Predict It currently has Oz 89 to 11 as the favorite over McCormick

[Polybius]

Not sure what this means, but they have been pretty accurate.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7129/Who-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-Senate-nomination

[bucolic_frolic]

1. Charlatan over business anyday in GOP primary

[Ocelot II]

2. Oz could be more beatable in the general election because he's such a crackpot,

and there's also the issue of his voting in a Turkish election. The other guy has better professional credentials. But, on the other hand, in today's GOP being a crackpot with allegiances to dodgy foreign governments is a feature rather than a bug - so who knows??

[Demsrule86]

3. Oz has dual citizenship...personally I don't think he should even be allowed to run.

How could a Oz be a member of the US Senate when he also holds citizenship in Turkey?

[Ocelot II]

4. I don't either.

[Polybius]

6. Ted Cruz had dual citizenship until 2015

After he renounced it, he didn't become any less shitty.

[OnDoutside]

7. I think the bigger issue is him living in New Jersey, Fetterman should

be going after that.

[GoCubsGo]

5. A lot of the MAGA crowd hate him.

On top of all you mentioned, he's pals with Oprah Winfrey, who is considered evil incarnate with that crowd. Back a few weeks ago, at the Trump/Oz rally, a bunch of them turned their backs on him while he was talking. I'm surprised the race came out this close. If he does pull it off, here's hoping the ones who voted for the other guy get disgusted and stay home in the general.

[IcyPeas]

8. he is also Muslim. it bogles my mind that that's okay with them now.

as long as he is trump endorsed that's all that matters I guess.

[GoCubsGo]

9. Some of them aren't okay with it.

Which is another reason they turned their backs on him at that rally. But, yeah. With the rest, Dear Leader approves, so that's all that matters. If he does win the nomination, however, it will likely hurt him with regards to the other candidates' voters. Kathy Barnette flat-out expressed her disdain for Muslims, and I'm betting the vast majority of her supporters share her hatred. She got a quarter of the vote. I suspect that it's also a part of the reason people voted for McCormick, too. I'm not so sure his having an "R" after his name will be enough to overcome him being Muslim with many in that crowd.

[Polybius]

10. McCormick is a Bush-type interventionist though

MAGA's hate neo-cons.