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Russia will soon exhaust its combat capabilities, Western assessments predict
Small shifts in territorial control matter less than the overall balance of forces, which analysts say could shift back in favor of Ukraine in the coming months
By Liz Sly at the Washington Post
Updated June 25, 2022 at 12:32 p.m. EDT|Published June 25, 2022 at 3:00 a.m. EDT
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/06/25/ukraine-russia-balance-of-forces/?utm_campaign=wp_news_alert_revere_trending_now&utm_medium=email&utm_source=alert&location=alert&wpmk=1&wpisrc=al_trending_now__alert-world--alert-national&pwapi_token=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9.eyJjb29raWVuYW1lIjoid3BfY3J0aWQiLCJpc3MiOiJDYXJ0YSIsImNvb2tpZXZhbHVlIjoiNTk2ZmY3NGM5YmJjMGY1N2ZlZjc3NjQwIiwidGFnIjoiNjJiNzYyMjE2MWNjMGY0MWZhYTBlZjg4IiwidXJsIjoiaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cud2FzaGluZ3RvbnBvc3QuY29tL3dvcmxkLzIwMjIvMDYvMjUvdWtyYWluZS1ydXNzaWEtYmFsYW5jZS1vZi1mb3JjZXMvP3V0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj13cF9uZXdzX2FsZXJ0X3JldmVyZV90cmVuZGluZ19ub3cmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWFsZXJ0JmxvY2F0aW9uPWFsZXJ0JndwbWs9MSZ3cGlzcmM9YWxfdHJlbmRpbmdfbm93X19hbGVydC13b3JsZC0tYWxlcnQtbmF0aW9uYWwifQ.NnZss2UxpnPx6S48CdmFIegoSuhl2tcUuGEWAj_qdPI
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The Russian military will soon exhaust its combat capabilities and be forced to bring its offensive in Ukraines eastern Donbas region to a grinding halt, according to Western intelligence predictions and military experts.
There will come a time when the tiny advances Russia is making become unsustainable in light of the costs and they will need a significant pause to regenerate capability, said a senior Western official, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive issue.
The assessments come despite continued Russian advances against outgunned Ukrainian forces, including the capture on Friday of the town of Severodonetsk, the biggest urban center taken by Russia in the east since launching the latest Donbas offensive nearly three months ago.
The Russians are now closing in on the adjacent city of Lysychansk, on the opposite bank of the Donetsk river. The towns capture would give Russia almost complete control of the Luhansk oblast, one of two oblasts, or provinces, comprising the Donbas region. Control of Donbas is the publicly declared goal of Russias special military operation, although the multi-front invasion launched in February made it clear that Moscows original ambitions were far broader.
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Turbineguy
(37,346 posts)And then came the Battle of the Bulge.
Allied casualties over 90,000.