Figuring out how many 'MAGA Republicans' there actually are

[sinkingfeeling]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/09/02/trump-republicans-biden-maga/

The Washington Post’s Aaron Blake has walked through what Biden said and the context in which he said it, both on Thursday and last week, when he used the label “semi-fascism” to describe that group’s worldview. But what if we went one step further, trying to assign an actual numeric value to the group Biden is describing? It’s not “half the country” as Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) and others have insisted. But how much of the country is it?

This is a subset of what Biden said, certainly, but, with four categories, it captures the heart of what his speech was focused on: rejection of the 2020 election, embrace of candidates who similarly reject the results, approval of the Capitol riot and a willingness to consider violence as a political tool.
Again, we can’t assume that these percentages all overlap. But we get a consistent picture. Over and over, about 10 percent of the population (plus or minus a few percentage points) expresses the sort of view that Biden articulated: Republican or Republican-leaning and in favor of the positions he associated with “MAGA.”

If one agrees with Biden that this group poses a threat to American democracy, it is reassuring that it constitutes a tenth of the public — and not, as Biden’s detractors had it — half.

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Lots of details and charts in article.

[Jade Fox]

1. Well that's good news.....nt

[PortTack]

2. 30% of American voters ID as gqp- of that group, 30% are cult followers 10%

It maybe even less in the likely voters group because when asked, many of them don’t vote

[Pobeka]

3. How they self-identify is *not* the question, it's who they vote for.

And I'll bet a beer a heck of a lot more than 10% will vote for MAGA candidates.

[crickets]

4. Interesting article.

The numbers are a lot smaller than people think and smaller than media often claims.

No paywall: https://archive.ph/o9xVB