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**New National Poll shows Democrats with wide congressional ballot lead (51-45/LV)** (Original Post) NewsCenter28 Oct 2022 OP
Wow! Silent3 Oct 2022 #1
Big Village? nycbos Oct 2022 #2
They recently rebranded, they were globally known as ENGINE (still are in the UK), and they've done Celerity Oct 2022 #18
Gerrymandering takes care of that lead. Lochloosa Oct 2022 #3
This johnnyfins Oct 2022 #10
Exactly mchill Oct 2022 #15
That's been the -- THE -- problem over several KPN Oct 2022 #16
SO good! elleng Oct 2022 #4
Same here, Ellen! NewsCenter28 Oct 2022 #6
Yes!! To the nay sayers here...STOP please PortTack Oct 2022 #22
This is Not a Traditional Poll- It Seems to Be an Online Poll n/t Indykatie Oct 2022 #5
Correct, it is an online poll NewsCenter28 Oct 2022 #7
You are right about positive news for dems coming out of next weeks hearings BOSSHOG Oct 2022 #9
Whatever the credibility of the poll itself, sounds utterly rational to me elleng Oct 2022 #8
It does. I think it will be a wider margin johnnyfins Oct 2022 #11
YES! elleng Oct 2022 #12
Still Old Crank Oct 2022 #13
Only if we show up. Mz Pip Oct 2022 #14
Nationally is not how we vote though. progressoid Oct 2022 #17
No, but recent experience shows that Democrats need DemocraticPatriot Oct 2022 #21
If the Repugs keep doing awful shit, and saying things that are evil, or so idiotic... BobTheSubgenius Oct 2022 #19
I like it. Hope it is accurate... DemocraticPatriot Oct 2022 #20

Silent3

(15,212 posts)
1. Wow!
Sat Oct 8, 2022, 09:33 PM
Oct 2022

Some good news indeed!

That's the kind of margin that can overcome gerrymandering. Hopefully with motivated turn out, it's enough to overcome voter suppression too.

Celerity

(43,379 posts)
18. They recently rebranded, they were globally known as ENGINE (still are in the UK), and they've done
Sat Oct 8, 2022, 11:51 PM
Oct 2022
some interesting work, especially on MIllenials, Gen Z, and Gen Alpha (under their Cassandra by Big Village division).

https://big-village.com/about/



New Research From Cassandra by Big Village Dives Into The Values and Identity of “Gen Alpha

Faced with both infinite possibilities and challenges, Generation Alpha may be better called Generation Infinite

https://big-village.com/news/new-research-from-cassandra-by-big-village-dives-into-the-values-and-identity-of-gen-alpha/



NEW YORK, NY, JULY 11, 2022 – Generation Alpha – the next generational cohort coming up after Gen Zs, who today are roughly 12 and under – is facing a world that is infinitely harder than the one their parents grew up in but they also recognize infinite possibilities, according to a new report, Gen Alpha: Generation Infinite from Cassandra, Big Village’s insights and strategy group that studies trendsetting young consumers. The report, which is the first comprehensive examination of this age group as a generational cohort, reveals much about this generation, where change has been a constant.

“The iPad was a game changer. The Pandemic was a game changer. TikTok is a game changer. The incredible speed with which the world moves today often means the game changes before all the pieces can even be put on the board of the last game. And this is the world Gen Alphas were born into,” said Kathy Sheehan, Senior Vice President, Cassandra. “A world with technological and scientific breakthroughs that prior generations could not even imagine. But also, a world that sometimes feels like it is on the edge of social, political, and environmental collapse. When the outcome of our entire world order is anyone’s guess, Gen Alpha’s well-being depends upon their ability to ride these waves of chaos.”

Technology and being digitally native plays a large role in how Generation Alpha sees themselves and the world around them. In fact, 55% of 7–12-year-olds use social media, and 76% of those surveyed believe technology’s good outweighs its bad. Technology has become Gen Alpha’s tool of choice, putting it at the center of everything they do, including learning, with 77% of Gen Alpha’s saying they learn best when they use technology. With that in mind, it is not surprising that 82% of Gen Alpha agree they can figure most things out if they have access to technology.

While Gen Alpha clearly values humor, kindness and creativity in themselves and others, when asked how they introduce themselves, 58% of them said as a gamer, with gaming topping the list of favorite pastimes for them. To further drive the point home that social media and technology is shaping the generation, 64% of Gen Alpha would rather be a YouTube / Social Media Influencer than the President of the United States. But social media is not all the generation cares about. Mental health also weighs on the minds of Gen Alpha. 59% of Gen Alpha agree that mental health is a big issue and 62% say their school should focus more on mental health education than physical education.

snip

johnnyfins

(823 posts)
10. This
Sat Oct 8, 2022, 10:13 PM
Oct 2022

All the repubs have is cheating. I wouldn't be surprised if they cheated in 2020, nationwide and in 2016. Popular vote counts bear this out.

mchill

(1,018 posts)
15. Exactly
Sat Oct 8, 2022, 11:12 PM
Oct 2022

Democrats have to have a huge National lead to get the majority in the House. Tyranny of the minority.

KPN

(15,645 posts)
16. That's been the -- THE -- problem over several
Sat Oct 8, 2022, 11:34 PM
Oct 2022

or more election cycles now. Democrats win the popular vote handily, Republicants win seats — in the House and the White House. We need to erase artificial democracy and replace it with the real thing.

NewsCenter28

(1,835 posts)
7. Correct, it is an online poll
Sat Oct 8, 2022, 09:56 PM
Oct 2022

But it is given a "B" rating by 538. It also matches up relatively with the recent NPR/PBS/Marist poll which had a 3 to 4 point Dem generic lead. Morning Consult/Politico also had a 5 point Dem lead this week, their largest of the entire cycle.

So, it's not an island by itself. If it were, the average on 538 would show a (R) lead rather than a (D) lead.

Also, in my opinion, it should be given at least as much credence as the republican average-skewer polls, otherwise known as Trafalgar and Insider Advantage.

Lastly, we should keep in mind that Walker is a major national scandal, much like Hastert protecting pedophiles in 2006 was. Not surprising that the Walker scandal could lead to polls like this one. The January 6th hearing next week will also probably have bombshells that further erode GOP credibility.

BOSSHOG

(37,055 posts)
9. You are right about positive news for dems coming out of next weeks hearings
Sat Oct 8, 2022, 10:10 PM
Oct 2022

Which is somewhat sad in a bizarro world kind of way because the GOP (conservatives) have no more credibility to erode. Their supporters no not nor care not of credibility. Incredibly sad for our country.

elleng

(130,908 posts)
8. Whatever the credibility of the poll itself, sounds utterly rational to me
Sat Oct 8, 2022, 09:58 PM
Oct 2022

(which may or may not be a good thing.)

johnnyfins

(823 posts)
11. It does. I think it will be a wider margin
Sat Oct 8, 2022, 10:15 PM
Oct 2022

Women are PISSED OFF!!! They should be. Take that anger to the ballot box, girls. Give em hell!!

DemocraticPatriot

(4,369 posts)
21. No, but recent experience shows that Democrats need
Sun Oct 9, 2022, 01:28 AM
Oct 2022

a good lead in the congressional "generic poll" to win the house district-by-district
(because of Republican gerrymandering)


better to be leading in such polls, than not...

BobTheSubgenius

(11,563 posts)
19. If the Repugs keep doing awful shit, and saying things that are evil, or so idiotic...
Sun Oct 9, 2022, 12:26 AM
Oct 2022

...as to be psychoactive, that would be great. Steady as she goes, ghastly morons.

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