POLL: Tim Ryan Leads J.D. Vance 49% to 38% Among Likely Voters in Ohio's U.S. Senate Race

[Demsrule86]

OLUMBUS, Ohio – (Aug. 4 2022) – A new poll from Center Street PAC, a non-partisan political action committee, shows Rep. Tim Ryan (D-OH) leads Republican J.D. Vance 49% to 38%, among Likely Voters, with 12% undecided. The numbers continue the upward trend in support for Ryan, whose lead over Vance among Likely Voters widened by 8 points, since a July 2022 poll.

While Ryan saw increases in awareness and favorability among voters, a more significant indicator is the decline for Vance in all areas, particularly in favorability. While 23% of voters view Ryan as Somewhat Unfavorable or Very Unfavorable, 46% hold unfavorable views of Vance, with 30% of those saying they have a Very Unfavorable view. By contrast, only 12% of voters are Very Unfavorable to Ryan.

With the election set to be close in November, independent voters will play a key role, and Ryan saw a significant increase with those voters, improving his lead from +8 in July (36% to 28%) to +21 (39% to 17%).

https://centerstreetpac.com/poll-tim-ryan-leads-j-d-vance-49-to-38-among-likely-voters-in-ohios-u-s-senate-race/

[Elessar Zappa]

1. That's great!

It’s really looking like we’re going to increase our Senate representation.

[Demsrule86]

2. It really does look good...I had hopes that Ryan could do it...but this has exceeded my

expectations!

[blue neen]

3. This is very good news.

Indeed.

[Demsrule86]

5. I know. I keep pinching myself to make sure I am not dreaming!

[blue neen]

7. I'm a PA citizen but an Ohio native.

Born in the district that Tim Ryan now represents. I like that he cares about working men and women.

[True Blue American]

58. Think what Tim and Sherrod can do for the worker, union members!

[Demsrule86]

78. Unions are making a comeback and we need union supporting Senators.

[Demsrule86]

77. And I used to live in PA...Delaware Water gap and near Pittsburgh. I now live in Ohio.

So I get to votefor Ryan and you get to vote for Fetterman...lucky us!

[Zambero]

4. Thnx GOP for yet another crappy candidate!

Keep 'em coming!

[Demsrule86]

9. Vance is probably the worst person they could have run here. Although not as tough as

PA in terms of having a Grandpa in the cemetery, it is damn close. Vance is a carpet bagger from WVA...and Ohioans are many things but they are not what Vance likes to call "hillbilly". And Ryan has worked on the Delphi bankruptcy to help Ohioans, helped me get my tax refund, and has been part of a suit that GM violated the Union contract when they close Lordstown GM...which could result in a big payoff for GM union affected. There are Republicans and Independents who will vote for Ryan...fingers are crossed.

[Marthe48]

6. I like Tim Ryan a lot!

I'm in Ohio and I'm voting for him.

[Demsrule86]

11. I am too. Tim is running a great campaign IMHO.

[spooky3]

14. i lived in OH for nearly 2 decades, and can't

Understand why most people were pessimistic about or ignoring this race. I’ve thought Tim Ryan had a good shot from the start and that Vance keeps digging his hole deeper.

Thanks for posting the good news!

[Demsrule86]

32. I did too. And I get so annoyed when people act like the Midwest doesn't matter. You want to

win a presidential race...check out the numbers. It matters! The guy who said that is not how Ohio is 'trending', Well, Obama took Ohio twice. There are many Democrats in Ohio. We have a weak party in my opinion. And need to make some changes.

[True Blue American]

62. What we have is

A Tepublican Party that will cheat, lie, ignore their own Supremt Coutr, worst gerrymandering ever.


Those who live in citires where the jobs are vote Democratic. The older rural Republican. Ohio is still mainly agriculture, but that is changing. The new Intel plant outside of Columbus will change everything.
Southwest’s Ohio is expanding from Cincinnati to Fayton.

