I could be wrong, I do not believe Trump will run for president for this reason.

[fightforfreedom]

How can Trump run for president without twitter? Twitter was his super criminal power. Trump could sit on his toilet, eating documents, spreading his lies and propaganda instantly around the country. It allowed him to avoid the news media and the news media would report all of Trumps twitter propaganda. Twitter allowed Trump to manipulate the news media instantly, anywhere, anytime.

If Trump runs for president he would have to deal with the news media more often without his twitter account. The news media would hound Trump about all the things he is being investigated for. It would bring all the investigations into intense focus. I don't think Trump wants to deal with that intense focus without his twitter propaganda account.

Is Trump crazy enough to run for president? Yes he is. In the end I think he will realize it would put him at more risk. We all know Trump only cares about the risk/reward to himself.

[ificandream]

1. I don't think so either ...

... but he will keep up the charade until the last minute for the benefit of his lemmnings.

[fightforfreedom]

3. To get their money, donations.

[secondwind]

2. Trump is toast.....

[atreides1]

4. It's possible

Unless he's indicted! At which time he will leave the country!

But as each day goes by...I believe that the chances of any indictments are slim to none! Both NY and GA are taking the long road...the DOJ may or may not be doing anything...

And if he does decide to run he'll win hands down, because the SCOTUS has and continues to rule against voting rights, and the DOJ wanting to be apolitical will sit on the side and watch, like a voyeur!!!

[Walleye]

5. I don't think he'll be able to take the attack ads against him showing every embarrassing stupid

Thing he did while in office. And all the things he said juxtaposed with all the things that happened. There is so much negative advertising material. And we haven’t even started the hearings yet. If the Republicans really wanna open that can of worms they’re welcome to it

[PatSeg]

6. Oh, that is an excellent point

The ads, plus all the political cartoons would be brutal and he is too thin-skinned to endure that.

[Walleye]

8. Especially since it seems like he's already cracking

[PatSeg]

18. Oh, that is so sad

Maybe we should send him a nice card to cheer him up!

[Hortensis]

7. Trump is getting big help getting his own social media platform up,

whose content he'd control. His bud billionaire Peter Thiel is creating a similarly far-right version of YouTube.

Of course, regarding the first there's enormous incompetence at the top, and since it's all about tRump we'll see how that goes. I think we should assume Putin would like it to do well, btw.

It may be that growing national awareness of his corruption, treason and massive mental dysfunction and incompetence will convince him to cut his losses and turn to grifting money out of loyalists, maybe his own cable shows. The image of a wannabe Der Leader eating documents and repeatedly clogging his toilet with them should be helpful.

[ProfessorGAC]

32. Does That Really Help?

Those going to those platforms would those 99.9% sure to vote for him anyway.
Tens of millions of people are not likely to give up Twitter & YouTube, so those new platforms become a new room for the same old choir.
Your last paragraph really suggests we are of a like mind.
Besides, he lost the PV twice, & got stomped in the EC in '20.
It's not like he's a sure thing. And, though he's good at losing, he hates losing.

[Hortensis]

35. :) Absolutely for that first, and of course agree with everything.

More losing and a future of playing mostly to an aging following who tune in to be hustled and rabbleroused do seem mostly likely, prison not impossible. But people like tech people Peter Thiel and the Mercers, for instance, aren't in it for that.

What we're seeing now could be the development of communications and other technology necessary to get back into power, facilitated by smart people using him to get power for their own purposes. Have to keep an eye out.

[GoCubsGo]

9. I don't, either. But, partly because he's in no shape to run now,

let alone in 3 years. He looks and sounds like shit, even worse than when he was in office. Between his lifestyle choices and the stress he is certainly under, it's all taking a massive, obvious toll on him. The GOP's claims that Biden is in "mental decline" are a HUGE projection of Trump's deterioration.

The real reason, however, is that he'd be forced to give up his biggest cash cow. All the money he's raking in from his cult suckers will no longer be able to be funneled into his pockets once he announces his candidacy. No way he's giving that up.

[dalton99a]

10. He will pretend - in order to collect money from the cult

[dwayneb]

11. I'd bet that he will run

Trump's ego will dominate over common sense in the end. He has shown us this time and time again.

And if he runs he's got every chance of winning the election outright, or at least attempting another coup, of course he will have a friendly Congress but an opposition VP.

[Johnny2X2X]

12. I think he will run, but Twitter is the biggest reason he might not

Trump needs the attention of running, he lives for the power of being President. But I don't think people get how well he used Twitter to control the narrative day after day. And they aren't replacing Twitter with a Rightwing platform. Trump wouldn't have beaten Hillary without Twitter and he wouldn't have made things close with Biden without Twitter.

[Omnipresent]

13. Spreading misinformation and grifting suckers is really all he wants.

I assume he will continue to hold these rallies until the day he is imprisoned or dies.

