How the biggest Republican stronghold in Texas could cost Gov. Abbott his job

[LetMyPeopleVote]

There are good number of hard core Democrats who have been working for a long time to turn Texas blue. We are making progress due to some fun demographic trends and some hard work. Texas has been trending blue for a while. There are fun demographic trends that combine the fact that Texas is becoming less rural and that more older GOP voters are dying and are being replaced by younger more democratic voters. In addition, there is a region of Texas called the "Blue Spine" which is basically a corridor that runs from San Antonio to Dallas that is becoming a strong hold. These demographic trends may flip Texas in 2022

Link to tweet

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/politics/election/2022/article/texas-gop-stronghold-beto-abbott-17411261.php?utm_medium=referral&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=socialflow

A surge of Democratic-leaning voter registrations over the last four years has turned Harris County bluer and made the suburbs along Interstate 35 into a blue spine that went big for O’Rourke in 2018 and Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential race.....

900,000 new voters in ‘Blue Spine’
In 2018, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz beat O’Rourke by just 215,000 votes, and more than half of that margin coming from the Panhandle and South Plains, where Cruz won 3 out of every 4 voters. Cruz beat O’Rourke by 124,000 votes in those regions.

But in the four years since, those 46 counties have added just 10,000 voters, while there are more than 900,000 more in the 23 counties along the urbanizing and diversifying blue spine and Harris County, Texas Secretary of State data shows.

If O’Rourke can raise turnout and win the majority of those new voters in increasingly Democratic territory, 30 years of Red State dominance could be in the hands of those South Plains and Panhandle voters, and how much they want to defend Gov. Greg Abbott, a two-term governor.

Beto has held a ton of events in West Texas and smaller counties and has generated good crowds who are supporting Beto

If Texas turns blue, there is no way that the GOP will be competitve in the electoral college

[James48]

1. I've been hearing this about Texas for a long time.

Maybe 15 years ago they were saying it will only be one or two more elections before Texas turns blue.

I’ll believe it when I see it actually happen. Let’s hope America still exists then, and Texas GOP doesn’t simply decides to stop doing state elections. I wouldn’t put that past them.

Good luck, and keep up the work-

[dchill]

5. Ahem. Roe v. Wade.

That could do it. That SHOULD do it.

[mopinko]

9. tx isnt red, it's suppressed. and also

rat fucked. long time. that's how w ended up in the wh.

[ananda]

11. Same

..

[LetMyPeopleVote]

16. The problem with relying on demographic trends is that they take time to manifest

I have been following these trends for a long time. The key two trends are Texas becoming less rural and older voters dying and being replaced by younger voters. At one point, Texas was projected to turn blue by 2024 or 2026. Abbott and TFG may have helped these trends a little by killing off more GOP voters with COVID

Link to tweet

The overturning of Roe and Greg Abbott's stupidity with respect to the power grid and Uvalde are also helping

Texas will turn blue.

[CaliforniaPeggy]

2. Sounds very promising. I continue to support Beto and my friends in Texas. n/t

[DFW]

6. And we Texans appreciate it!!

Even those of us who now live 5000 miles from Texas!

[CaliforniaPeggy]

21. Thank you for your lovely comment, my dear DFW! I appreciate your appreciation!

[dalton99a]

3. Kick

[SlimJimmy]

4. San Antonio is very blue

[brer cat]

7. I hope Beto keeps drawing them in.

[Takket]

8. These articles always discount voter suppression

Hate to be a wet blanket but it isn’t enough to simply have more support. Your supporters have to have the ability to vote. And when they vote it has to be counted.

Beto will lose thousands of votes because of huge lines and lack of absentee ballots that the rethugs intentionally put in place. Along with rules to toss out legal votes because someone’s “signature doesn’t match” for example.

The mountain for Beto to climb is much higher than just having more supporters.

[LetMyPeopleVote]

15. Texans are gearing up to fight voter suppression

[czarjak]

10. WHY, are we the only democracy with an Electoral College System?

[Buckeyeblue]

13. It's a convoluted system designed to reward the South for slavery

The south was over represented in congress because the African Americans who were slaves were figured into the overall population. Of course, these individuals had zero rights. But this artificially propped up southern representation. The electoral college is just an extension of this thought.

If we are going to be honest, the US has always been two different countries. The original slave states and the rest of us. The founding fathers would have been better off saying you go your way, I'll go mine. The south could have had their country, the north theirs. But the world would be much different today. Slavery would have probably lasted another 50 years. Who knows what else would be different.

[ITAL]

17. Parliamentary systems

Can also award the party that gets less votes if they win more seats overall. The last time it happened in Great Britain was 1974. Australia just did it this year. It's rare, but it does happen.

[malaise]

12. Go Beto!

Rec

[tanyev]

14. Blue Spine. I like it!

[UTUSN]

18. If only. Am only withholding Rec because too good to be true.

[MagickMuffin]

19. And the only way for Beto to get anything done, he'll need a dem legislators

That needs to be expressed at all his town halls.

[Hermit-The-Prog]

20. A wave can break through voter suppression schemes and then repair the damages.

Roe, Roe, Roe your vote
against theocracy!
Republicans revoke your rights
and kill democracy!

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