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RandySF

(59,332 posts)
Tue Jun 28, 2022, 05:33 PM Jun 2022

Scotland's independence referendum will be held on the 19th of October 2023.


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Yes
@YesScot
🚨 BREAKING: First Minister @NicolaSturgeon
Scotland’s independence referendum will be held on the 19th of October 2023.

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 The campaign is on! Join over half a million people and pledge your support for Scottish independence at https://yes.scot/signup/
18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Scotland's independence referendum will be held on the 19th of October 2023. (Original Post) RandySF Jun 2022 OP
Good edhopper Jun 2022 #1
Question: Could an independent Scotland rejoin the EU? CottonBear Jun 2022 #2
I believe it's part of their platform. RandySF Jun 2022 #3
As an independent country, Scotland could do whatever its people decide. Emrys Jun 2022 #9
Thank you for your thoughtful, informed, & reasoned reply. CottonBear Jun 2022 #13
And thanks for your interest in our country! n/t Emrys Jun 2022 #15
My family were Presbyterian Scots-Irish immigrants to NC in the mid 1700s CottonBear Jun 2022 #16
Will they bring back the Stuart dynasty or become a republic? Bucky Jun 2022 #4
Who gets custody of Nessie? Xavier Breath Jun 2022 #5
Just to be clear, that's what the First Minister wants, and is seeking a judicial decision muriel_volestrangler Jun 2022 #6
Wonder how they divide up the North Sea oil? TheRealNorth Jun 2022 #7
And this time, Scotland, Haggis 4 Breakfast Jun 2022 #8
Really? Putin's strategy is to cause division in opponents muriel_volestrangler Jun 2022 #11
Yeah, I've never believed in direct vote tampering in the 2014 referendum. Emrys Jun 2022 #14
English destiny enid602 Jun 2022 #10
Lots of people in the thread not reading the fine print. BannonsLiver Jun 2022 #12
You need to change the title, it is incorrect. There is no referendum. She may wish it but legally sunonmars Jun 2022 #17
Scotland will have its referendum sooner or later. TomSlick Jun 2022 #18

Emrys

(7,278 posts)
9. As an independent country, Scotland could do whatever its people decide.
Tue Jun 28, 2022, 06:04 PM
Jun 2022

I think if and when independence is gained, there will need to be a number of additional referendums.

One will set out the new Scottish Constitution - which may include whether we're to be a republic or retain the monarchy as a titular head of state, though I expect that's an issue that will play our over the medium to longer term, as has happened in other (ex-)Commonwealth countries - and the other will be to do with our relationships with our neighbours.

Currently, the SNP's aim is to join the the EU, but after independence, a different government may be elected with different priorities. As EU accession is often a long, drawn-out process, it obviously wouldn't happen overnight, but at the least I'd expect membership of an EFTA-type body with freedom of movement as an interim measure, wherever that led in the longer term.

Our government has been very active in using its soft power to court support in the EU and wider Europe, and so far the responses have been very positive and encouraging.

CottonBear

(21,596 posts)
16. My family were Presbyterian Scots-Irish immigrants to NC in the mid 1700s
Tue Jun 28, 2022, 07:27 PM
Jun 2022

My son's grandmother was an English war bride and his cousins live in the UK, so we keep up with politics across the pond.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,385 posts)
6. Just to be clear, that's what the First Minister wants, and is seeking a judicial decision
Tue Jun 28, 2022, 05:50 PM
Jun 2022

on whether she can lawfully call a referendum without Johnson agreeing to it. If the legal decision goes against it, then the SNP will campaign the next UK general election (scheduled for 2024) purely on independence.

In an attempt to force the issue, Scotland’s first minister said the lord advocate, Dorothy Bain QC, had written to the supreme court in London at her request, asking it to establish whether the Scottish government had the necessary legal powers to stage a consultative referendum on its own.

She told MSPs her government wanted to stage a second independence referendum on 19 October 2023, using the same question put to voters in 2014: “Should Scotland be an independent country?”

In a statement at Holyrood, Sturgeon said that if the court ruled that would not be a lawful use of her government’s resources or breached its constitutional powers, the Scottish National party (SNP) would make independence its only policy at the next UK general election.

