Nevada early voting ends with 48,000-vote lead for Democrats.

[RandySF]

UPDATE: Statewide totals in. 700,000-plus have voted already. Doubt more than 1 million in all will vote. Democrats have a 48,000-vote lead. And the GOP only has a 1.1 percent statewide voter turnout advantage so far. The Republicans did (need?) a massive Tuesday effort for Romney to win.




http://ralstonreports.com/blog/democrats-end-71000-voter-lead-clark-near-dead-heat-washoe#.UJWPLH2l6_5

[JackRiddler]

1. Can you explain this in plain language please?

How can one party "have a 48,000-vote lead" while the other "has a 1.1 percent statewide voter turnout advantage"? What does that mean? Can you please say how these numbers are derived? Are they based on party registrations? Thank you.

[BumRushDaShow]

3. I think the blogger at the link

jumps back and forth between county tallies and state-wide. So I think that "48,000" lead is in what is (I think) the largest county vs the higher rethug registration statewide (but probably in the rural/lesser populated counties).

I.e., the blogger is looking at the larger Democratic tallies in the big counties and how that may offset what should be a higher rethug advantage based on registration. The difference being indies who may be going to Obama and possibly indicate a lower than expected rethug turnout.

[SickOfTheOnePct]

2. I thought votes weren't counted until election day? n/t

[alcibiades_mystery]

4. They're not...the count assumes that Democratic voters vote for Obama, while Republican

voters vote for Romney.

The count is only of registrations, not actual vote count.

[SickOfTheOnePct]

5. Got it, thank you! n/t

[Coyotl]

6. You mean 48,000 more registered Dems have voted than Registered Rs, that's 100,000

more votes, I'm guessing.