[True Blue American]

57. Tim has an ad out now with a Portsmouth man who hires ex addicts.

JD had a charity he used for himself like Trump. The man says JD says JD used his charity for himself, I use mine to hire people and I am for Tim Ryan.

Tim says he is not a party, he is for working with anyone who will help the people.

[spooky3]

74. Sounds good! Nt

[Marthe48]

17. Yes, he is

I watch You Tube often and see Tim Ryan's ad run almost every time I tune in. Even my 1 year old grandson is paying attention Warmed my heart to hear him say that j.d. vance hadn't done a thing for Ohio when he moved back from Ca.

[Demsrule86]

35. That is so true. Vance is as fake and a liar just like Trump. Tim Ryan has worked hard for

Ohio.

[EnergizedLib]

8. Please hold

We need this.

[Demsrule86]

42. Yes we do...we need good guys like Ryan in the Senate...

[TheBeam19]

10. Great news. Keep it up!

[Demsrule86]

12. I hope to be well enough to knock on doors...I want to do some of the rural counties...if we can

reduce the margins...just like in GA, we will win.

[TheBeam19]

16. Might even make it a decisive win.

But any size margin is good. Just get him to the Senate!

[Demsrule86]

43. I just want a win...big or small. Big is better because then they can't play games.

[True Blue American]

63. I wish I still could.

I served the Party for years. Good luck. We need you!

[JustAnotherGen]

13. Dear Ohio Democratic GOTVers

Do not take your foot off the gas.

Do not let people tell you it is in the bag.

Do not let young people tell you they are afraid that if they register to vote, they will be called to jury duty unless they are willing to give up their driver's license.


We almost lost Phil Murphy as our Governor in NJ last November. Leave nothing to chance when up against a die hard Magat.

[Demsrule86]

18. Good advice. We have been registering kids in college campus's (summer school is now out).

I couldn't do it as I have been ill after Covid...but I am told, it was very successful among all...but especially women voters who are incensed about Roe. I think we may keep the House too-Cautiously optimistic.

[JustAnotherGen]

21. I literally

Had a young woman tell me that on Sunday morning.

I asked her if she had a driver's license - she said yes.

I explained to her that before my husband was a citizen - he had a driver's license, and got called to jury duty twice. He couldn't serve of course, but still . . .

She wasn't aware of that.

[Demsrule86]

44. They get you one way or the other...hehe.

And what a sad excuse anyway.

[Beakybird]

15. Yahoo!! Yeehaaa!

[Demsrule86]

45. Yep, we can do this!!!! Let's turn Ohio blue once more.

[Norbert]

19. Vance finally bought ad time for some TV spots in the last week.

a couple of 'feel good' ads.

I really hope it is too little too late.

[Demsrule86]

46. I hope it is too...he has made some foolish statements so let's hope that was his so called

'introduction'.

[BeyondGeography]

20. Excellent candidate

Here’s to sanity in OH.

[Demsrule86]

23. Amen! How are you? I feel like crap. Still coughing, still have A-Fib...Covid sucks.

Stay safe...

[BeyondGeography]

29. COVID took something out of me but I can't complain

Please take care my friend. I’m rooting for you.

[Demsrule86]

47. Thank you dear....never even took a pill before Covid. I went to a wedding in New York...should

have worn a mask.

[True Blue American]

65. Take care of yourself!

A friend had to go through 2 series of antibiotics.

[llmart]

22. Oh, man.

This week just keeps getting better and better. As a native Ohioan, I so want to see them reverse the trend of becoming another West Virginia. They were always known as a state with terrific schools, and in terms of libraries, they were at the top of the heap! That showed the populace cared about education.

[Demsrule86]

24. I do too. My kids all graduate from here...two went to YSU. It is a great state. Ford is not

closing the Cleveland area plants since the Chip bill went through...first time I ever remember when a plant got a reprieve...things look better for Parma GM as well.

[True Blue American]

68. I read a post this morning

Where GM is expanding, building their own chip plants, encouraging their suppliers to move back.

