Election Day results... and the future of Trump.

[WarGamer]

I've been thinking about how the results of Election Day 2022 will affect Trumps future actions.

For example, it's possible that with a GOP LOSS of the House race or even the Senate race... Trump decides NOT to run in 2024.

In that case, I think exit polling would show a public still weary of Trump and his nonsense.

At that point, I think Trump would start losing support of many in DC and a slow erosion among the GOP faithful.

The GOP wants to win and they liked Trump when he was winning.



What IF the GOP wins the House and/or the Senate?

A few options here... Trump takes credit and exit polling still shows support for Trump... he's running in 2024.

However... I also see an out for Trump and the GOP. Everyone is nervous about the legal peril Trump is facing.

I think they will make Trump an offer.

"Take a Victory Lap for the midterms and we'll elect you "Speaker of the House"

Trump would get to sit behind Biden at a SOTU, maybe wipe his orange ass with the speech? He could preside over Biden impeachments or hold hearings grilling the DoJ or Hunter or whatever...

Literally, Nancy would have to hand the gavel to Trump, if she wasn't tempted to smack him upside the head with it...

McCarthy of course, would agree to take the SOTH crown back after 6 months or a year or whatever, once Trump was bored or tired of DC.

Trump gets his revenge, more TV coverage than he's had since 2017 and the GOP is rid of him for the future.





How do YOU think the results of Election Day 2022 affect the future of DJT?

[TheProle]

1. He's an orange herring

We customize our 2024 battle plan around him at our peril.

[WarGamer]

2. lol... orange herring.

I don't really mean we plan anything around Trump...

I'm just talking about the affect of the midterms on Trump.

He's under quite a bit of pressure, legally... would he think that being the sitting SOTH would give him some level of protection?

[Baked Potato]

3. T***p stepping foot into the Hallowed Halls of Congress is beyond the reach

a fever dream. That fucking piece of shit will burst into flames on I95 before he could cross the Florida/Georgia border…

[rso]

4. Trump

I don’t know what Trump will do or not do, but I’m confident we’ll hold the Senate, but unfortunately not the House. Still, having the Senate allows Biden to continue making lifetime judicial appointments unimpeded for at least another 2+ years.

[WarGamer]

5. And as we learned from Trump... control of the Judiciary is crucial.

[NewsCenter28]

6. What's your thinking on what he would do if it was a 50-49-1 senate (GOP)

There's some talk McMullin wins in Utah, and he won't caucus with either party. That's how I get to my GOP 50, Dem 49, Ind 1 scenario. Prior to the devastating August and September inflation reports, I think we were on track to keep both the house and senate but now I fear that a 50-50 senate or a 50-49-1 senate is the best we can hope for with slim chances we keep the house GOP under 232 seats. They're probably looking at 235 minimum now though.

I guess with my scenario 235 house seats and a 50 GOP-seat senate scenario, you'd think he'd be running for the presidency, no? I think that's the best we can hope for. Those 2 inflation reports, which were stunners compared to the thinking at the end of August, I fear, tanked our chances at every level. Also, the Saudis deliberately spiking gas prices sky-high 2 weeks ago was the coup de'grace for the GOP making 2022 join 2010 and 1994 in the history books of GOP all-time wins.

Of note, Harris, Trafalgar and Rasmussen all have the GOP +5 minimum now. That's blowout territory. Again, if only the OPEC decision and inflation reports hadn't gone the way that they had.

P.S.: It's also hard, looking at the 2024 senate map, to see how it is not a GOP blowout again, congressionally at least.

[DemocraticPatriot]

7. Ready to give it all up, before it is over?

That is defeatist talk... especially all that "this is the best we can hope for" BS.


I don't see where the inflation reports have changed whatsoever, for quite a few months.

2022 is not going to be 2010 or 1994, even if the GOP does take back the house. I expect the margin to be more narrow, if they do.


Rasmussen always has the GOP high, FYI.



As far as the actual issue in question, I expect Trump to declare his candidacy for 2024 soon after the elections, regardless of the actual results...

[tinrobot]

8. He'd be the worst Speaker in US history, plus third in the line of succession

As Speaker, he'd get absolutely nothing done. And by that, I mean so little that the government might collapse.

He'd also get top secret briefings as Speaker. I'm sure he'd try to sell that information.

Plus, being two steps away from the White House, he might try something.

Nope, nope, nope.