises Black voters. That myth was shattered in 2020, when the District of Columbia, which is 43 percent Black, ran a high-turnout election in which every registered voter received a ballot by mail. As Ellie Creamer reports, a bill before the D.C. city council to make its vote-by mail system permanent could change the national conversation.
Back in 1989, Elaine Kamarck co-authored The Politics of Evasion, a scathing indictment of the Democratic Partys losing electoral record and a battle plan for winning. Her work presaged the rise of Bill Clinton. In our new issue, the Brookings Institution scholar updates her thinking in a review of historian Michael Kazins What It Took to Win: A History of the Democratic Party.
Finally, I take a stab at writing the State of the Union address that Joe Biden should give.
https://washingtonmonthly.com/2022/01/18/how-democrats-can-recover/
Celerity
(43,380 posts)Monthly Editor Rob Wolfe spoke with a cross-section of Collins Democrats to see if they had any regrets. None did. The reasons they gave for sticking with her provide essential lessons for Democratic candidates this year and beyond.
no_hypocrisy
(46,112 posts)dsc
(52,162 posts)I did find that part but it isn't in the main article
Celerity
(43,380 posts)dsc
(52,162 posts)doesn't give anything about what those Collins voters said. That is what would be helpful.
Celerity
(43,380 posts)'Collins voters' story in their intro (hover over it and you will see) on their website. It linked mistakenly to the article I posted in reply #2 on this thread.
Good catch!
HERE is the Collins story:
Do Democrats Who Supported Susan Collins in 2020 Regret Their Vote?
Nope.
https://washingtonmonthly.com/2022/01/17/do-democrats-who-supported-susan-collins-in-2020-regret-their-vote/
Mary Ann Lynch, of Cape Elizabeth, Maine, is a model Democrat. She began her political career as a staffer for Democratic Governor Joe Brennan and has supported the party with donations and volunteer work for more than 40 years. In the past two elections, she voted a straight Democratic slateJoe Biden, U.S. Representative Chellie Pingree, Governor Janet Millswith one exception. Last fall, with control of the Senate on the line and the Brett Kavanaugh hearings a traumatic recent memory, Lynch cast a ballot for Republican Senator Susan Collins. She has no regrets. Im a ticket splitter, Lynch told me. I dont often split, but I do split. I vote for the person who I feel would be the best for Maine and for the country. Instead of saying we need more Democrats or more Republicans, I would say we would need more people like Susan Collins who reach across the aisle to get things done.
Lynch does not share the ominous feeling, increasingly common among Democrats, that time is running out. A paper-thin majority in Congress is likely to disappear next year, leaving just months to pass paid family leave and protect voters from conservative attempts at disenfranchisement. As the likes of Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema pettifog and delay, many Democrats wish for just one more Senate seat. And as Texas and other states pass restrictive abortion laws unchecked by the Supreme Court, frustrated Democrats turn to voters in Maine, who returned Collins to the Senate last fall despite her vote for Kavanaugh and the Republican tax bill, and ask: Why?
Exit polling indicates that 13 percent of Collinss support in 2020 came from registered Democrats. Women overall broke for Collins over her challenger, Sara Gideon, 49 to 46 percent. How did these constituencies make a decision seemingly so against their own interests? How do they feel about it now? Ask them, and their answers often evoke nostalgia for things lostpaper mills, union jobs, and a bipartisan, collegial Congress. They also share a lack of urgency about the slow-moving constitutional crisis instigated by Donald Trump, a sign, along with the election of Glenn Youngkin in Virginia this fall, that Democrats will have to do more to win than point to Trumps misdeeds, especially now that hes off the ballot.
