We are going to win the midterm/don't listen to some making the media rounds. Poll Included

[Demsrule86]

They don't understand what the end of Roe means for this country. We will vote in overwhelming numbers.



A majority of Americans (57%) think the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade was politically motivated and not motivated by the law of the land (36%). The debate over abortion rights will most likely play out on the campaign trail. 62% of registered voters say the Supreme Court’s decision will make them more likely to vote in this year’s midterm elections. Democrats (78%) are more motivated by the decision than Republicans (54%) and independents (53%).Following-Overturn-of-Roe-v.-Wade-sourced-1.jpg Read more.

Survey Data
https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_202206261035.pdf

29 votes, 2 passes | Time left: Unlimited
	Democrats are going to win big in the midterm....House, Senate and State elections
	16 (55%)
	Democrats are going to lose the midterm
	2 (7%)
	Democrats will win but not by much
	9 (31%)
	Other
	2 (7%)
	2 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
Show usernames Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll

[Funtatlaguy]

1. It's way too soon to know. Need to see who wins primaries.

Also need to see where inflation, especially gas prices, are.

[Demsrule86]

3. We begin early voting in Ohio in July. Most primaries are over...

[Funtatlaguy]

5. Some, like Florida, not until August.

[Demsrule86]

31. Thanks for the rec!

[Demsrule86]

6. We are voting in Ohio...in many places it is over.

[Demsrule86]

8. I believe Roe and other recent SCOTUS rulings will Trump inflation and we need to point out

that high gas prices and inflation are caused by greedy oil companies and other greedy corporations. Some on the late-night circuit...who attacked leadership should have talked about this already.

[Polybius]

16. The average voter isn't going to blame Trump for inflation/gas/etc.

The one who gets the blame is the one who's in the White House, sad to say.

[Demsrule86]

17. hahah...I mean trump as is more important than gas or inflation.

[renate]

44. I think a LOT will depend on the Democratic Party being able to explain gas prices effectively

Same for inflation, for the most part. These things are not under the control of the President, but he/potentially she ends up getting blamed for them.

I wonder why gas prices haven't spiraled out of control before now. The companies are literally making record profits and an entirely unrelated entity (that they don't like) is being blamed for it. It's perfect for them.

DNC, I beg you, put out ads blaming the oil companies for gas prices. Inflation might be too nuanced to explain, but the gas thing is in our faces every time we drive down the highway, so please please please, focus on that.

[OrlandoDem2]

2. If you are reading this and you aren't registered to vote, do so now. Please.

[Demsrule86]

4. Thank you for saying that...absolutely. We need to vote. Our Republic is on the line.

[usonian]

7. WHAT'RE YOU GOING TO DO ABOUT IT???

https://democraticunderground.com/100216821536
DONATE
VOLUNTEER
MAIL POSTCARDS
PHONE BANK

You have the power.

[Demsrule86]

9. Thank You!!!! I am going to kick this post (bad form I know) later just to keep that visible.

[usonian]

12. THANK YOU!

Upon advice from folks, I repost the thread about once a week.
Today? ✓ YES, DONE!!
Much appreciated.

[Sympthsical]

10. Four months is a very long time

We'll have to see how the economy does and other developments.

Americans are a very easily distracted people. If the election were held two weeks from now, I think things would turn around in our favor.

However, when the draft opinion leaked there were protests people instantly forgot about. Seriously, they were gone from major media and social media within 48 hours. Remember March For Our Lives protest a week or two ago? Yeah, no one else does either.

Four months is enough time for people to settle back into their routines. And remember, the people who are more of a partisan liberal bent are already mostly in blue states and districts. What will matter is how much resonance and urgency lasts over the next four months in the swing districts.

I think we can hold the line in November. But I'm not going to say it's any kind of given. As this fades out of the news - and it will, sooner than anyone thinks - and people go back to their routines, the daily stuff creeps back in and takes a more prominent place in emotions and thinking. Most squishy middle people will vote (or choose not to vote) based on how they feel at that snapshot of a moment of voting.

How will those squishy middle types feel by November?

None of us can confidently say.

[Demsrule86]

11. Early voting begins in a week in Ohio July 6th. Also, one can send for a mail-in ballot right now.

Voting is here in many parts of the country.

[Sympthsical]

13. And how many people are voting in early July?

I think grounding in reality instead of wishcasting is a wiser course.

By the end of August, I think we'll have a better sense and ability to pierce through the fog and see a general shape of things.

Right now, I think people are still in reacting mode and forecasting based on the here and now.

Here and now is not what will decide things. Doesn't feel productive to make any declarations with any kind of certitude.

"Donald Trump will never win. Clinton's got this."

Uh huh.

[Demsrule86]

18. Our early voting ends in August so many many people vote before August and mail in ballots

are already beginning as well. This is one state. There are undoubtedly other states voting. Fired up and ready to go.

[Aepps22]

14. We Have to Do Our Part

We have to do our part. Donate funds, phone bank, register voters and shout down these Republican terrorists. If we do the good guys will win

[Demsrule86]

20. The doom and gloom here is strong...have you noticed...not one person has recced the idea that

we will win the midterm? Sad.

