Does economic and diplomatic pain mean more war or less?

[SleeplessinSoCal]

I keep thinking of the term canon fodder. Come on free world!!

The rising costs of China’s friendship with Russia

The war in Ukraine represents a threat to China’s economy and could lead to a diplomatic backlash over its support for Moscow

When the Russian invasion of Ukraine started two weeks ago, Jane Yan, a senior executive at a machine parts maker in eastern China, said she was not too worried about the impact. After all, buyers in Russia and Ukraine accounted for less than 5 per cent of the company’s overseas sales last year.

But as the full ferocity of the Russian onslaught started to become apparent, the outlook shifted dramatically. Important clients in countries such as Poland and Germany cancelled orders with the Zhejiang-based company....

More: https://www.ft.com/content/50aa901a-0b32-438b-aef2-c6a4fc803a11

[uponit7771]

1. K&R, don't know. I was thinking cutting money supply to avg RU citz would shock the crap out of

... them but not so much it looks like.

Economist see a 10% retraction in a year ... year, not weeks.

~ a 6% retraction in GDP in 08 and 20 for US was a shock but it took nearly a year to get there.

Hopefully cutting the avg RU citz from ATMs and banks etc will help ... we need to see more run on banks

[Bernardo de La Paz]

2. Question incomplete wo time element. Maybe more war soon, but much less war in long run. nt

[Sherman A1]

3. It certainly means more economic pain for those who

Find themselves on the wrong side of the narrative. It will take awhile for the sanctions and the shaming to ripple through the various financial sectors and some may dodge the bullet, but those who don’t are going to have some headwinds in their future.

I expect that the Russian economy is pretty much screwed for the next two decades as many will either not trust them or have found other places to invest when the dust has settled.