Latest PA Senate Poll from 538...from 10-14 Fetterman still holds lead despite all the breathless

[Demsrule86]

news that he is in TROUBLE. He is not. The only polls that shows it closer is Trafalgar and they are a shit poll.


https://www.google.com/search?q=Latest+Fetterman+polls&rlz=1C1CHBF_enUS1002US1002&oq=Latest+Fetterman+polls&aqs=chrome..69i57j69i61l2.8906j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8#ip=1

[gab13by13]

1. I can think of 3 or 4 other Senate races

that we can worry about besides Fetterman.

Fetterman is going to flip Pa. eom.

[FBaggins]

2. "In trouble" is not refuted by "still holds lead"

Not when the polls slide from essentially two months of double-digit leads

The only polls that shows it closer is Trafalgar and they are a shit poll.

Both of those statements are false. Trafalgar may be a biased pollster, but their results a regularly among the most accurate... and it's hardly the only poll showing a problem.

Emerson is down from +5 to +2 (essentially the same change over the same period of time)
Beacon (Fox) is down from +11 to +4 over two months
Franklin and Marshall College is down from +13 to +3 in their most recent poll
Insider Advantage and Phillips Academy have the race at either +2 or +3

If "in trouble" means "one of the handful of races that donors and volunteers should pay the most attention to" - they he's definitely in trouble.

There's no question that Fetterman is still favored (about 2-1), but that counts as "in trouble" in my book