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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsUpdated: 12:52am (ET) Nate's 538 11/3 ----- 306.3 to 231.7 - 85.7% now-cast (link)
Last edited Sat Nov 3, 2012, 03:35 AM - Edit history (10)
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/Florida going up
Projected vote share ±3.1 49.4 49.9 Romney +0.5
Chance of winning 45% 55%
Colorado
Projected vote share ±3.4 50.1 48.7 Obama +1.4
Chance of winning 68% 32%
Virginia
Projected vote share ±2.8 50.1 49.0 Obama +1.1
Chance of winning 67% 33%
2012 Early Voting Statistics
Last updated: Nov. 2, 2012
Total number of ballots cast in all reporting jurisdictions: 25,759,169
http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html
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Updated: 12:52am (ET) Nate's 538 11/3 ----- 306.3 to 231.7 - 85.7% now-cast (link) (Original Post)
Ellipsis
Nov 2012
OP
amborin
(16,631 posts)1. the now cast is always high...was 95%
as we get closer to Nov 6, the "nov 6' cast and the 'now' cast will converge
regnaD kciN
(26,045 posts)2. I'm seeing 81.1% re-elect odds (forecast), not 79%...
Oddly enough, in his commentary, Nate still considers it "close," and says that Romney could easily win, if the swing-state polls turn out to be off by a couple of points in Obama's favor.
Ellipsis
(9,124 posts)3. Duh, my bad... cut and pasted an older poste one and missed it on editing. Now it's changed to 83.7%