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In It to Win It

(8,253 posts)
Fri Oct 14, 2022, 08:19 PM Oct 2022

PA-GOV: Trafalgar: Shapiro (D) Leads Mastriano (R), 53-44

https://www.politicspa.com/trafalgar-shapiro-leads-mastriano-53-44/113570/

The only good news for the Doug Mastriano campaign is that his deficit is down in the single digits.

The latest Trafalgar Group survey of 1,078 likely voters shows Democratic nominee Josh Shapiro with a 52.8 to 43.5 point advantage over the GOP candidate. It is the first time in the last seven polls that the state senator from Franklin County has seen his deficit below 10 points.

Libertarian candidate Matt Hackenburg pulled in 1.3 percent, while two percent remain undecided in a survey with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 points.

Shapiro, the Attorney General of the Commonwealth, showed strong numbers across the demographic board, including more than 15 percentage point advantages among voters 25-34 (39.2), 35-44 (17.8) and 65+ (16.3). He also held a considerable edge among women (17.9) and a smaller advantage among men (9.3).
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PA-GOV: Trafalgar: Shapiro (D) Leads Mastriano (R), 53-44 (Original Post) In It to Win It Oct 2022 OP
And what's with the 45-64 crowd? Born 1958 to 1979 ... hmmmm bucolic_frolic Oct 2022 #1
Trafalgar? Fiendish Thingy Oct 2022 #2
Trafalgar is all over the place with their polls DestinyIsles Oct 2022 #3
Good! Mastriano should be rotting in prison. Initech Oct 2022 #4
I dont trust Trafalgar but these seem to be reasonably good numbers. honest.abe Oct 2022 #5
I lived in PA for 67 years: PCIntern Oct 2022 #6

bucolic_frolic

(43,175 posts)
1. And what's with the 45-64 crowd? Born 1958 to 1979 ... hmmmm
Fri Oct 14, 2022, 08:22 PM
Oct 2022

Mistrustful Vietnam War era types? Hate the gub'mint? Inflation impacted? Is there an explanation?

 

DestinyIsles

(263 posts)
3. Trafalgar is all over the place with their polls
Fri Oct 14, 2022, 08:23 PM
Oct 2022

they say its a 2 point race in NY governor and 2 point race in Washington senate race but yet its a 9 point race in PA governor race.

honest.abe

(8,678 posts)
5. I dont trust Trafalgar but these seem to be reasonably good numbers.
Fri Oct 14, 2022, 08:46 PM
Oct 2022

Could be they are trying to regain some credibility.

PCIntern

(25,554 posts)
6. I lived in PA for 67 years:
Fri Oct 14, 2022, 08:52 PM
Oct 2022

Mastriano and Oz are going to lose. Pennsylvanians do not elect politicians like them. We have had some real cruddy folk, but they’ve been real Pennsylvanians, and I go back to Hugh Scott and Milton Shapp and Bill Scranton. Thornburgh, until he was corrupted by Reagan and Meese was a real Pennsylvanian.

These two assholes are foreigners there….
Disclaimer:I now live at the Jersey Shore and commute daily to Philly. Yes….I know.

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