Mary Barro met with Biden. She is an innovator. 2 generation GM/ Chrysler family here.

Henry Ford gave my Grandpa a life time job if he would come back to work on the DT&I RAILROAD
Henry bought to ship his cars. He was a Ford guy!

[nycbos]

25. Given the way OH has trended...

... this seems a little too good to be true.

[Demsrule86]

27. Well, Vance is a really bad candidate. And as I pointed out early in the primary. Tim Ryan has

done much for Ohio. He is well-liked. If anyone can take the Senate seat, it is him. He is from Ohio and went to school in Ohio and has been a big union guy. He grew up in Youngstown. He also is campaigning in every Ohio county like Fetterman and is running a factory town campaign.

I suggest before you cede the rust belt, you look at an electoral map( 270 to win). We have no path to the presidency without the rust belt. We need Virginia and all the rust belt states save Ohio. The other scenario is we need Ohio and all the rust belt states and we could lose Virginia. And consider we lost the governor's race in Virginia.

[nycbos]

34. I agree with everything you said.

I never once suggested "ceding he rust belt." I really want Ryan to win.

I just meant that I think this poll will end up being an outlier. We saw it in 2016 that GOP voters came home to Trump even though they might not have liked him.

Something similar might happen with Vance despite the fact he is an asshole.

[Demsrule86]

36. You could say that about any election...I was merely pointing out that we need the Rustbelt...

didn't say that you said that. I also pointed out that if we lose Virginia, we damn well need Ohio and I think we can win in Ohio. Ryan has been up the entire primary. Vance is not well-liked. Ryan has a history of being born in Ohio, lived here his entire life, and has helped many Ohioans. So I don't have a crystal ball and can't say for sure that he wins. But I think Ryan has a good shot. As for this being an outer, polls have shown Ryan ahead throughout the campaign.

[doc03]

26. We may soon have two Demercrat Senators again

[Demsrule86]

28. That is my dream...and also consider DeWine is underwater...could he in this day and age

with Roe and Ohio's shitty abortion laws lose as well?

[True Blue American]

75. DeWine is afraid to debate Nan Whaley

She will be all over him on his abortion bill.

Republicans in Ohio have become the Keystone Kops. Have been since Kasich. Lie,steal, cheat, bribe.

[Demsrule86]

76. Nan Whaley is great. Well we have a tradition of sending our governors to the pokey...

[True Blue American]

79. Would not surprise me

After he is out of office.. many do not know who Nan is, but searches on her ticked way up after the anotion bill.

Women in Ohio unite! I need that sign.

[Demsrule86]

80. I was thinking I was starting a youtube channel to try to unite women in every state I can

to push for and get out the vote to stop Roe hating Republicans...which means all Republicans. What do you think?

[Sky Jewels]

30. Fabulous. Almost to 50 percent.

Fingers crossed that there will be a Hillbilly Eulogy for Vance's campaign in November.

[Demsrule86]

37. That guy is such a fake...carpetbagger! Tim Ryan knows Ohio and is not looking to use it

as a stepping stone to whatever. He wants to help Ohioans.

[Sky Jewels]

39. Definitely!

And Vance is such a phony. Mr. Yale is shamelessly dumbing himself down and embracing radical Magat positions to further his GOP career. People like that are more stomach-turning than the authenticity stupid, like Gohmert.

[Demsrule86]

50. He is not authentic...and comes across as a fraudster unlike Tim who is who he is...I remember

getting through to him one day and giving him a piece of my mind about choice. At the time he was not pro-choice. He has since changed his stance. He listened patiently and then said he won't vote against choice while in the House and then said, I hope you will vote for me. And my response was of course I will. I would vote for a damn yellow dog before a Republican...and I ended up volunteering for the campaign...he is a good guy...big union guy. We ran most campaigns out of the UAW Hall...

