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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsU.S. faces wave of Omicron deaths in coming weeks, models say
The fast-moving Omicron variant may cause less severe disease than its predecessors, but COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. are climbing and modelers forecast 50,000 to 300,000 more Americans could die by the time the wave subsides in mid-March.
The seven-day rolling average for daily new COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. has been trending upward since mid-November, reaching nearly 1,700 on Jan. 17 still below the peak of 3,300 in January 2021. COVID-19 deaths among nursing home residents started rising slightly two weeks ago, although still at a rate 10 times less than last year before most residents were vaccinated.
Despite signs Omicron causes milder disease on average, the unprecedented level of infection spreading through the country means many vulnerable people will become severely sick. If the higher end of projections comes to pass, that would push total U.S. deaths from COVID-19 to more than 1 million by early spring.
https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2022-01-18/us-faces-wave-of-omicron-deaths-in-coming-weeks-models-say
LENNY0229
(185 posts)WhiskeyGrinder
(22,346 posts)dclarston13
(411 posts)Is a big spread and basically says they really have no idea. My guess is that the models they used had old fatality rates in it so they ran sensitivities on the variables using newer but maybe un-vetted data and came up with this spread of results. The truth lies in the details.
MOMFUDSKI
(5,538 posts)from a neighbor in our Milwaukee neighborhood telling me Ralph, our mailman neighbor, anti-vaxxer, trumper, died in the hospital from Covid last week. WOW
SoCalDavidS
(9,998 posts)Demovictory9
(32,456 posts)MOMFUDSKI
(5,538 posts)I will miss him a lot. He was a fun guy that made a bad call. Late fifties.
liberal_mama
(1,495 posts)in the whole United States has died of Omicron so far.