General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe 10 Senate Seats Most Likely To Flip In 2022
(CNN)The war in Ukraine has shifted attention overseas, but even if
President Joe Biden's approval has ticked up nominally, the national
environment heading into the 2022 midterms still looks treacherous for
his fellow Democrats as they try to hold their Senate majority.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has given Biden a convenient foil on
whom to blame high gas prices. ("Putin's price hike," he has called
it.) But Republicans are hammering Democrats for rising inflation,
which they argue predates the conflict in Ukraine.
Democrats point to the pandemic and stuck supply chains for the
current inflation woes, blaming corporations for pocketing profits
while Americans pay the price at the pump. The most vulnerable
Democratic Senate incumbents -- Raphael Warnock of Georgia, Mark Kelly
of Arizona, Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada and Maggie Hassan of New
Hampshire -- have tried to get ahead of the inevitable GOP attacks by
introducing legislation that would suspend the federal gas tax through
the end of the year.
In a sign they're trying to distance themselves from the national
party, most of them also sided with Republicans on a recent vote to
overturn the requirement that passengers wear masks on public
transportation. Establishing their own brands in their states,
independent of Biden, will be a challenge for Democrats running in
November if the President's approval rating remains in the low 40s.
The party in the White House traditionally loses seats during the
first midterm of a new president's term.
https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/27/politics/senate-race-rankings-march-elections/index.html
Celerity
(43,134 posts)likely been a Blue to Red flip (it still could be but the odds are much better for Hassan now).
The other breaks we got were 3 other popular to very Rethugs also saying no. Sandoval (NV), Hogan (MD), and Ducey (AZ). Hogan was the only Repub who even had a snowball chance at a MD Senate seat, and even then, it would be pretty unlikely.
The final break that is confirmed (more or less) is that the batshit cray, previously schizo, violent, scamming dullard grifter Herschel Walker will be the Rethug winner in GA. Downside is, from what GA people here sat, he is worshipped for his American style 'football' history, which could be for us.
former9thward
(31,947 posts)Not by much but it is consistent.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/georgia/
Celerity
(43,134 posts)maybe I am off and football worship pushes him over the top
Hugin
(33,059 posts)There is a difference.
WarGamer
(12,369 posts)Gas Prices
Inflation
Stock Market
Housing costs
Global instability
Those thing will favor the "out of power party".
If gas prices drop, inflation recedes and things cool off across the globe, the Dems have a good chance to hang on to the Senate.