AK-AL: Democrat Mary Peltola expands lead in Special Election

[brooklynite]

Link to tweet

[ColinC]

1. Wondering how the popularity of ranked voting changes after this race is decided.

Also wondering how many people voted for Begich because of his uncle. Only time will tell.

[WarGamer]

2. How many GOP voters would put the "D" as their second choice votes?

And wouldn't some "D" voters put Begich as their second choice just to push out Palin?

I think Begich and Palin finish 1-2

[brooklynite]

3. You're not following the RCV rules

The current placement is:
Peltola: 1st
Palin: 2nd
Begich: 3rd

When Ranked-Choice voting is applied next week, Begich will be the first eliminated. Any Peltola voters who selected Begich as #2 will have those votes voided.The only #2 votes that will be applied will be from those who voted for Begich as #1. The question is: is Palin too extreme for the Begich voters?

[WarGamer]

4. Oh I see.... super confusing. Thanks for clarifying!!

[House of Roberts]

5. Based on the available math above,

Palin needs to carry over 63% of the Begich voters to overtake Peltola.