I just switched channels from Kornacki to CNN and got the whole story.

[Baitball Blogger]

So, Kornaki is saying that Republicans are up 2.2% over Democrats to win the midterms and starts to go in and explain how this is higher than the midterms where Obama lost Congress to the Republicans, blah, blah, blah... I had enough of that and switched to CNN and they showed the bigger picture.

There are more independents than either Republican or Democrats and CNN's segment is about learning more about a group that might tip the elections, one way or another.

[Phoenix61]

1. How many of current independents are republicans who

recently left the party out of disgust after Jan6.

[DestinyIsles]

2. They are using 2010 metrics for a 2022 midterm

big mistake on their part.

[niyad]

3. Welcome to our DU family.

[JustAnotherGen]

18. I agree

They used 2016 metrics in 2020. They didn't account for how awful things were for four years.

[niyad]

4. There is an OP on Trending Now about how unreliable and problematic polls

are, as so many people do not answer their phones to unknown numbers.

[mopinko]

7. right now they have no idea who is gonna show up to vote.

but i know. women. women and the men who love and support women.
i also question who is gonna turn out on the other side. i think tons of thugs just stay home.
and we know they dont have our ground game. all they have is hate.

[niyad]

9. Exactly.

[mopinko]

14. gloria stienem's foretold army of grannies is about to show up.

actually, they're here, and doin gotv.
fuckers should all just head for the hills rfn.

[dem4decades]

5. LOL, I watched that and decided I was done watching news forever. I'm watching a stupid movie I

recorded and am enjoying myself.

[Baitball Blogger]

6. October is the best month of year to find stupid movies.

Funny how that worked out.

[LetMyPeopleVote]

8. From the Hoarse whisperer

Link to tweet

[Baitball Blogger]

10. Exactly.

[FM123]

11. Independents make a huge difference.

When they vote with us, we can win.

[underpants]

12. He wouldn't get the hell out of the way to see the right side

I wasn’t listening. I just had it on after going for a run. He wouldn’t get out if the way so we could see how the Republican incumbents are doing per polling. I got that 4 of them are ahead but get the hell out of the way.

[lees1975]

13. Kornacki also sticks with NBC's polling data which skews the raw data to match expectations

and prior trends, and ignores a whole cluster of polls, including the larger and generally more inclusive and less "adjusted" YouGov and Morning Consult, where Democrats have consistently maintained a 2 to 5 point lead. Heck, even Fox News had to finally give in and put up polling data giving President Biden his highest job approval rating in six months, because the responses just didn't support "factoring" in what's not really showing up.

[getagrip_already]

15. Media polls are for selling airtime - not providing real data or analysis.....

Polls are the currency they use to buy viewership, which drives ad revenues. The algorithms include audience participation, which shows they are engaged and in the room. These crazy poll numbers provide that. Karnaki gets msnbc's base angry and that registers well.

It's also why you see polls that favor dems on fox, though ironically fox polls are well regarded.

They mean exactly squat. Just vote, and drag everyone you know will vote with us along.

[PortTack]

16. ☝️☝️☝️☝️☝️

[Wounded Bear]

17. Been leaving Weather Channel on instead of news lately...

I have a crush on Jen Carfagno.

[LetMyPeopleVote]

19. There was one question in the NYT poll that generated a lot of bipartisan agreement.

Link to tweet

[msongs]

20. but wait I read on DU that cnn has sold out to the nazi klan folks nt