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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhy This Midterm Cycle Might Be Different
Why This Midterm Cycle Might Be Different
August 16, 2022 at 2:36 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 114 Comments
https://politicalwire.com/2022/08/16/why-this-midterm-cycle-might-be-different/
"SNIP.......
A pretty good predictor in the midterm elections is a presidents approval rating. With Joe Bidens approval still at historic lows though starting to tick back up its generally safe to assume that Republicans are well-positioned for a good year. The general economic pessimism wont help Democrats either.
And yet its impossible to deny the idea that this year might be different.
Heres why:
Democrats are outperforming on the generic congressional ballot relative to Bidens job performance.
Since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, Democrats in two special congressional elections have significantly outperformed expectations.
Kansas voters turned out in stunning numbers to reject a GOP attempt to ban abortion.
High profile Republican candidates are struggling around the country, including in Georgia, Ohio and Pennsylvania.
Donald Trump is endorsing questionable candidates, continuing to deny he lost the 2020 election and strongly hinting that hell run again in 2024.
Were going to face a deluge of new polls in the coming weeks. With real data of individual races, the trajectory of this cycle may begin to crystallize.
But I suspect it will be harder this year to build polling turnout models that accurately reflect the mood of voters.
......SNIP"
GreenWave
(6,756 posts)The facts are still not out.
What if J-6 has even greater bombshells in September? How will that affect voting?
And dare I say, what if the media are put on the spot?
Exhibit A
Shorty after J-6, the media were so appalled they were pointing out that people were disgusted with being republicans and were dropping out by many thousands each day. Why did this story die?
Exhibit B
Big Lie blaming Joe for Afghanistan. On the first day of the air rescue, Afghani MEN ran to jump on the plane. Those selfish pricks did not bring their mothers, grandmothers, aunts, sisters, daughters, no females at all. They also did not bring their grandfathers, young sons. So we saw a mass and hysterical exodus of goddamned selfish men. The media did not point this out. And the question arises: Do we need even more goddamned selfish men in the USA?
skylucy
(3,739 posts)All men looking for a way out. No women with them.
applegrove
(118,659 posts)Last edited Tue Aug 16, 2022, 08:24 PM - Edit history (1)
Those were the people who were most at risk of retaliation because they helped the coalition's military call in strikes and such.. There were some woman involved too. I have yet to see a translater who was a woman, though. So not all those men running for the planes had women at home who were in danger of getting killed immediately as they were. Some of those men were really young, too. And some were assholes.