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Collinss votes in the Senate since her reelection have been just fine with Green, too. This summer, she helped defeat the For the People Act, arguing that its sweeping voting rights provisionsmaking Election Day a federal holiday, restoring eligibility to felons whove served their sentences, keeping names on voting rolls, automatically registering eligible voterswent far beyond preserving the right to vote. Green wasnt convinced either that such sweeping action was necessary in response to laws such as Georgias, which forbids giving water to people waiting to vote. (With many polling places closed in Black areas, lines are often long.) Should people be allowed, Green mused, to give voters even such small gifts as a bottle of water? What is that law saying? I dont know, he said. Leave it to Susan. I trust her.
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Celerity
(43,380 posts)Ever since he narrowly won his race for the Wisconsin State Senate in 2018, Democrat Jeff Smith has never stopped campaigningthough he does so in unusual ways. For instance, he regularly parks his trademark big, red trucka 1999 Dodge Ram pickupon the side of a road, plants a six-foot handmade sign that reads Stop and Talk With Senator Jeff Smith, and engages with his constituents on whatever topics are on their minds. These Stop and Talks help him in his role not only as a candidate but also as a policy maker. Every conversation sparks a new idea, he told me.
Smith represents Wisconsins 31st State Senate District in the western part of the state, which Donald Trump won twice. Half of the districts voters live in heavily Democratic Eau Claire, the rest mostly in six rural, and overwhelmingly Republican, counties. It is emblematic of the kind of geography Democrats have been losing in recent cycles and need to get better at to avoid being wiped out electorally in 2022 and 2024.
To win reelection in 2022, Smith needs to do what he did in 2018: maximize turnout in Eau Claire, his hometown, while keeping his losses down everywhere else. Its tough, though, because the Democratic brand has become so toxic in the rural and small-town parts of the district. Voters there, he says, identify the party with unpopular policies, like defund the police, that he and most other Democrats never supported. They also increasingly bring up their belief that Joe Biden stole the 2020 election.
His best hope, he told me, is to build enough trust with enough individual voters in rural counties that they will overcome their partisan leanings. Thats why he lets those who stop to chat lead the discussion. If you listen to voters long enough, you can find something we agree on, he observed, pointing to negotiating down prescription drug prices as an example. That starts the process of building trust. If he can engage with voters before the party label comes up, their response is often You know, you are the only Democrat I can vote for.
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Mad_Machine76
(24,412 posts)And try to listen and help everybody. But we just end up getting shouted down and smeared as communists or socialists and Republicans sit on their hands and refuse to help anybody and then actually run on doing nothing (and too often win). Figuring out how we counter those smears and Republican obstructionism seem like the real conundrums.
Celerity
(43,380 posts)dwayneb
(768 posts)"...he regularly parks his trademark big, red trucka 1999 Dodge Ram pickupon the side of a road, plants a six-foot handmade sign that reads Stop and Talk With Senator Jeff Smith, and engages with his constituents on whatever topics are on their minds."
If a Democrat did that around these parts out in rural Ohio you better be prepared to have a few rounds whistling around your head. I am thinking he doesn't do this in the heart of Red Wisconsin. If he did that out here there are plenty of knuckle dragging Right-wingers that would be ready, willing and able to assassinate him.
Lovie777
(12,264 posts)constant bashing of Democrats and VP Harris and President Biden is getting really tiresome and is pissing off a lot of people. The GQP have nothing to offer but this, that's it. The GQP is crazy and their hatred towards anyone who does not think like them is reaching the semi sane.
Also, the unvaxxed and mask deniers, hospitals are full of them. January 6, 2021 attempt to take over the government and all of the in your face threats from the GQP which includes racist talk and the voter suppressions and women rights(abortion) and just plain civil right's (CRT bullshit), et al.
This is not freedom, and people are waking up.
dwayneb
(768 posts)I don't see it. Out here people are firmly entrenched and the Trump cult holds full sway.
What makes you say that people are awakening? Democrats already know where they stand, and so do the Big Lie believers.
What we are talking about are the 1/2 of voters that didn't cast a ballot in 2016, and the 1/3 that stayed away in 2020. As far as I can tell they will stay in their apathetic stupor right up until the time they go under the boot of the Fascists.