[Demsrule86]

54. Fetterman went to Harvard I think and has never dumbed himself down....don't get it.

[GreatShakes66]

33. Great news

Ryan has definitely been winning the airwaves war with his ads.

[Demsrule86]

38. Those ads are really amazing!

[No Vested Interest]

48. Vance started his Tv campaign in the last few days, featuring his wife and young children.

His new ad tends to humanize him a little more than we've seen.
However, when he has to get down to issues and speak for himself, he won't show up as well.

[Demsrule86]

51. Yup...he has already hurt himself with some of the positions he took.

[Lonestarblue]

40. Hallelujah and amen!

Let’s hope he holds on, along with Fedderman and Warnock. If we could just have Val Demings, too, that would be icing on the cake—more Senators and no whining Little Marco. Win-win!

Plus Mandela Barnes has a chance against Ron Johnson. It would be sweet to see that insurrection apologist and general raving lunatic kicked out of office.

[Demsrule86]

52. I don't know if you know this but Cherie Beasley is tied or just a point or two behind in NC.

And I expect the suburbs to vote for her because of Roe...fingers crossed.

[Lonestarblue]

56. I didn't know that, but it's great news. Is that a campaign to send a bit of money to?

Here are so many needing money, bit I’m trying to focus more on our best shots. I think Barnes in Wisconsin has a good shot, but I can send Beasley some money love.

[Demsrule86]

59. I am sending her what I can afford...it would be great if we could win in NC...it is real close.

[Lonestarblue]

67. I'll send her a donation, too. I would be thrilled with an excess of Democratic Senators!

[peggysue2]

41. Like Fetterman, Tim Ryan knows his state and his people

Both these men are running great campaigns but their real advantage is knowing and understanding their constituency against two helicoptered-in candidates relying on their celebrity status and promises of an easy glide-path to victory. You cannot fake authenticity which is exactly what Oz and Vance are finding out.

One of the lamest and laughable approaches Oz took early on was trying to present himself as an 'Everyman'. He's dumped that but it was painful (also hilarious) to watch. Vance was a Never-Trumper until he turned into a Trump zombie. He's flip-flopped on every issue.

The disingenuous nature of both these Republican campaigns is off the charts. The super-power that Fetterman has had and is now streaming through Ryan's campaign is simple: Know and care about the people you would represent and walk the walk. Or as Fetterman would say--every county, every vote. The real work doesn't end until every vote is counted. Oz and Vance thought the Former Guy's endorsement was enough.

Clearly, it is not.

[Demsrule86]

53. They don't care about the peope in Ohio and Pennsylvania and it shows.

This is just a stepping stone for something else for them. I don't believe either of them are good people. Vance is a grifter...and did himself real harm with his stance on the 10-year-old Ohio girl who was raped and became pregnant. As for Oz, he was called to testify about his lies about the shitty pills and other stuff he sold as a wonder drug for weight loss among other things.

[Demsrule86]

55. I do also...welcome to DU.

[FlyingPiggy]

60. Great news! Lets turn up the heat!

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

[Demsrule86]

61. Time to give Vance a Ohio boot in the ass ...out of our state.

[FlyingPiggy]

66. My boots are ready. And I hope women in Ohio are ready to

Kick his ass out of OH too. 🥾👢🗳🌊🌊🌊

[True Blue American]

69. My boots are made for walking

Gonna walk all over you!

[Demsrule86]

73. Damn right!!!!

These boots are made for walkin and they are going to walk all over you...

[mwb970]

64. Ryan is vastly superior in every possible way.

Even some republicans appear to understand this.

[Demsrule86]

72. I think there will be cross over vote...I really do. He is a union guy. They know what he can do.

Vance is a capital venture guy...what does he know about Ohio?

[Upthevibe]

70. Demsrule86...........

Thank you so much for this post!

I'm tracking the races where we have a chance - All of them - The Governorships, The Senate, and The House.

[Demsrule86]

71. Thank you for doing this...I would appreciate it if you could tell me about the House races...I

am anxious about the House.