[usedtobedemgurl]

14. I think he feels the walls closing around him, so he'll run

To the nearest country which will not send him back. (Sorry, I know the name of that, but my concussion makes it hard for me to retrieve the right words)

[lagomorph777]

20. The name of the country is Russia.

Or maybe you mean "extradition"?

[usedtobedemgurl]

25. Yes!

Some place where the US can not extradite TFG. Thank you so much for the word help!!!

[lamp_shade]

15. He won't. His oversized ego won't take the risk. No way.

[Auggie]

16. His health is failing. But he'll support a stooge who will carry on his Russian agenda.

[LizBeth]

24. Where do you see, how do you know his health is failing? I mean, thru out the

presidency we saw it but nothing. Do you know something specifically?

[AngryOldDem]

17. He just likes stirring shit, if it gets him attention.

If he thinks running again will be too much of a hassle — and face it, the man does not like work — he can sit on the sidelines, say outrageous crap, and get people stirred up. I think he’ll take the path of least resistance toward this end. The media just has to ignore him like he’s the crazy uncle talking nonsense. If the heat continues to grow on Fox, it may decide to distance itself from him as well.

Like a two-bit Mussolini, he’ll do his rallies and bask in the adoration for as long as that lasts. Twitter was a huge part of his MO, but how often as POTUS was he out on rallies?

Meanwhile, let us hope the GOP continues to implode.

[CentralMass]

19. Unless he is legally stopped from running he will run.

[Poiuyt]

21. He may not have Twitter, but he still has Fox, Newsmax, and OAN

He'll run. He's addicted to the attention and adulation. Whether he wins or not is dependent on Biden's approval rating.

[NanceGreggs]

22. He won't run again.

He won't risk losing a second time. He'll go to his grave insisting 2020 was 'stolen' - and knows that card can't be played again.

His mental and physical health are visibly deteriorating - imagine what he'll look like three years from now.

Big money donors won't waste their money backing a loser.

The dirt coming out about him is already insurmountable - and we haven't even heard all of it yet.

He's losing supporters who are tired of hearing the 'stolen election' griping. He used to inspire them - now he's just boring them to death.

His ego can't handle the never-ending barrage of attacks that will come from the Dems - and there's a never-ending supply of ammunition there. Every dumb statement, every dumb move, every unflattering pic, every mis-speak will be played out in ads 24/7. The Dems know how to rattle him - make him look like the orange-faced buffoon he is, and he'll have one meltdown after another.

[themaguffin]

23. He will 100% run if for no other reason - to continue the grift

only if something out of control prevents, will he not run.

[Aristus]

26. Are you kidding? The news media will never hound Trump about a run for the White House.

They don't want a nice, safe, boring, competent administration, as with Joe Biden. They want a lucrative circus in the Presidency, with clowns and pratfalls and slapstick and idiocy.

The news media will just kiss his ass again, calling him a "self-made billionaire" and a "man of the people" in the same headlines again and again, while tarring any Democratic opponent as unqualified and/or untrustworthy.

I'm not looking for a repeat of 2016, so Trump should either die, be arrested, or otherwise rid us of himself.

[newdayneeded]

27. His big mouth

If he was going to run he couldn't restrain the urge to fully out announce it at his rallies, or on any and all fox "news" shows. No way could he keep that quiet.

[Generic Brad]

28. He's banking one becoming Speaker of the House

Then he will have an official government Twitter account at his disposal.

[jalan48]

29. If the DOJ brings serious charges against him he might offer a deal where he won't run in

exchange for dropping charges against him. Too big to jail.

[Zeitghost]

30. If he runs

Twitter will capitulate and either give him his account back or let the campaign run an account.

[milestogo]

31. He won't run because he'll be dead by then.

I think he is on borrowed time already.

[634-5789]

33. If he's not dead or in jail, nobody's gonna want him anyways.

[ForgedCrank]

34. On a serious note,

I am hopeful that he won't run again as well.
The man has an impressive following of morons, that is without question. His problem is that movement is not big enough to win an election. The rest of their party has had quite enough of the bullshit that swirls around him everywhere he goes, and they have grown tired of it.
I'm guessing there have been a lot of behind the scenes discussions with him trying to explain the damage he is doing, and how it will cost their party control. BUT, since he considers all things to always be about him, I'm not sure they will be able to convince him to sit down and shut the hell up. That would be a good thing for us in the end, regardless of how outrageous that sounds, because there is no way he could ever pull off a win again, not after all he has done. No way. All but the fringe idiots hate that vile bastard.

[lees1975]

36. It's hard to run for president

from prison.

[kentuck]

37. It's about third on his list of priorities..

First priority is to stay out of jail.

Second priority is to continue his grift and take the money from the suckers.

Third priority is to run for president if the opportunity is there.