Poll: Democrats lead Republicans among those who say they'll 'definitely' vote in midterms

[Carlitos Brigante]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/poll-democrats-lead-republicans-among-those-who-say-theyll-definitely-vote-in-midterms-221434935.html

A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll shows that Democrats are heading into the homestretch of the 2022 midterm campaign with a lead over Republicans among registered voters — including those who say they “definitely will vote” this year.

According to the survey of 1,634 U.S. adults, which was conducted from Sept. 2 to Sept. 6, 45% of registered voters now say they would cast their ballot for the Democratic congressional candidate in their district if the election were held today; 40% say they would choose the Republican candidate instead.

Among registered voters who say they will “definitely” vote on Nov. 8, Democrats lead 48% to 45%.

The new Yahoo News/YouGov results — some of the first national numbers to emerge after the long Labor Day weekend that traditionally marks the beginning of the fall election season — align with a shift that has been underway for weeks now in congressional polling averages. (The previous Yahoo News/YouGov poll, conducted in late August, showed Democrats ahead by a similar margin among registered voters.)

[Johnny2X2X]

1. Dems now lead among independents too

The polls are trending to Democrat and they don't include Roe Roe Roe the vote possibly causing an undetected several point miss.

November has a chance to be a decisive election for Dems now. 538 is moving their odds to keep the house up ever so slowly, but steadily. We're now 70-30 to keep the Senate, and 26-74 against keeping the House/

[Elessar Zappa]

2. I think in reality

our chances of keeping the House is about 50/50. I believe the polls are potentially missing new voters who’ll vote Democratic due to Roe.

[Sky Jewels]

4. Agreed.

I don't think the turnout models are reflecting the intensity of millions of pissed off women and male allies.

[Johnny2X2X]

5. Kansas and NY-19

I can't believe those races haven't gotten more play from pollsters. Kansas beat polls by 20 points and NY-19 beat them by 9 or 10. And the candidate in NY-19 ran on protecting abortion rights. You could see something truly remarkable if the polls are off by several points around the country. You could see a 55-45 Senate and a bigger Dem advantage in the House than now. You give Biden those advantages for 2 years and he's going to completely transform our country while protecting our Democracy.

[Sky Jewels]

6. My thoughts exactly.

Throw in Trump being exposed as a fucking SPY (as well as the previously known traitorous fascist who tried to overthrow democracy and install himself as dictator for life) and you've got the makings of a big blue wave.

[Meadowoak]

3. I asked Alexa this morning how many registered republicans

In the USA? She said 34 million 177 thousand or 20% of the electorate. And democrats are 48 million and 40% of the electorate. We can do this if we all VOTE.

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

7. Good