She told MSPs that would make the election “a de facto referendum” in which the SNP would be empowered to open independence talks with the UK government if it won a majority of votes. In the 2015 general election, the SNP won 49.97% of the overall votes in Scotland but 45% in 2019.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/jun/28/nicola-sturgeon-seeks-supreme-court-ruling-on-scottish-independence-referendum-vote

Haggis 4 Breakfast

(1,454 posts)
8. And this time, Scotland,
Tue Jun 28, 2022, 06:01 PM
Jun 2022

Make sure you keep tabs on putin's attempt to eff up your vote. Because that is exactly what happened last time. The disinformation/misinformation/dirty tricks social media campaign worked. Don't fall for it again.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,385 posts)
11. Really? Putin's strategy is to cause division in opponents
Tue Jun 28, 2022, 06:20 PM
Jun 2022

It would have been quite convenient for him for the UK to break up, and for the UK's one nuclear submarine base to be in an independent country that wants it gone.

What the SNP does think Russia has done is stir up allegations of fraud in the 2014 referendum:

The SNP has warned it would 'naive' to assume Russia was not meddling in Scotland after it emerged pro-Kremlin internet trolls fuelled claims the independence referendum was rigged.

Experts have long regarded fake news of irregularities in the 2014 vote – first made by a Moscow-based state news agency - as a textbook example of Russian attempts to destabilise the West.

Now researchers have uncovered a huge push by social media accounts which usually support Vladimir Putin to share videos and links amplifying the inaccurate Scottish stories.
...
“The anger and disappointment felt by many Yes voters were entirely sincere, and are not the subject of this analysis; however, those sentiments were fanned by pro-Kremlin trolls, in a manner characteristic of Russian influence operations.”

https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/15771388.snp-claims-russia-likely-interfered-referendum/

Emrys

(7,278 posts)
14. Yeah, I've never believed in direct vote tampering in the 2014 referendum.
Tue Jun 28, 2022, 06:41 PM
Jun 2022

The actual vote wasn't a million miles away from what polls had shown, and what I sensed in the air at the time.

There was hardly any need for such tampering given that 99% of the media at the time opposed independence - only one fairly low-circulation Sunday paper, The Sunday Herald, supported independence.

The Kremlin loves to project its own electoral "irregularities" onto the West as often as circumstances allow, and that's what it was doing. Much the same happened in the EU referendum, and I'm similarly skeptical about direct Russian influence on the vote there, as again the final result wasn't far off opinion polling. The question of Russian funding of certain operators in either referendum (and our wider politics) is another matter, and has never been properly investigated or resolved in either case.

The Russians also tried to stir it during the 2014 referendum:

Cameron's plea to Putin: help me stop Salmond
...
Itar-Tass, citing a source in the Conservative Prime Minister's office, said Britain was "extremely interested" in referendum support from Russia, which this year holds the presidency of the influential G8 group of rich industrial nations.
...
The Tass report, by one of the agency's correspondents, hit the Russian language news wires on Hogmanay.

Its opening paragraph reads: "Great Britain is extremely interested in the support of Russia, as holder of the G8 presidency, in two vital areas in 2014: the Afghan pull-out and the Scottish independence referendum."

In the traditional style of a Russian news wire report, this assertion was then attributed to a "representative" in the Prime Minister's office who was speaking anonymously.

The journalist then added a direct quote from the unnamed source talking of "two main issues whose resolution requires international formats, albeit of different modalities".

The Cameron Government insider then, according to the report, added: "Those are the withdrawal of combat units from Afghanistan by the end of the 2014 and September's referendum on Scottish independence.

https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/13140055.camerons-plea-putin-help-stop-salmond/


There's no doubt Cameron did try to enlist hostile reactions among EU leaders to the prospect of Scottish independence and possible EU membership, though the UK's soft power has deteriorated to such an extent that this is hardly a significant factor nowadays.


sunonmars

(8,656 posts)
17. You need to change the title, it is incorrect. There is no referendum. She may wish it but legally
Tue Jun 28, 2022, 07:34 PM
Jun 2022

at present, there is not.

Be Factual.

TomSlick

(11,110 posts)
18. Scotland will have its referendum sooner or later.
Tue Jun 28, 2022, 08:40 PM
Jun 2022

Brexit has made it impossible for Scotland to remain under the control of Westminster. It may not be immediate but there must be another referendum.

Scotland's interests lie with Europe not England.

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