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brooklynite

(94,572 posts)
Thu Oct 6, 2022, 08:56 AM Oct 2022

My last campaign contributions are in:

(nb: if you're going to contribute further, it needs to be done now, so it can be programmed).

Wisconsin
GOV Tony Evers (Evers +2)
SEN Mandela Barnes (Johnson +1)
AG Josh Kaul
Wisconsin Democratic Party

Arizona
GOV Katie Hobbs (Hobbs -1)
AG Kris Mayes
SOS Adrian Fontes
Arizona Democratic Party

Nevada
SEN Catherine Cortez-Masto (Cortez Masto +4)
GOV Steve Sisolak (Sisolak +3)
AG Aaron Ford
SOS Cisco Aquilar

Ohio
SEN Tim Ryan (Ryan +3)

Georgia
AG Jen Jordan
SOS Bee Nguyen

North Carolina
SEN Cheri Beasley (Even)

Pennsylvania
John Fetterman (Fetterman +6)

American Bridge PAC (specializes in OPPO research)

I am not giving money to:

Stacey Abrams/Raphael Warnock/Mark Kelly (they seriously don't need more; look at their campaign finance reports)
Val Demmings/Charlie Crist/Beto O'Rourke/Nan Whaley (not seeing any positive traction to suggest that these are competitive)
Gretchen Whitmer/Josh Shapiro (their wins are pretty much locked up)

7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
My last campaign contributions are in: (Original Post) brooklynite Oct 2022 OP
Thanks. Any hot tips on US house races? nt Pobeka Oct 2022 #1
The House race in my district is competitive. Elessar Zappa Oct 2022 #3
According to my model.... brooklynite Oct 2022 #5
Thank you. Pobeka Oct 2022 #7
For Clarification: msfiddlestix Oct 2022 #2
Correct brooklynite Oct 2022 #4
thank you.. but bummer. :( msfiddlestix Oct 2022 #6

Elessar Zappa

(13,991 posts)
3. The House race in my district is competitive.
Thu Oct 6, 2022, 09:14 AM
Oct 2022

I live in NM and our district is currently represented by Republican Yvette Herrell. Gabe Vasquez is almost tied with her in the last poll I saw.

brooklynite

(94,572 posts)
5. According to my model....
Thu Oct 6, 2022, 09:34 AM
Oct 2022

MI-08 Dan Kildee
MI-07 Elissa Slotkin
NV-04 Steven Horsford
NC-01 Don Davis
NV-01 Dina Titus
NV-03 Susie Lee
NH-01 Chris Pappas
PA-07 Susan Wild
PA-08 Matt Cartwright
PA-17 Chris Deluzio
AZ-06 Kirsten Engel
NC-13 Wiley Nickel

There are other races that are competitive, but these are synergistic with critical up-ticket races.

msfiddlestix

(7,282 posts)
2. For Clarification:
Thu Oct 6, 2022, 09:11 AM
Oct 2022

Do you mean by not seeing positive traction, that Val Demmings/Charlie Crist/Beto O'Rourke/Nan Whaley are polling badly?

I inferred that was you meaning. If that's the case, that's so disappointing.



On Edit I meant it's disappointing if their polling is doing badly



brooklynite

(94,572 posts)
4. Correct
Thu Oct 6, 2022, 09:30 AM
Oct 2022

DeSantis +6 over Crist
DeWine +17 over Whaley
Abbott over 50%, +8 over O'Rourke
Rubio +5 over Demmings

nb: its not just the spread, its the trend line over time that indicates the race isn't closing.

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