Inst. for the Study of War's assessment of Russia's stalled campaign

[Bucky]

https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-19

I recommend reading the whole thing, it's not very long, but...

Key Takeaways:

We now assess that the initial Russian campaign to seize Ukraine’s capital and major cities and force regime change has failed;
Russian forces continue efforts to restore momentum to this culminated campaign, but those efforts will likely also fail;
Russian troops will continue trying to advance to within effective artillery range of the center of Kyiv, but prospects for their success are unclear;
The war will likely descend into a phase of bloody stalemate that could last for weeks or months;
Russia will expand efforts to bombard Ukrainian civilians in order to break Ukrainians’ will to continue fighting (at which the Russians will likely fail);
The most dangerous current Russian advance is from Kherson north toward Kryvyi Rih in an effort to isolate Zaporizhiya and Dnipro from the west. Russian forces are unlikely to be able to surround or take Kryvyi Rih in the coming days, and may not be able to do so at all without massing much larger forces for the effort than they now have available on that axis;
The Russians appear to have abandoned plans to attack Odesa at least in the near term.

ISW's credentials page for people who are cautious about their sources:
https://understandingwar.org/who-we-are

[OneBlueDotS-Carolina]

2. Kelly Craft

Our Board Members

General Jack Keane (US Army, Retired), Chairman, Institute for the Study of War; President, GSI, LLC

Dr. Kimberly Kagan, Founder & President, Institute for the Study of War

The Honorable Kelly Craft, Former US Ambassador to UN and Canada

Dr. William Kristol, Director, Defending Democracy Together

The Honorable Joseph I. Lieberman, Senior Council, Kasowitz Benson Torres & Friedman, LLP

Kevin Mandia, Chief Executive Officer & Board Director, Mandiant

Jack D. McCarthy, Jr., Senior Managing Director & Founder, A&M Capital

Bruce Mosler, Chairman, Global Brokerage, Cushman & Wakefield, Inc.

General David H. Petraeus (US Army, Retired), Member, KKR & Chairman, KKR Global Institute

Dr. Warren Phillips, Lead Director, CACI International

Colonel William Roberti (US Army, Retired), Managing Director, Alvarez & Marsal

[Bucky]

3. Yeah, that name jumped out at me too

This is the board, not the Institute's academics and writers. But given their mission, I'd be surprised if they didn't have a couple of high placed pols on their board. It's a policy think tank.

[obamanut2012]

4. Kagan is a wingnut

As is the Institute. It is really weird to see her and her organization used as a legit source on here. I called it out last week and was attacked.

[Bucky]

5. I'm not attacking you. Just as you aren't attacking the substance of the article I posted