[Polybius]

15. 50% are optimists

We're not winning big, come on. Maybe two or three Senate seats we pickup, and at best lose 5 seats in the House.

[Demsrule86]

19. We are not going to lose five seats in the House. And will win some Senate seats as well.

Two would be great but maybe we win more.

[Polybius]

21. Personally, I think we lose a lot more than 5 House seats

We might win three Senate seats though. PA is our best bet. I'm just extremely worried about the House.

[Demsrule86]

22. I think we will win house seat due to Roe.

[Polybius]

51. Many think that

I don't share that view, because of the high amount of people who initially thought that ending Roe meant that it ends abortion nationwide. When I told them that it means that states can ban it but you're fine in NY, their reaction was mostly "Oh, then it's not so bad then!"

Because of the initial confusion, I don't think it'll be the number one driving force. The economy will, and it ain't getting better just yet.

[Demsrule86]

25. I do not...the generic ballot is rising for us.

[Polybius]

50. Give it a month

Americans have short term memories.

[lees1975]

27. The "surprise" in the Senate will be Florida

I think we'll definitely get North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Ohio. The "most vulnerable" seat, incredibly, is Warnock's and I can't believe there are that many ignorant, foolish voters there to send someone as incredibly unqualified as Herschel Walker to the US Senate.

It's not looking like there will really be much shifting in the House. Given the increase in "highly competitive seats" and the lack of major GOP gains due to the redistricting, I think the House will look pretty much the same. So the Roe factor may push the Democrats ahead by a few.

I think the Supreme Court has done an excellent job helping push a major shift toward the Democrats at a critical time in the election process.

[Demsrule86]

32. I am hopeful too. Warnock is now up in the polls considerably. Stacy is tied.

I would so love to Florida...

[Elessar Zappa]

23. Roe is a game changer.

We might lose but it's by no means a sure thing for Republicans. The polls have Democrats at a ten point general lead right now. With the right strategy we can retain and even gain seats.

[Demsrule86]

26. And voting is happening now...hubs and I will vote on July 6th...many Democrats in Ohio

vote early and I have already heard two neighbors (hear-say) opine that they plan to vote Democratic because of Roe...Abortion is outlawed here already. And they are coming for the pill and IUDS.

[Polybius]

52. One outlier poll says that

Check the others and come back in a few weeks.

[Demsrule86]

24. I don't know why you are so down on the midterms...I think we will do fine.

[Polybius]

53. I bookmarked this

I will certainly come back to apologize if I'm wrong, and buy you a beer.

[sarisataka]

28. There is opportunity

We shall see if we have learned from history or if we will repeat it.

[Demsrule86]

29. We have a good opportunity...Brooklynite just posted that Warnock is up considerably and

Abrams/Kemp is tied.

[Demsrule86]

30. Thanks for the rec!

[Aepps22]

33. I'm Pumped

I can't stand these Republican terrorists. There are more of us than them.

[Demsrule86]

34. Fired up and ready to go!!!! Welcome aboard!

[Demsrule86]

35. This is a good opportunity...kind of like 2002 when George Bush defied the odds and won the

midterm... a major thing happened...9-11. I think Roe and January 6th is an attack of sorts too.

[DLCWIdem]

36. It could be looking good but many things can derail momentum

There is another post here about Biden appointing a anti abortion judge in Kentucky because of a deal with Mitch. I believe this is a winning issue but anything can derail us. And it actually is as big an economic issue as inflation or gas prices.

[Demsrule86]

41. One anti-abortion judge in a red state deal of some sort...doubtful because who are they

voting for then? What other choice is there if they care about stopping the wholesale murder of women. And I see you just had to get the thing about the judge out there now didn't you? Nice try. The bottom line is you either vote for the Democratic candidate or you are voting for the Republican who will worsen the situation...no exceptions.

[DLCWIdem]

42. You are barking up the wrong tree

I had just put a OP about AOC criticizing Biden let there be no doubt I am voting Dem. But how are to campaign on this issue and gain momentum if Biden is appointing anti abortion judges. We would have had the momentum but for this.

[Just_Vote_Dem]

37. K&R

[Demsrule86]

40. Thank You!!!!

[rockfordfile]

38. We have to work to get people to vote out those republican extremist

[Demsrule86]

39. Yes...we do. In fact, I was shocked that early voting was starting next week in Ohio... got

my list to start calling.

[Wounded Bear]

43. We need some postitive energy this fall...

and lots and lots of people to vote!

[Demsrule86]

46. Yes we do...and I have so much positive energy...no doom and gloom. We can do this.

[AntiFascist]

45. All we have to do is GOTV, already being motivated to do so by the SC n/t

[Demsrule86]

47. We need to get our voters out and encourage new voters.

[TheFarseer]

48. No idea

Check the price of gas in October

[Demsrule86]

49. Voting is already happening and check the price of having a b.aby these days...Roe Trumps that.

And only the truly stupid belief electing GOP types will do anything about the price of gas.

[pstokely]

54. it depends on what's in the headlines in Nov

the overturn pushed inflation out of the headlines, reproductive rights are also related to economic issues

[Polybius]

55. I don't know how I should vote

I believe we will win the Senate but lose the House. Which choice should I pick?