General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRepublicans are not heeding this message: Winning is not all about the base.
Independent voters dont want mini-Trumps, are bored by Biden. Researchers who study independents advise elections are won in the middle, even though many Republicans are not heeding the message. Independents will make or break Biden and the Democrats in November. Winning is not all about the base.
First, the base will turn out. It always does in both parties. Second, elections are won in the middle,
https://wapo.st/3CBrEMf
Conservatives outnumbered liberals by nine percentage points in 2016 and by 14 percent in 2020, according to exit polling data. After narrowly winning independents in 2016, Trump lost them to Biden by 13 percentage points four years later, ending his chances of a second term.
Only one other major party presidential candidate has lost independents by a larger margin than Trump Walter Mondale in 1984, Winston wrote.
https://rollcall.com/2022/09/14/independents-will-make-or-break-biden-and-the-democrats-in-november/
Demsrule86
(68,576 posts)time will be different I believe. And Biden as an incumbent has an advantage and plans to run again. Conservatives do not outnumber liberals they are just more loyal and frequent voters. All the issues we have can be traced back to 16 when some supposedly on our side refused to vote for Hillary Clinton in the General election...that is what saddens me, we did this to ourselves.
GreenWave
(6,756 posts)Wapo is Based on the past. not right now.
Irish_Dem
(47,095 posts)brooklynite
(94,572 posts)I wish people on our side would accept the same premise.
reACTIONary
(5,770 posts)... "the base" often has problems relating to or understanding the "non-base". And by the non-base, I don't mean "the other base".
WhiteTara
(29,715 posts)the abortion ban. I'm hoping it will drive our numbers up.
onecaliberal
(32,861 posts)There is a hell of a lot of new women voters. For these reasons and many more I believe the polls and the reporting from the fascist loving media are full of shit.