Russian lines breaking in the South, under intense pressure in the North

[blue-wave]

In the South:

AFU ‘Overwhelmed’ Russian Defences Near Kherson

Similar information appeared in the public pages of the occupiers. It notes that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are attacking from the Kryvyi Rih axis and pushing the enemy along the Novovorontsovka-Dudchany highway. Two battalions carry out the attack: infantry and tank battalions.

More here: https://ukrainetoday.org/2022/10/02/afu-overwhelmed-russian-defences-near-kherson/

And a tweet with map showing the Russian collapse:

Link to tweet

In the North:

Ukraine presses counteroffensive after Russian setback

Hours after Zelenskyy’s announcement, Ukrainian media shared an image of Ukrainian troops carrying the country’s yellow-and-blue flag in front of a statue marking the village of Torske, 15 kilometers (9 miles) east of Lyman and within sight of the Russian-held Luhansk region. Shortly later, a video posted online showed one Ukrainian soldier saying that Kyiv’s forces had begun to target the city of Kreminna, just across the border in Luhansk. Outgoing artillery could be heard in the background. Russian military correspondents also acknowledged Ukrainian attacks targeting Kreminna.

More here: https://www.nbc29.com/2022/10/02/ukraine-presses-counteroffensive-after-russian-setback/

And a tweet about Kreminna (this guy translates Russian communications about the war):

Link to tweet

Ukraine is successfully offensively fighting on two fronts!! Slava Ukraini!! Heroyam Slava!!

[PortTack]

1. Be safe brave soldiers ....Slava Ukraine!

[Lovie777]

2. I've been following ..........

Also, apparently Russia's military have "misplaced" 1.5 million winter gear and this appears to be fact.

[blue-wave]

3. Go figure!

How ironic with winter approaching. The very thing that saved Russia more than once (the brutal winters) might greatly contribute to their defeat!

[paleotn]

10. Not surprised if true. Grift knows no limits in the Russian armed forces.

[Irish_Dem]

15. The thieves will probably sell it back to RU troops for a huge mark up.

[Cha]

4. Glory to Ukraine 🇺🇦 💙💛🕯🕊

🇺🇦💙💛🕯🕊💚

[Beastly Boy]

5. The news are coming fast and furious.

Most recent headline from ukrainetoday.org: Russian Army Flees Kreminna: Broken Front Crumbles

https://ukrainetoday.org/2022/10/01/russian-army-flees-kreminna-broken-front-crumbles/

[blue-wave]

6. Oh Yeah!!

Put Pooty's annexation party to shame, my Ukrainian friends!!

[Lovie777]

7. WOW . ..

[housecat]

8. Ukranian strength, talent, unity, leadership, and determination have surprised not only Russia.

In the midst of Russian atrocities and war crimes, the Ukranians kept going. A model for other countries.

[Happy Hoosier]

9. There are reports tonight....

Of Russians begging for air support in the developing breakthroughs in the Kherson region on Social Media. Social. Media.

[Irish_Dem]

14. Unbelievable. What happened to the RU military communications system?

[blue-wave]

18. It appears they never

had a good communication system. It's likely outdated. Never updated due to rampant corruption in the Putin regime? They stole a lot from Russia and left the citizens with just enough to not revolt against their rule.

[Irish_Dem]

20. I knew early on the troops were using cell phones for combat comms.

But I assumed by now they might have kicked it up a notch.
Sounds like the opposite, now they are going to Facebook.

Yes Russia is not really a country in the traditional sense, it is a mass of land ruled by mobsters.
(Credit to Rachel Maddow for that gem.)

Yes the Russia people were thrilled to have a roof over their heads and food.
So let Putin do his thing.

[Happy Hoosier]

33. A couple things....

The “advanced” Russian tactical radios were designed to use cell phone towers for their encrypted comms. Fuess how well that works in a war zone.

For their more standard rf comms, many of the radios turned out to be inexpensive chine radios in a “military” shell. The vast majority of the funds wound up in the pockets of Putin’s buddies.

[Irish_Dem]

34. RU bombs Ukraine to hell and back and expects the cell phone towers to remain intact?

Ok, they didn't think that one through.

And their RF comms are pretend military equipment.

Yes I think it is graft and corruption.

But also the Russians are known for their meat grinder philosophy of war.
Just keep sending men into battle to be killed until the other side gives up.

Why bother with expensive equipment or complicated military strategy or tactics?

