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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDavid Frum thread on Putin's mobilization speech
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12h 6 tweets 1 min read
The Putin mobilization speech seems pretty much vaporware. Eight months ago, Putin invaded Ukraine with his best-trained, best-equipped 175,000 troops. That army is now wrecked, its equipment depleted, maybe 50,000 killed, who knows how many maimed/wounded. 1/x
So now he's calling up a reserve army of 300,000: worse-trained, worse-equipped. How much can they accomplish against a Ukrainian force that is progressively better armed every passing month? 2/x
The Ukrainian battlefields get muddy soon. Then it gets cold. Do the 300,000 reservists have mobility? Do they even have proper winter gear? 3/x
It all seems like a fantasy drafted on paper by generals who don't want to get thrown out of windows ... repeated on TV by a leader isolated from reality by the lies he demands to be told. 4/x
Which is not to say that Putin's army lacks options. They can try even more heinous terror tactics against Ukrainian civilian populations: rocket attacks on cities, etc. Probably that's what Putin will do. But as plans go ... 5/x
... it's a plan for maximizing human suffering, not for achieving any strategic objectives. Putin's crimes are terrible, but Putin's goals seem already irretrievably lost. END
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David Frum thread on Putin's mobilization speech (Original Post)
BootinUp
Sep 2022
OP
BeyondGeography
(39,377 posts)1. Russia is so fucked and it gets worse every day.
mahina
(17,687 posts)2. Don't remember which student of history noted that in Putin's entire carreer
He has never reconciled, backed down or acknowledged a poor position. He cant. Especially now.
PortTack
(32,785 posts)3. Great summation