New #TXGOV Poll by Beacon Research Greg Abbott (R): 48% Beto O'Rourke (D): 46%

[LetMyPeopleVote]

Link to tweet

[blogslug]

1. TX early voting starts tomorrow

[ananda]

5. I'm voting bright and early tomorrow!

Finally!

[onetexan]

14. Ditto!!

[LetMyPeopleVote]

8. I will be voting this week in person also

[pandr32]

2. Go Beto!

[Meadowoak]

3. When an incumbent polls less than 50%, the undecideds usually

Break for the challenger. I'm going to guess this race will end up Beto 51
Abutt. 49

[Lovie777]

4. Didn't Forbes have a similar poll? ......

[LetMyPeopleVote]

9. Here is the poll you asked about

Link to tweet

[W_HAMILTON]

6. I can't imagine why this wasn't first posted by a particular poster who is usually...

...very prolific about posting certain polls around these parts.

Hmm.

[Maraya1969]

7. Would Biden going there help put Beto over the top?

[JohnSJ]

10. At this stage I don't think so, and I don't think Beto wants him. This is nothing against President

Last edited Sun Oct 23, 2022, 08:10 PM - Edit history (1)

Biden, but that Beto wants to run this exclusively on Texas state issues

[onetexan]

15. Agree

[llmart]

11. I don't live in Texas but...

I really, really want him to win! I think he's the future and he's the real deal. Has anyone else on here listened to Brene Brown's interview with him on Spotify? He was terrific! Plus, he's really worked hard on this campaign.

[pinkstarburst]

16. Donate!

Beto needs money! I'm in Texas and I've already voted and also donated, but if you're outside Texas and want to help, donations to Beto's campaign would be one way to do that, even in small amounts.

[helpisontheway]

12. Texas is not fooling me again. They had me fooled during 2020 election

Texas is so close..Texas is so close..Send Biden..Send Kamala..Send Jill..Send Doug..It was not close. And now I understand why they did not invest a lot of time there. Maybe one day Texas will turn blue. Maybe..

[LetMyPeopleVote]

13. Some very good news for @BetoORourke

Link to tweet

[Deminpenn]

17. Big difference between an RV poll and LV poll

results.

The UT Austin poll defined LVs as

From among the poll’s overall sample, likely voters were defined as those respondents who indicated that they have voted in every election in the past two to three years OR those respondents who rated their likelihood to vote in the November election on a 10-point scale as a 9 or a 10. This likely voter screen yielded a pool of 883 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points for the full likely voter sample.

They apparently didn't work off registered voter lists either as their press release states:

The poll surveyed 1,200 self-declared registered voters Oct. 7-17

The poll eliminated 1/4 of its sample as "unlikely" voters. The same mistake pollsters made in 2016 and 2020 with Trump cultist voters.

It will be interesting to see which results turn out to be true.