[Happy Hoosier]

35. There is a phrase that is popular in the military on such subjects...

... it is "they like the smell of their own farts." It's not strictly a military phrase, but common. Implying, of course, that they convince themselves that their own lies are true.

This is the world that awaits us if Trumpism triumphs here.

And yeah, Russians seem to reply on the idea that Quantity has a Quality all it's own.... but that idiom has a terminal point. In modern combat, coordinated combined arms is deadly force multiplier. A relatively small force, well, equipped, well trained, and most importantly, COORDINATING can defeat a much larger force. Nothing is worse for morale of the troops in the field than feeling isolated and alone.

[Irish_Dem]

37. Yes a dystopian future where our leaders decide what reality is on any given day.

The problem is that Putin is ex-KGB to his core, and psy-ops war strategies have been very successful for him.

He is a psychopath who has bluffed, bullied, terrorized and murdered his way to success.
So he uses his typical strategies because he has no idea about military operations.

His generals are corrupt and incompetent, and his military really existed only on paper.

So he goes back to the ghost of Stalin for inspiration.

Exactly, we are looking at 21st century modern warfare vs 1941 warfare.

Putin has lost the war, now he is just fighting for dirt. And buying time.

He thinks he can terrorize Ukraine by raping, murdering, torturing civilians.

And freeze out Europe so they will lift sanctions and force Zelensky into surrendering.

[eggplant]

11. This seems to be playing out like the end of every game of Risk I've ever played.

[blue-wave]

12. You bring back memories!

I used to have marathon Risk sessions with neighborhood kids. Great memories.

[grantcart]

13. I play Risk on my phone.

[Willto]

25. I have Risk

on my computer. Way easier to play that way. Don't need all those tiny army pieces. LOL!

[Lithos]

16. Dudchany has been liberated

https://www.theripenews.com/2022/10/ukrainian-forces-are-advancing-in.html The race seems to be on for Beryslav

[blue-wave]

21. Wow!!

At this rate Kherson city might be liberated by my bed time! I am so amazed by the spirit of the Ukrainian people.

[PortTack]

23. FYI..when I opened the link it took me to a scam page that told me my puter was infected with

3 viruses. I was able to back out.

[Kaleva]

26. I got something weird myself and backed out quickly.

[Lithos]

29. iPhone had no issues

But there are reports supposedly from Russian mil-bloggers confirming

[Lithos]

32. Here is a tweet about it

The poster is one of the more cited social media posters who pulls in many sources including the Russian mil-bloggers up on Telegram.

Link to tweet

?s=20&t=uyf0lASYxD5P8JKKeLzujw

[oldsoftie]

17. The VAST superiority of US & Western tactics & equipment is staggering.

Put it with a UKR military that was willing to learn from us and is 100% MOTIVATED & believes they can defeat the invaders and you see what we're seeing now.
If only Afghan government forces had just BELIEVED in themselves & wanted to keep control. They had more training & more equipment and were overrun by a bunch of ragtag idiots.

[blue-wave]

19. Yup! Spot on!!

[Ligyron]

22. The Afghan forces are scared to DEATH of the Taliban.

A ragtag bunch, like you said, in beat up vehicles of all types with comparatively crap arms whose biggest stick was IED's cobbled from old artillery shells.

The Afghan forces by comparison had first rate equipment (ours), training and logistics but they were just too afraid of those fanatics to really fight. All the Taliban had to do was drive into town and they caved.

Sad...

[Kaleva]

27. Like the Iraq's did when ISIS was attacking.

[oldsoftie]

28. Yep. If the Afghans weren't embarrassed before they certainly should be now.

UKR is whipping the 2nd biggest army in the world.

[PortTack]

24. Slava Ukraine!

[Renew Deal]

30. I read that the Russians have no organized defenses behind Kreminna

Don't know if that's true. The theory is that if they will be on the run if they lose that city.

[Buckeyeblue]

31. How does this end? Putin isn't going to stop, right?

Does this only end with Putin being removed from power?

[newdayneeded]

36. Hopefully not with putin

pushing the button wearing a MAGA hat.

[Buckeyeblue]

38. Right!

[maxsolomon]

39. It ends when Russia's appetite for death ends.

Ukraine will not take back all territory lost before the Winter sets in - but should be able to take everything North of the Dnipro River.

Then the question becomes what happens in the Spring - do the conscripts get thrown into a meat grinder of a new offensive, or do they try to create a defensible border? The Dnipro makes a logical dividing line.