GOP sees path to Senate majority via Nevada and Georgia amid spending boost

[brooklynite]

Washington Post

Republicans are zeroing in on a path to win the Senate by picking up Democratic-held seats in Nevada and Georgia, regaining their footing after panicking this summer over far-right nominees and lags in fundraising and advertising.

But the GOP is largely still playing catch-up, as recent surveys show their candidates improving but still trailing in key states, including Pennsylvania and Georgia. And the relief has come at a high cost, borne mostly by a super PAC aligned with Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell (Ky.) that has to pay higher prices than official campaigns to advertise on television stations.

“I’ve definitely seen tightening since Labor Day in most every state I’m involved in,” said Brent Buchanan, president of Cygnal, a Republican polling firm. “The Democrats have maxed out all their opportunities. The question now becomes, can Republicans close enough of the gap?”

Operatives in both parties are dreading the prospect that control of the Senate could again be decided by a runoff in Georgia, as in 2021. The state requires the winning candidate to clear 50 percent, with a runoff in December if neither candidate exceeds that hurdle. A Fox News poll taken in the past week found incumbent Democratic Sen. Raphael G. Warnock leading Republican challenger Herschel Walker 46 percent to 41 percent.

[Poiuyt]

1. If Walker wins, I'm going to puke!

[PortTack]

2. The gqp may take the house...they will not take the senate...that's a pipe dream.

Money isn’t going to save them, important..yes but if money were all it took we’d be calling Amy McGrath Senator…among many other races where money didn’t win the race.

[Hermit-The-Prog]

3. Happens every time -- feign being broke so a big push at the end exaggerates momentum.

Roe, Roe, Roe your vote
against theocracy!
Republicans revoke your rights
and kill democracy!

THESE are the races that will determine control of the House of Representatives:
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100217192221

Stick 'em up for a blue wave: https://www.democraticunderground.com/100217078977

[Wanderlust988]

4. Nevada is Lucy with the football to Republicans

Nevada has been notoriously difficult to poll and they almost always undercount Dems. If the polls were ever right, Harry Reid wouldn't have ever won anytime. Nevada is not a state I'm really concerned with. Dems always outperform on election day there.

[W_HAMILTON]

5. This is true, but wasn't part of that related to the "Harry Reid Machine..."

...political apparatus that had been built there? I thought I read awhile back that there was some in-fighting within the state party, with some wanting to take it away from these roots that have proven to be so successful there for such a long time.

[DFW]

6. CCM knows she has a fight on her hands

I spent maybe half an hour on the phone with her when I was in the States, and although she thinks she will keep her seat, she has no illusions that it will be a cake walk. She is very focused, and knows what she is up against.