"Ukrainian forces have defeated the initial Russian campaign..."

[ColinC]

Link to tweet

?s=20&t=_K616Eoj08SHeL4UHl2Dyg

OSINTtechnical
@Osinttechnical
ISW- “Ukrainian forces have defeated the initial Russian campaign of this war. Its culmination is creating conditions of stalemate throughout most of Ukraine.”
ISW
@TheStudyofWar
NEW: Ukrainian forces have defeated the initial #Russian campaign of this war. Its culmination is creating conditions of stalemate throughout most of #Ukraine.

Read the latest Russian offensive campaign assessment from @TheStudyofWar and @criticalthreats: https://isw.pub/RusCampaignMar19

[LonePirate]

1. I'm not sure I buy this given other reports I have seen today.

Mariupol is essentially overrun with Russian troops. Also, there are reports of that the bulk of the Ukrainian army in the eastern regions of the country near the Russian border and largely surrounded. Sure, Kyiv may not have fallen and the Russian advance may have stalled there; but that does not mean a stalemate exists between the two countries.

[ColinC]

2. Mariupol has likely been a lost cause for a while.

But Ukraine has been picking back up dozens of smaller cities closer to Kherson keeping Russia from holding ground around Kyiv. Even if Mariupol falls to Russia, Kherson may quickly switch hands back to Ukraine.

[BlueIdaho]

7. Russia can take cities

But I doubt they can keep them. The resistance in Ukraine is stronger than the invaders.

[BootinUp]

3. Resupply the Ukrainians.

[ananda]

4. Yes, except for Mariupol.

That is a very sad case.

[ColinC]

5. Yeah..

But I think Mariupol will not be held for too long. And I think Kherson will be retaken by Ukraine shortly.

[ananda]

6. From your lips to God's ears.

I hope so.

[ColinC]

8. Fingers crossed

If Belarus is really putting troops in, that might be an additional 62,000 on Russia's side? It may give Russia at least an initial reboots in momentum.