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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe States Poised to Be the New Abortion Battlegrounds
Its likely that the U.S. Supreme Court will reverse or severely curtail federal constitutional abortion rights in its upcoming decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Womens Health Organization this spring or early summer. In that event, some states are already poised to enact new laws (some of it trigger legislation that goes into effect automatically) that severely curtail reproductive rights. These state actions could help mobilize Americans on both sides of the abortion-policy barricades for the November midterms. But the biggest political battles are likely to break out in states where lawmakers hell-bent on banning some, if not all, abortions collide with constituencies in which a majority favor maintaining the status quo.
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Seven states look very likely to meet all these ingredients for a post-Roe backlash to Republican anti-abortion legislative activity: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. They all have Republican-controlled legislatures. Every state but Michigan has red-hot Senate contests this year, and all but North Carolina have competitive (or potentially competitive) gubernatorial races. All of them, of course, are likely to be presidential battleground states in 2024.
Jacobson also identifies three other states Florida, Iowa, and Ohio that could become major post-Roe abortion battlegrounds depending on how aggressively the reigning Republicans conduct themselves and whether statewide election contests become truly competitive.
In each of these states, Democrats are likely to draw as much attention as possible to any unpopular anti-abortion legislation that emerges. Meanwhile, Republicans will be under intense pressure from their base to push abortion restrictions up to, or even beyond, the levels that the federal court finds acceptable.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/the-states-poised-to-be-the-new-abortion-battlegrounds/ar-AAVgLhQ
Faux pas
(14,586 posts)roamer65
(36,739 posts)If the current citizens committee redraw holds in court, the legislature may flip this fall.
If we have a Democratic legislature and governor, we will have a new pro choice law.
MOMFUDSKI
(5,209 posts)that any woman wouldn't support any other woman who is being attacked and made a second-class citizen. But these rethug ladies are the cheering section fer chrissakes. I have cousins and sisters-in-law in that bucket and I certainly don't consider them having any kind of high IQs. This same bunch were perfectly happy with the catholic churchs' treatment of them as second-class. Guess they like it that way. DUH THERE, I feel better now.
dsc
(52,130 posts)It is very unlikely that the House will be a GOP supermajority and unlikely the Senate will be. Combined with a Democratic governor that should prevent any such laws until 2025.